Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, February 24, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Wizards	16%	110	98	93.3	105	105.0
	16	Hawks	84%	123	119	113.3	105	105.0

Prediction updated: Feb 25, 2026 12:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

-20

ATL

+26

-10

121

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.07 53.3%

ATL

0.98 49.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	26.3	3	25%	10	7	1	2	2	3	0	10	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-2	50%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 22	24.0	8	40%	6	4	2	4	1	1	0	6	2-3	67%	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	23.9	8	31%	1	2	0	0	2	1	0	1	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-5	0%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	22.0	5	42%	6	1	0	1	3	1	0	6	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Kyshawn George #18 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 22	21.4	11	46%	2	2	0	0	4	2	0	2	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	1-5	20%

Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	29.1	18	100%	4	2	0	0	2	1	1	3	3-3	100%	6-6	100%	1-2	50%
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	27.3	14	88%	2	1	2	0	1	5	0	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-3	67%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	24.4	5	50%	5	3	1	1	2	1	0	5	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	16.9	7	39%	0	1	0	0	2	3	0	0	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	15.3	14	88%	2	0	2	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-6	67%
Alondes Williams #31 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 27	9.3	5	50%	3	0	1	0	1	0	0	3	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Jaden Hardy #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leaky Black #14 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Anthony Davis #23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; MCL Sprain; Quad Contusion
D'Angelo Russell #28 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	53%	41	23	9	8	20	19	2	39	14-17	82%	27-53	51%	10-31	32%

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30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	26.3	3	25%	10	7	1	2	2	3	0	10	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-2	50%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 22	24.0	8	40%	6	4	2	4	1	1	0	6	2-3	67%	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	23.9	8	31%	1	2	0	0	2	1	0	1	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-5	0%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	22.0	5	42%	6	1	0	1	3	1	0	6	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Kyshawn George #18 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 22	21.4	11	46%	2	2	0	0	4	2	0	2	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	1-5	20%

Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	29.1	18	100%	4	2	0	0	2	1	1	3	3-3	100%	6-6	100%	1-2	50%
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	27.3	14	88%	2	1	2	0	1	5	0	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-3	67%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	24.4	5	50%	5	3	1	1	2	1	0	5	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	16.9	7	39%	0	1	0	0	2	3	0	0	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	15.3	14	88%	2	0	2	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-6	67%
Alondes Williams #31 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 27	9.3	5	50%	3	0	1	0	1	0	0	3	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Jaden Hardy #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leaky Black #14 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Anthony Davis #23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; MCL Sprain; Quad Contusion
D'Angelo Russell #28 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	53%	41	23	9	8	20	19	2	39	14-17	82%	27-53	51%	10-31	32%

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16 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	24.7	16	67%	3	5	2	0	2	2	0	3	5-5	100%	1-3	33%	3-7	43%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	24.1	6	43%	8	7	3	0	0	2	3	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	22.9	10	29%	10	7	0	0	0	0	4	6	0-0	-	2-10	20%	2-7	29%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	22.7	8	31%	2	2	1	1	2	0	1	1	4-4	100%	2-6	33%	0-6	0%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	5.6	5	50%	3	0	2	0	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	28.3	9	38%	9	3	1	0	2	4	1	8	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-5	0%
Jonathan Kuminga #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	24.4	27	90%	7	4	2	0	2	1	3	4	6-7	86%	6-8	75%	3-4	75%
Gabe Vincent #4 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	21.7	11	55%	2	1	0	1	0	3	1	1	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	2-8	25%
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	20.8	6	38%	3	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	20.7	12	67%	3	2	0	0	2	0	1	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	18.1	6	60%	11	1	2	0	0	3	2	9	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	5.9	3	38%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Buddy Hield #8 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
RayJ Dennis #00 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	49%	61	33	14	2	10	18	19	42	23-26	88%	30-57	53%	12-50	24%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	ATL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.07 53.3%

ATL

0.98 49.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

68%

ATL

64%

Midrange

WAS

32%

ATL

28%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

15.0

32%

48%

ATL

18.0

24%

36%

Free Throws

WAS

82%

ATL

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
W. Riley	18	100%	9.0 / 9
J. Watkins	14	88%	7.0 / 8
J. Champagnie	14	88%	7.0 / 8
K. George	11	46%	5.5 / 12
B. Coulibaly	8	40%	4.0 / 10
T. Johnson	8	31%	4.0 / 13
S. Cooper	7	39%	3.5 / 9
T. Vukcevic	5	42%	2.5 / 6
A. Gill	5	50%	2.5 / 5
A. Williams	5	50%	2.5 / 5
B. Carrington	3	25%	1.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Kuminga	27	90%	13.5 / 15
N. Alexander-Walker	16	67%	8.0 / 12
C. Kispert	12	67%	6.0 / 9
G. Vincent	11	55%	5.5 / 10
O. Okongwu	10	29%	5.0 / 17
Z. Risacher	9	38%	4.5 / 12
C. McCollum	8	31%	4.0 / 13
D. Daniels	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Landale	6	38%	3.0 / 8
M. Gueye	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Johnson	5	50%	2.5 / 5
K. Wallace	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 109.7 14 115.1	WAS 93.3 ATL 113.3 +20.0
Pace	5 102.5 4 102.5	WAS 105.0 +0.1 ATL 105.0
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 29 13.5	WAS 13.7 −0.0 ATL 13.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 53.5% 10 55.4%	WAS 50.0% +5.1% ATL 44.9%
TO %	26 14.7% 8 13.0%	WAS 17.9% ATL 8.5% −9.4%
ORB %	21 24.0% 20 24.3%	WAS 4.5% ATL 32.8% +28.3%
FTrt	26 23.5 27 23.4	WAS 20.2 ATL 24.3 +4.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 59.9% 4 69.1%	WAS 62.2% ATL 78.6% +16.4%
STL %	22 7.8% 6 9.1%	WAS 8.6% ATL 13.3% +4.7%
BLK %	9 10.0% 18 8.8%	WAS 14.0% +10.2% ATL 3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 55.4% 14 56.9%	WAS 53.3% +4.1% ATL 49.2%
Rim FG%	15 64.7% 21 63.3%	WAS 67.9% +3.8% ATL 64.1%
Mid FG%	26 41.3% 6 44.6%	WAS 32.0% +4.2% ATL 27.8%
3P %	16 35.9% 5 37.1%	WAS 32.3% +8.3% ATL 24.0%
FT %	23 76.6% 20 77.4%	WAS 82.4% ATL 88.5% +6.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.6% 13 32.1%	WAS 33.3% ATL 36.4% +3.1%
Mid Att. %	25 29.1% 9 25.0%	WAS 29.8% ATL 16.8% −12.9%
3P Att. %	20 40.3% 11 42.9%	WAS 36.9% ATL 46.7% +9.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	ATL
Possessions	105	105
Possession Minutes	24.0	24.0
Points	98	119
Rebounds	41	61
Assists	23	33
Steals	9	14
Blocks	8	2
Turnovers (Team)	20 (0)	10 (1)
Fouls	19	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	2 (6)	19 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (2)	42 (1)
Field Goals	37-84	42-107
At-the-Rim FG	19-28	25-39
Midrange FG	8-25	5-18
2-Point FG	27-53	30-57
3-Point FG	10-31	12-50
Free Throws	14-17	23-26
Fast Break Pts	20	24
2nd Chance Pts	6	17
Points in Paint	44	58
Pts off Turnovers	7	23
Bench Points	63	74
Biggest Lead	0	38

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg