Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, February 25, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Warriors	57%	113	133	134.3	99	91.4
	22	Grizzlies	43%	111	112	113.1	99	108.0

Prediction updated: Feb 26, 2026 12:06 AM

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+19

-14

104

MEM

+10

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.29 64.6%

MEM

1.20 60.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 23	30.6	19	59%	8	6	0	0	3	2	1	7	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	3-8	38%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	29.6	21	70%	5	6	3	0	1	2	3	2	1-1	100%	7-9	78%	2-6	33%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	27.6	14	88%	2	3	1	0	1	2	1	1	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	26.7	10	50%	7	3	0	1	0	1	2	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-6	33%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	25.6	17	106%	3	4	1	1	1	0	0	3	4-4	100%	5-5	100%	1-2	50%

Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	32.4	12	46%	2	9	1	1	2	4	1	1	0-0	-	3-8	38%	2-5	40%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	28.4	19	79%	5	4	3	0	3	3	1	4	0-0	-	5-5	100%	3-7	43%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	21.3	12	60%	8	0	1	2	2	3	0	8	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	2-6	33%
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	17.9	9	64%	8	2	2	1	1	4	5	3	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Low Back; Injury Management
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	DNP – Injury/Illness \| General; Illness
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgery
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	65%	48	37	12	6	14	21	14	34	16-19	84%	30-46	65%	19-46	41%

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14 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 23	30.6	19	59%	8	6	0	0	3	2	1	7	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	3-8	38%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	29.6	21	70%	5	6	3	0	1	2	3	2	1-1	100%	7-9	78%	2-6	33%
Moses Moody #4 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	27.6	14	88%	2	3	1	0	1	2	1	1	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	26.7	10	50%	7	3	0	1	0	1	2	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-6	33%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	25.6	17	106%	3	4	1	1	1	0	0	3	4-4	100%	5-5	100%	1-2	50%

Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	32.4	12	46%	2	9	1	1	2	4	1	1	0-0	-	3-8	38%	2-5	40%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	28.4	19	79%	5	4	3	0	3	3	1	4	0-0	-	5-5	100%	3-7	43%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	21.3	12	60%	8	0	1	2	2	3	0	8	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	2-6	33%
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	17.9	9	64%	8	2	2	1	1	4	5	3	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Low Back; Injury Management
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	DNP – Injury/Illness \| General; Illness
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgery
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	65%	48	37	12	6	14	21	14	34	16-19	84%	30-46	65%	19-46	41%

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22 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Javon Small #10 · SG · 6'1" 190 · 23	27.6	16	100%	6	4	0	0	0	0	1	5	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	3-5	60%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 23	26.9	8	50%	2	3	1	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	25.9	24	80%	8	2	1	2	5	2	3	5	5-6	83%	5-6	83%	3-6	50%
Ty Jerome #2 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 29	24.0	22	73%	3	5	1	0	2	2	0	3	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	4-8	50%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · C · 6'7" 230 · 24	20.4	3	30%	2	2	0	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-2	50%

Taylor Hendricks #22 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	27.6	14	64%	6	4	2	1	2	0	2	4	2-3	67%	6-9	67%	0-2	0%
Rayan Rupert #32 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	23.9	8	50%	3	1	1	0	0	3	1	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	22.2	4	22%	0	3	0	0	1	3	0	0	1-2	50%	0-4	0%	1-4	25%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	21.1	5	63%	1	2	0	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	20.4	8	50%	3	4	1	0	2	2	2	1	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Posterior Capsule Sprain
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	G League - Two-Way
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Surgery Recovery
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Kyle Anderson #5 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	60%	34	30	7	4	16	16	10	24	13-18	72%	24-43	56%	17-41	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	MEM

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.29 64.6%

MEM

1.20 60.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

76%

MEM

67%

Midrange

GSW

47%

MEM

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

28.5

41%

62%

MEM

25.5

41%

62%

Free Throws

GSW

84%

MEM

72%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
W. Richard	21	70%	10.5 / 15
B. Podziemski	19	59%	9.5 / 16
G. Payton	19	79%	9.5 / 12
G. Santos	17	106%	8.5 / 8
M. Moody	14	88%	7.0 / 8
P. Spencer	12	46%	6.0 / 13
Q. Post	12	60%	6.0 / 10
A. Horford	10	50%	5.0 / 10
M. Leons	9	64%	4.5 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Jackson	24	80%	12.0 / 15
T. Jerome	22	73%	11.0 / 15
J. Small	16	100%	8.0 / 8
T. Hendricks	14	64%	7.0 / 11
J. Wells	8	50%	4.0 / 8
R. Rupert	8	50%	4.0 / 8
S. Pippen	8	50%	4.0 / 8
C. Spencer	5	63%	2.5 / 4
W. Clayton	4	22%	2.0 / 9
O. Prosper	3	30%	1.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 114.0 23 112.4	GSW 134.3 +21.2 MEM 113.1
Pace	18 99.9 7 101.8	GSW 91.4 MEM 108.0 +16.6
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.7 26 13.8	GSW 15.8 MEM 13.3 −2.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 24 53.3%	GSW 63.6% +4.7% MEM 58.9%
TO %	28 14.9% 22 14.3%	GSW 13.8% −1.0% MEM 14.8%
ORB %	14 25.8% 19 24.7%	GSW 36.8% +14.1% MEM 22.7%
FTrt	24 23.8 21 25.1	GSW 20.7 MEM 21.4 +0.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 70.6% 6 67.4%	GSW 75.5% +2.3% MEM 73.2%
STL %	3 9.6% 11 8.7%	GSW 12.1% +5.0% MEM 7.1%
BLK %	27 8.0% 14 9.1%	GSW 14.0% +5.3% MEM 8.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.1% 22 55.8%	GSW 64.6% +4.4% MEM 60.2%
Rim FG%	5 66.7% 26 62.8%	GSW 75.9% +9.2% MEM 66.7%
Mid FG%	22 42.1% 11 44.2%	GSW 47.1% +1.6% MEM 45.5%
3P %	20 35.6% 22 35.3%	GSW 41.3% MEM 41.5% +0.2%
FT %	6 80.7% 9 79.3%	GSW 84.2% +12.0% MEM 72.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 29.5% 26 28.6%	GSW 31.5% +6.5% MEM 25.0%
Mid Att. %	3 20.8% 19 27.8%	GSW 18.5% −7.7% MEM 26.2%
3P Att. %	1 49.7% 10 43.6%	GSW 50.0% +1.2% MEM 48.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	MEM
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	26.0	22.0
Points	133	112
Rebounds	48	34
Assists	37	30
Steals	12	7
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	14 (2)	16 (0)
Fouls	21	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (5)	10 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (2)	24 (3)
Field Goals	49-92	41-84
At-the-Rim FG	22-29	14-21
Midrange FG	8-17	10-22
2-Point FG	30-46	24-43
3-Point FG	19-46	17-41
Free Throws	16-19	13-18
Fast Break Pts	17	13
2nd Chance Pts	29	17
Points in Paint	58	44
Pts off Turnovers	33	14
Bench Points	52	39
Biggest Lead	32	1

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg