Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, February 25, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Cavaliers	58%	113	116	123.4	94	89.0
	18	Bucks	42%	111	118	125.5	94	99.5

Prediction updated: Feb 26, 2026 12:56 AM

Scoring Opportunities

CLE

+19

-11

102

MIL

+11

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.15 57.4%

MIL

1.28 64.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

16 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	35.1	14	41%	10	3	2	0	0	3	3	7	3-3	100%	4-10	40%	1-6	17%
Dennis Schröder #8 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	34.6	26	72%	2	5	1	0	3	1	1	1	7-9	78%	5-8	63%	3-6	50%
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30	33.7	14	50%	5	2	0	0	3	3	1	4	0-2	0%	4-5	80%	2-8	25%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	32.3	27	71%	11	1	2	1	1	0	6	5	7-8	88%	10-15	67%	0-0	-
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	21.6	0	0%	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-3	0%

Keon Ellis #14 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	28.9	14	78%	4	3	2	1	2	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-8	50%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	21.8	8	100%	2	9	0	0	0	0	1	1	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29	15.7	11	61%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	1-5	20%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	8.8	2	25%	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	7.5	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Injury Maintenance
Tristan Enaruna #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #12 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Darius Brown #30 · SG · 6'2" 192 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
Max Strus #2 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	57%	44	28	7	2	11	10	16	28	20-27	74%	30-47	64%	12-40	30%

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16 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	35.1	14	41%	10	3	2	0	0	3	3	7	3-3	100%	4-10	40%	1-6	17%
Dennis Schröder #8 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	34.6	26	72%	2	5	1	0	3	1	1	1	7-9	78%	5-8	63%	3-6	50%
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30	33.7	14	50%	5	2	0	0	3	3	1	4	0-2	0%	4-5	80%	2-8	25%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	32.3	27	71%	11	1	2	1	1	0	6	5	7-8	88%	10-15	67%	0-0	-
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	21.6	0	0%	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-3	0%

Keon Ellis #14 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	28.9	14	78%	4	3	2	1	2	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-8	50%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	21.8	8	100%	2	9	0	0	0	0	1	1	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29	15.7	11	61%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	1-5	20%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	8.8	2	25%	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	7.5	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Injury Maintenance
Tristan Enaruna #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix #12 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Darius Brown #30 · SG · 6'2" 192 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
Max Strus #2 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	57%	44	28	7	2	11	10	16	28	20-27	74%	30-47	64%	12-40	30%

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18 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Porter Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 26	37.9	20	63%	8	5	5	1	3	2	1	7	0-0	-	10-14	71%	0-2	0%
AJ Green #20 · SF · 6'4" 190 · 26	37.6	15	75%	1	2	0	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	5-10	50%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 24	34.8	18	69%	3	9	0	0	4	4	1	2	0-0	-	6-7	86%	2-6	33%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 31	26.3	17	61%	4	5	1	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	5-10	50%
Myles Turner #3 · C · 6'11" 250 · 30	24.1	15	83%	3	0	1	1	0	2	2	1	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	3-5	60%

Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 27	28.9	11	79%	11	2	0	0	2	3	4	7	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	21.1	10	63%	5	1	0	0	0	2	0	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Cam Thomas #24 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 24	16.2	7	58%	1	2	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Ousmane Dieng #21 · C · 6'9" 185 · 23	13.2	5	36%	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-6	17%
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gary Harris #11 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Antetokounmpo #29 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Neck; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	64%	36	28	7	2	13	20	8	28	3-5	60%	29-43	67%	19-45	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.15 57.4%

MIL

1.28 64.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CLE

81%

MIL

89%

Midrange

CLE

43%

MIL

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CLE

18.0

30%

45%

MIL

28.5

42%

63%

Free Throws

CLE

74%

MIL

60%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Allen	27	71%	13.5 / 19
D. Schröder	26	72%	13.0 / 18
J. Tyson	14	41%	7.0 / 17
S. Merrill	14	50%	7.0 / 14
K. Ellis	14	78%	7.0 / 9
T. Bryant	11	61%	5.5 / 9
C. Porter	8	100%	4.0 / 4
N. Tomlin	2	25%	1.0 / 4
D. Wade	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Porter	20	63%	10.0 / 16
R. Rollins	18	69%	9.0 / 13
K. Kuzma	17	61%	8.5 / 14
A. Green	15	75%	7.5 / 10
M. Turner	15	83%	7.5 / 9
J. Sims	11	79%	5.5 / 7
B. Portis	10	63%	5.0 / 8
C. Thomas	7	58%	3.5 / 6
O. Dieng	5	36%	2.5 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 118.3 24 112.3	CLE 123.4 MIL 125.5 +2.1
Pace	12 100.6 24 98.1	CLE 89.0 MIL 99.5 +10.6
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.1 7 14.8	CLE 16.2 MIL 14.5 −1.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 56.1% 3 56.5%	CLE 55.2% MIL 65.3% +10.1%
TO %	10 13.2% 24 14.7%	CLE 10.0% −2.6% MIL 12.6%
ORB %	9 26.9% 30 21.1%	CLE 36.4% +14.2% MIL 22.2%
FTrt	15 26.5 29 22.3	CLE 31.0 +25.3 MIL 5.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 65.3% 17 63.3%	CLE 66.7% +8.4% MIL 58.3%
STL %	15 8.4% 23 7.5%	CLE 7.4% MIL 7.4%
BLK %	11 9.8% 25 8.2%	CLE 4.7% +0.4% MIL 4.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.2% 9 57.5%	CLE 57.4% MIL 64.1% +6.7%
Rim FG%	7 66.1% 4 67.1%	CLE 80.8% MIL 89.5% +8.7%
Mid FG%	3 46.8% 20 42.6%	CLE 42.9% MIL 50.0% +7.1%
3P %	13 36.0% 2 38.7%	CLE 30.0% MIL 42.2% +12.2%
FT %	19 77.6% 30 73.0%	CLE 74.1% +14.1% MIL 60.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 31.7% 27 28.2%	CLE 29.9% +8.3% MIL 21.6%
Mid Att. %	8 24.1% 16 26.1%	CLE 24.1% −3.1% MIL 27.3%
3P Att. %	9 44.2% 5 45.7%	CLE 46.0% MIL 51.1% +5.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Game Totals	CLE	MIL
Possessions	94	94
Possession Minutes	25.4	22.7
Points	116	118
Rebounds	44	36
Assists	28	28
Steals	7	7
Blocks	2	2
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls	10	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (3)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (3)	28 (3)
Field Goals	42-87	48-88
At-the-Rim FG	21-26	17-19
Midrange FG	9-21	12-24
2-Point FG	30-47	29-43
3-Point FG	12-40	19-45
Free Throws	20-27	3-5
Fast Break Pts	3	9
2nd Chance Pts	25	6
Points in Paint	54	44
Pts off Turnovers	20	12
Bench Points	35	33
Biggest Lead	7	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg