Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, February 25, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Kings	15%	104	97	100.0	97	115.0
	7	Rockets	85%	117	128	132.0	97	83.9

Prediction updated: Feb 26, 2026 12:56 AM

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+20

-12

105

HOU

+12

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.92 46.2%

HOU

1.32 66.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	30.1	6	27%	10	1	0	0	2	2	5	5	0-0	-	3-9	33%	0-2	0%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	28.7	11	55%	8	2	0	0	1	1	3	5	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	25.1	22	58%	5	3	0	0	2	2	2	3	1-1	100%	9-12	75%	1-7	14%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 37	23.8	15	68%	1	7	1	0	1	2	0	1	7-8	88%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Keegan Murray #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 26	8.6	3	50%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	3-3	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	29.4	15	68%	2	1	4	0	4	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-7	43%
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	24.4	9	45%	2	0	2	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 23	21.1	5	36%	3	1	1	0	1	4	3	0	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Killian Hayes #3 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 25	20.2	3	17%	1	3	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-6	0%	1-3	33%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	19.1	7	39%	5	3	0	0	0	1	0	5	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-5	20%
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	9.5	1	25%	5	1	0	1	0	0	2	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Tendon Repair
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Repair
De'Andre Hunter #15 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Retinal Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	46%	43	22	9	2	12	15	16	27	16-20	80%	30-62	48%	7-31	23%

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27 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	30.1	6	27%	10	1	0	0	2	2	5	5	0-0	-	3-9	33%	0-2	0%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	28.7	11	55%	8	2	0	0	1	1	3	5	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	25.1	22	58%	5	3	0	0	2	2	2	3	1-1	100%	9-12	75%	1-7	14%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 37	23.8	15	68%	1	7	1	0	1	2	0	1	7-8	88%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Keegan Murray #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 26	8.6	3	50%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	3-3	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	29.4	15	68%	2	1	4	0	4	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-7	43%
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	24.4	9	45%	2	0	2	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 23	21.1	5	36%	3	1	1	0	1	4	3	0	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Killian Hayes #3 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 25	20.2	3	17%	1	3	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-6	0%	1-3	33%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	19.1	7	39%	5	3	0	0	0	1	0	5	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-5	20%
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	9.5	1	25%	5	1	0	1	0	0	2	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Tendon Repair
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Repair
De'Andre Hunter #15 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Retinal Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	46%	43	22	9	2	12	15	16	27	16-20	80%	30-62	48%	7-31	23%

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7 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 23	32.6	12	50%	2	3	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-4	0%
Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 22	32.3	28	61%	3	2	1	1	2	1	1	2	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	7-16	44%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 24	32.0	26	81%	13	11	2	3	2	0	4	9	7-8	88%	8-11	73%	1-2	50%
Kevin Durant #7 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 37	27.9	21	75%	4	5	0	0	2	3	1	3	3-3	100%	6-8	75%	2-5	40%
Tari Eason #17 · SG · 6'8" 215 · 25	20.8	8	100%	2	1	1	1	0	4	0	2	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%

Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 27	24.1	14	88%	7	0	2	0	0	0	0	7	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	3-4	75%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	20.5	7	88%	2	3	0	0	2	3	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	17.3	3	75%	4	1	0	1	2	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39	14.6	5	63%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	12.5	2	25%	4	0	0	1	1	0	1	3	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	5.4	2	33%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristen Newton #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
Amen Thompson #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Quadricep; Tendinitis
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	66%	44	29	6	8	11	14	9	35	17-19	89%	30-47	64%	17-39	44%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	HOU
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	HOU

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.92 46.2%

HOU

1.32 66.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

60%

HOU

56%

Midrange

SAC

41%

HOU

75%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

10.5

23%

34%

HOU

25.5

44%

65%

Free Throws

SAC

80%

HOU

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Westbrook	22	58%	11.0 / 19
D. DeRozan	15	68%	7.5 / 11
N. Clifford	15	68%	7.5 / 11
M. Raynaud	11	55%	5.5 / 10
D. Plowden	9	45%	4.5 / 10
M. Monk	7	39%	3.5 / 9
P. Achiuwa	6	27%	3.0 / 11
P. Baldwin	5	36%	2.5 / 7
K. Murray	3	50%	1.5 / 3
K. Hayes	3	17%	1.5 / 9
D. Eubanks	1	25%	0.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Sheppard	28	61%	14.0 / 23
A. Sengun	26	81%	13.0 / 16
K. Durant	21	75%	10.5 / 14
J. Okogie	14	88%	7.0 / 8
J. Smith	12	50%	6.0 / 12
T. Eason	8	100%	4.0 / 4
A. Holiday	7	88%	3.5 / 4
J. Green	5	63%	2.5 / 4
I. Crawford	3	75%	1.5 / 2
C. Capela	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Davison	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 110.6 8 117.5	SAC 100.0 HOU 132.0 +32.0
Pace	17 100.0 29 96.9	SAC 115.0 +31.1 HOU 83.9
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.5 1 15.8	SAC 12.5 −4.6 HOU 17.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 52.5% 17 54.2%	SAC 43.5% HOU 64.5% +21.0%
TO %	15 13.7% 25 14.7%	SAC 10.5% −1.6% HOU 12.1%
ORB %	13 25.9% 1 34.8%	SAC 31.4% +6.4% HOU 25.0%
FTrt	19 25.6 18 26.0	SAC 21.5 HOU 22.1 +0.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 61.5% 27 59.1%	SAC 59.5% HOU 61.7% +2.2%
STL %	21 8.0% 9 8.7%	SAC 9.3% +3.1% HOU 6.2%
BLK %	19 8.6% 4 10.9%	SAC 4.3% HOU 12.9% +8.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.81 and 2.81.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 54.7% 20 56.1%	SAC 46.2% HOU 66.0% +19.8%
Rim FG%	8 65.9% 13 64.8%	SAC 60.0% +4.4% HOU 55.6%
Mid FG%	13 43.8% 9 44.3%	SAC 40.5% HOU 75.0% +34.5%
3P %	29 34.1% 10 36.4%	SAC 22.6% HOU 43.6% +21.0%
FT %	21 77.2% 25 76.3%	SAC 80.0% HOU 89.5% +9.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 28.0% 20 30.7%	SAC 26.9% HOU 31.4% +4.5%
Mid Att. %	30 38.1% 29 34.2%	SAC 39.8% HOU 23.3% −16.5%
3P Att. %	30 33.9% 28 35.0%	SAC 33.3% HOU 45.3% +12.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	SAC	HOU
Possessions	97	97
Possession Minutes	20.2	27.8
Points	97	128
Rebounds	43	44
Assists	22	29
Steals	9	6
Blocks	2	8
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	11 (2)
Fouls	15	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (4)	9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (1)	35 (1)
Field Goals	37-93	47-86
At-the-Rim FG	15-25	15-27
Midrange FG	15-37	15-20
2-Point FG	30-62	30-47
3-Point FG	7-31	17-39
Free Throws	16-20	17-19
Fast Break Pts	12	8
2nd Chance Pts	14	13
Points in Paint	40	48
Pts off Turnovers	13	11
Bench Points	40	33
Biggest Lead	2	36

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg