Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, February 22, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Mavericks	55%	113	134	125.2	107	102.4
	26	Pacers	45%	112	130	120.4	108	113.1

Prediction updated: Feb 22, 2026 10:01 PM

Scoring Opportunities

DAL

+15

-11

111

IND

+13

-15

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.20 59.8%

IND

1.24 61.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

21 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
P.J. Washington #25 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 28	36.5	23	64%	9	2	1	1	1	2	3	6	6-8	75%	7-10	70%	1-4	25%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	30.6	16	67%	2	4	0	0	3	3	0	2	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	2-4	50%
Khris Middleton #20 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 35	29.6	25	83%	7	7	1	0	2	4	1	6	0-0	-	8-10	80%	3-5	60%
Naji Marshall #13 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 28	25.6	17	65%	2	2	1	0	2	2	1	1	3-6	50%	7-9	78%	0-1	0%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	21.9	8	44%	6	2	1	0	0	2	3	3	2-4	50%	3-7	43%	0-0	-

Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	26.1	12	55%	11	1	1	0	0	0	2	9	2-4	50%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	22.0	15	63%	1	7	2	1	2	0	0	1	6-8	75%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	18.7	9	41%	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-4	0%	3-7	43%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	17.5	7	70%	4	1	1	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Tyus Jones #1 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	11.6	2	25%	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
AJ Johnson #8 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Miles Kelly #14 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Midfoot; Sprain
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	134	60%	45	29	9	2	11	13	10	35	21-32	66%	40-66	61%	11-28	39%

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21 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
P.J. Washington #25 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 28	36.5	23	64%	9	2	1	1	1	2	3	6	6-8	75%	7-10	70%	1-4	25%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	30.6	16	67%	2	4	0	0	3	3	0	2	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	2-4	50%
Khris Middleton #20 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 35	29.6	25	83%	7	7	1	0	2	4	1	6	0-0	-	8-10	80%	3-5	60%
Naji Marshall #13 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 28	25.6	17	65%	2	2	1	0	2	2	1	1	3-6	50%	7-9	78%	0-1	0%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	21.9	8	44%	6	2	1	0	0	2	3	3	2-4	50%	3-7	43%	0-0	-

Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	26.1	12	55%	11	1	1	0	0	0	2	9	2-4	50%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	22.0	15	63%	1	7	2	1	2	0	0	1	6-8	75%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	18.7	9	41%	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-4	0%	3-7	43%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	17.5	7	70%	4	1	1	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Tyus Jones #1 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	11.6	2	25%	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
AJ Johnson #8 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Miles Kelly #14 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Midfoot; Sprain
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	134	60%	45	29	9	2	11	13	10	35	21-32	66%	40-66	61%	11-28	39%

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26 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jarace Walker #5 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 22	34.3	18	60%	9	6	2	0	2	3	1	8	2-5	40%	2-6	33%	4-7	57%
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	30.5	10	125%	0	3	1	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-2	100%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	29.5	22	69%	1	11	1	0	1	3	0	1	5-5	100%	4-8	50%	3-6	50%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	29.1	30	71%	8	3	0	0	5	4	1	7	4-5	80%	10-16	63%	2-3	67%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	26.2	9	45%	1	1	1	3	0	2	0	1	1-1	100%	4-4	100%	0-6	0%

Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	27.1	13	65%	3	2	0	0	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	3-6	50%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	22.7	11	61%	4	6	0	0	1	3	1	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	3-4	75%
Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	21.8	2	14%	6	5	2	0	4	2	3	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	18.8	15	75%	7	0	1	0	1	2	3	4	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	3-4	75%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Soreness
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Tear
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Stress Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	62%	39	37	8	3	15	23	9	30	16-20	80%	27-52	52%	20-42	48%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	IND
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	IND

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.20 59.8%

IND

1.24 61.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

61%

IND

59%

Midrange

DAL

61%

IND

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

16.5

39%

59%

IND

30.0

48%

71%

Free Throws

DAL

66%

IND

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Middleton	25	83%	12.5 / 15
P. Washington	23	64%	11.5 / 18
N. Marshall	17	65%	8.5 / 13
M. Christie	16	67%	8.0 / 12
B. Williams	15	63%	7.5 / 12
M. Bagley	12	55%	6.0 / 11
K. Thompson	9	41%	4.5 / 11
D. Gafford	8	44%	4.0 / 9
C. Martin	7	70%	3.5 / 5
T. Jones	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Siakam	30	71%	15.0 / 21
A. Nembhard	22	69%	11.0 / 16
J. Walker	18	60%	9.0 / 15
K. Brown	15	75%	7.5 / 10
B. Sheppard	13	65%	6.5 / 10
Q. Jackson	11	61%	5.5 / 9
K. Jones	10	125%	5.0 / 4
J. Huff	9	45%	4.5 / 10
M. Potter	2	14%	1.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	27 110.4 28 110.1	DAL 125.2 +4.9 IND 120.4
Pace	6 102.5 10 101.4	DAL 102.4 IND 113.1 +10.6
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.0 25 13.9	DAL 14.1 IND 12.7 −1.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 52.7% 23 53.3%	DAL 60.1% IND 60.6% +0.5%
TO %	13 13.5% 14 13.6%	DAL 9.2% −4.3% IND 13.5%
ORB %	26 23.2% 29 21.7%	DAL 25.0% +4.5% IND 20.5%
FTrt	6 28.7 20 25.2	DAL 34.0 +12.7 IND 21.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 60.4% 5 67.8%	DAL 56.9% IND 78.7% +21.8%
STL %	27 7.3% 28 7.2%	DAL 8.4% +1.0% IND 7.4%
BLK %	16 9.0% 26 8.1%	DAL 3.8% IND 4.5% +0.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 55.2% 24 55.4%	DAL 59.8% IND 61.9% +2.1%
Rim FG%	22 63.2% 25 62.9%	DAL 60.6% +1.3% IND 59.3%
Mid FG%	18 43.1% 19 42.7%	DAL 60.6% +16.6% IND 44.0%
3P %	26 34.4% 18 35.6%	DAL 39.3% IND 47.6% +8.3%
FT %	28 75.5% 17 77.6%	DAL 65.6% IND 80.0% +14.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 32.8% 23 30.3%	DAL 35.1% +6.4% IND 28.7%
Mid Att. %	28 31.7% 18 27.5%	DAL 35.1% IND 26.6% −8.5%
3P Att. %	26 35.5% 14 42.2%	DAL 29.8% IND 44.7% +14.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DAL	IND
Possessions	107	108
Possession Minutes	25.1	22.9
Points	134	130
Rebounds	45	39
Assists	29	37
Steals	9	8
Blocks	2	3
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	15 (1)
Fouls	13	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (5)	9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (2)	30 (0)
Field Goals	51-94	47-94
At-the-Rim FG	20-33	16-27
Midrange FG	20-33	11-25
2-Point FG	40-66	27-52
3-Point FG	11-28	20-42
Free Throws	21-32	16-20
Fast Break Pts	11	9
2nd Chance Pts	14	12
Points in Paint	64	48
Pts off Turnovers	19	10
Bench Points	45	41
Biggest Lead	11	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg