Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, February 24, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Thunder	58%	109	116	116.0	100	99.0
	14	Raptors	42%	106	107	107.0	100	101.1

Prediction updated: Feb 25, 2026 12:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

+20

-16

104

TOR

+10

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.12 55.8%

TOR

1.14 56.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

5 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cason Wallace #22 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	35.0	27	79%	8	7	1	0	2	4	1	7	1-2	50%	7-11	64%	4-5	80%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 27	34.5	15	44%	5	3	1	0	1	3	1	4	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	3-9	33%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 27	32.9	22	85%	2	3	2	0	0	3	0	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	6-11	55%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 24	30.3	7	44%	9	4	1	3	1	0	3	6	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	25.9	11	69%	9	0	1	2	2	2	5	4	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	0-0	-

Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	22.5	16	73%	2	4	2	0	4	1	1	1	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	16.6	8	40%	1	1	0	0	4	1	0	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-4	0%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	16.2	2	50%	8	3	0	0	0	2	0	8	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	10.5	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Jared McCain #3 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	10.1	5	42%	4	0	1	0	1	2	1	3	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 21	5.5	3	75%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Buddy Boeheim #14 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 27	INACTIVE
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Abdominal; Strain
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Abdominal; Strain/ Left Ankle Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	56%	49	26	10	5	16	19	12	37	10-12	83%	29-55	53%	16-40	40%

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5 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cason Wallace #22 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	35.0	27	79%	8	7	1	0	2	4	1	7	1-2	50%	7-11	64%	4-5	80%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 27	34.5	15	44%	5	3	1	0	1	3	1	4	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	3-9	33%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 27	32.9	22	85%	2	3	2	0	0	3	0	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	6-11	55%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 24	30.3	7	44%	9	4	1	3	1	0	3	6	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	25.9	11	69%	9	0	1	2	2	2	5	4	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	0-0	-

Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	22.5	16	73%	2	4	2	0	4	1	1	1	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	16.6	8	40%	1	1	0	0	4	1	0	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-4	0%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	16.2	2	50%	8	3	0	0	0	2	0	8	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	10.5	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Jared McCain #3 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	10.1	5	42%	4	0	1	0	1	2	1	3	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 21	5.5	3	75%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Buddy Boeheim #14 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 27	INACTIVE
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Abdominal; Strain
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Abdominal; Strain/ Left Ankle Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	56%	49	26	10	5	16	19	12	37	10-12	83%	29-55	53%	16-40	40%

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14 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 28	35.4	15	50%	6	6	0	0	2	2	0	6	1-3	33%	4-10	40%	2-4	50%
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 26	33.9	21	66%	8	4	1	1	2	3	0	8	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	4-6	67%
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 27	32.6	17	57%	3	4	1	0	4	4	1	2	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	4-9	44%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 25	32.0	15	44%	3	7	3	4	3	2	0	3	1-1	100%	7-14	50%	0-3	0%
Collin Murray-Boyles #12 · C · 6'7" 245 · 21	30.2	4	100%	4	2	1	2	0	1	2	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 24	23.3	13	72%	1	4	1	0	2	3	0	1	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	22.7	17	94%	4	1	1	0	2	4	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	5-7	71%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 27	15.5	3	21%	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-4	25%
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	9.1	2	33%	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	5.5	0	0%	2	0	1	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alijah Martin #55 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chucky Hepburn #24 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lower - strain - injury management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	57%	34	30	10	8	16	22	7	27	7-12	58%	23-50	46%	18-38	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	TOR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.12 55.8%

TOR

1.14 56.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

58%

TOR

44%

Midrange

OKC

45%

TOR

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

24.0

40%

60%

TOR

27.0

47%

71%

Free Throws

OKC

83%

TOR

58%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Wallace	27	79%	13.5 / 17
I. Joe	22	85%	11.0 / 13
A. Caruso	16	73%	8.0 / 11
L. Dort	15	44%	7.5 / 17
I. Hartenstein	11	69%	5.5 / 8
A. Wiggins	8	40%	4.0 / 10
C. Holmgren	7	44%	3.5 / 8
J. McCain	5	42%	2.5 / 6
N. Topić	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Williams	2	50%	1.0 / 2
K. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Barrett	21	66%	10.5 / 16
I. Quickley	17	57%	8.5 / 15
J. Walter	17	94%	8.5 / 9
B. Ingram	15	50%	7.5 / 15
S. Barnes	15	44%	7.5 / 17
J. Shead	13	72%	6.5 / 9
C. Murray-Boyles	4	100%	2.0 / 2
S. Mamukelashvili	3	21%	1.5 / 7
J. Battle	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 117.6 15 115.1	OKC 116.0 +9.0 TOR 107.0
Pace	15 100.3 22 99.1	OKC 99.0 TOR 101.1 +2.1
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.1 19 14.1	OKC 14.5 TOR 14.3 −0.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 56.1% 16 54.6%	OKC 55.8% TOR 56.8% +1.0%
TO %	1 11.8% 7 12.9%	OKC 15.9% TOR 14.6% −1.3%
ORB %	28 22.3% 16 25.5%	OKC 30.8% +14.9% TOR 15.9%
FTrt	17 26.1 16 26.5	OKC 12.6 TOR 13.6 +1.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	25 59.8% 3 69.2%	OKC 57.8% TOR 73.2% +15.4%
STL %	4 9.6% 8 8.8%	OKC 10.0% TOR 10.0%
BLK %	2 11.0% 12 9.6%	OKC 10.0% TOR 14.5% +4.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 58.5% 16 56.6%	OKC 55.8% TOR 56.9% +1.1%
Rim FG%	11 65.2% 6 66.5%	OKC 57.6% +13.8% TOR 43.8%
Mid FG%	1 47.6% 16 43.7%	OKC 45.5% TOR 47.1% +1.6%
3P %	9 36.5% 21 35.4%	OKC 40.0% TOR 47.4% +7.4%
FT %	3 81.7% 22 76.9%	OKC 83.3% +25.0% TOR 58.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	16 31.3% 10 32.9%	OKC 34.7% +16.6% TOR 18.2%
Mid Att. %	15 26.1% 27 30.7%	OKC 23.2% −15.5% TOR 38.6%
3P Att. %	13 42.6% 25 36.3%	OKC 42.1% TOR 43.2% +1.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	OKC	TOR
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.8
Points	116	107
Rebounds	49	34
Assists	26	30
Steals	10	10
Blocks	5	8
Turnovers (Team)	16 (3)	16 (0)
Fouls	19	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (8)	7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (1)	27 (4)
Field Goals	45-95	41-88
At-the-Rim FG	19-33	7-16
Midrange FG	10-22	16-34
2-Point FG	29-55	23-50
3-Point FG	16-40	18-38
Free Throws	10-12	7-12
Fast Break Pts	15	6
2nd Chance Pts	17	14
Points in Paint	56	38
Pts off Turnovers	15	22
Bench Points	34	35
Biggest Lead	25	10

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg