Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, February 25, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Celtics	48%	115	84	89.4	94	88.3
	6	Nuggets	52%	116	103	109.6	94	100.5

Prediction updated: Feb 26, 2026 03:02 AM

Scoring Opportunities

BOS

+13

-13

DEN

+19

-8

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

0.89 44.7%

DEN

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 29	33.8	23	46%	11	3	0	3	4	2	0	11	8-9	89%	6-15	40%	1-6	17%
Derrick White #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 32	32.7	20	63%	6	3	1	3	3	0	3	3	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	4-9	44%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 27	28.4	10	71%	4	1	0	1	2	4	0	4	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	24.5	9	50%	4	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-8	38%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 28	24.4	5	50%	4	1	0	0	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%

Payton Pritchard #11 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 28	27.8	3	25%	3	4	2	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
Nikola Vučević #4 · C · 6'9" 265 · 35	23.0	2	14%	8	1	0	0	0	2	1	7	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Jordan Walsh #27 · PF · 6'6" 205 · 22	13.7	4	100%	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 26	10.7	3	21%	1	2	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-7	14%
Hugo González #28 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	10.2	5	63%	2	1	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Luka Garza #52 · C · 6'10" 243 · 27	5.5	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Dalano Banton #45 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 26	5.5	0	0%	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
John Tonje #8 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Amari Williams #77 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Max Shulga #44 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	84	45%	48	18	4	8	13	20	9	39	14-18	78%	17-40	43%	12-43	28%

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1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 29	33.8	23	46%	11	3	0	3	4	2	0	11	8-9	89%	6-15	40%	1-6	17%
Derrick White #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 32	32.7	20	63%	6	3	1	3	3	0	3	3	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	4-9	44%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 27	28.4	10	71%	4	1	0	1	2	4	0	4	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Baylor Scheierman #55 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	24.5	9	50%	4	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-8	38%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 28	24.4	5	50%	4	1	0	0	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%

Payton Pritchard #11 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 28	27.8	3	25%	3	4	2	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
Nikola Vučević #4 · C · 6'9" 265 · 35	23.0	2	14%	8	1	0	0	0	2	1	7	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Jordan Walsh #27 · PF · 6'6" 205 · 22	13.7	4	100%	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Ron Harper Jr. #13 · SF · 6'5" 233 · 26	10.7	3	21%	1	2	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-7	14%
Hugo González #28 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 20	10.2	5	63%	2	1	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Luka Garza #52 · C · 6'10" 243 · 27	5.5	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Dalano Banton #45 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 26	5.5	0	0%	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
John Tonje #8 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Amari Williams #77 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Max Shulga #44 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	84	45%	48	18	4	8	13	20	9	39	14-18	78%	17-40	43%	12-43	28%

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6 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cameron Johnson #23 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 30	34.8	11	50%	5	3	0	0	1	1	3	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	3-6	50%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	33.0	30	47%	12	6	0	0	1	2	3	9	4-7	57%	7-15	47%	4-13	31%
Christian Braun #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 25	27.5	6	75%	7	2	0	0	0	3	2	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	26.0	12	67%	1	1	1	1	3	4	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-5	40%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	7.8	2	33%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 30	27.6	4	22%	4	5	2	0	3	2	1	3	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	0-3	0%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	25.8	6	50%	7	0	0	1	0	3	1	6	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	21.3	14	64%	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	4	3-5	60%	4-5	80%	1-4	25%
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 24	14.3	2	20%	4	4	1	0	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	12.3	11	79%	6	2	0	1	0	1	2	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-1	100%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	7.0	0	0%	3	0	0	1	0	1	0	3	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	2.6	5	125%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
Tamar Bates #7 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	50%	54	28	4	4	8	18	14	40	10-18	56%	24-50	48%	15-43	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

BOS

0.89 44.7%

DEN

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BOS

59%

DEN

57%

Midrange

BOS

30%

DEN

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BOS

18.0

28%

42%

DEN

22.5

35%

52%

Free Throws

BOS

78%

DEN

56%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Brown	23	46%	11.5 / 25
D. White	20	63%	10.0 / 16
N. Queta	10	71%	5.0 / 7
B. Scheierman	9	50%	4.5 / 9
S. Hauser	5	50%	2.5 / 5
H. González	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Walsh	4	100%	2.0 / 2
P. Pritchard	3	25%	1.5 / 6
R. Harper	3	21%	1.5 / 7
N. Vučević	2	14%	1.0 / 7
L. Garza	0	-	0.0 / 2
D. Banton	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	30	47%	15.0 / 32
T. Hardaway	14	64%	7.0 / 11
J. Strawther	12	67%	6.0 / 9
C. Johnson	11	50%	5.5 / 11
J. Valančiūnas	11	79%	5.5 / 7
C. Braun	6	75%	3.0 / 4
S. Jones	6	50%	3.0 / 6
D. Holmes	5	125%	2.5 / 2
B. Brown	4	22%	2.0 / 9
J. Murray	2	33%	1.0 / 3
K. Simpson	2	20%	1.0 / 5
Z. Nnaji	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 120.0 1 121.3	BOS 89.4 DEN 109.6 +20.2
Pace	30 95.5 19 99.4	BOS 88.3 DEN 100.5 +12.3
Avg. Poss. Time	2 15.7 9 14.7	BOS 16.3 DEN 14.3 −2.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 55.3% 1 57.7%	BOS 42.2% DEN 50.0% +7.8%
TO %	2 12.0% 3 12.1%	BOS 13.3% DEN 8.2% −5.1%
ORB %	6 29.2% 24 23.6%	BOS 18.4% DEN 26.4% +8.0%
FTrt	30 20.7 4 29.4	BOS 21.7 +2.3 DEN 19.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 58.5% 9 66.5%	BOS 62.1% DEN 71.8% +9.7%
STL %	25 7.4% 30 6.8%	BOS 4.3% DEN 4.3%
BLK %	5 10.4% 29 7.6%	BOS 16.0% +6.0% DEN 10.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.21 and 2.21.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 56.9% 1 60.1%	BOS 44.7% DEN 49.5% +4.8%
Rim FG%	2 68.9% 12 65.1%	BOS 58.8% +2.3% DEN 56.5%
Mid FG%	12 44.2% 2 47.0%	BOS 30.4% DEN 40.7% +10.3%
3P %	8 36.7% 1 39.6%	BOS 27.9% DEN 34.9% +7.0%
FT %	7 80.7% 5 80.8%	BOS 77.8% +22.2% DEN 55.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	30 24.4% 19 31.1%	BOS 20.5% DEN 24.7% +4.2%
Mid Att. %	24 28.9% 21 28.1%	BOS 27.7% −1.3% DEN 29.0%
3P Att. %	4 46.7% 17 40.8%	BOS 51.8% +5.6% DEN 46.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	BOS	DEN
Possessions	94	94
Possession Minutes	25.6	22.4
Points	84	103
Rebounds	48	54
Assists	18	28
Steals	4	4
Blocks	8	4
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	8 (1)
Fouls	20	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (1)	40 (3)
Field Goals	29-83	39-93
At-the-Rim FG	10-17	13-23
Midrange FG	7-23	11-27
2-Point FG	17-40	24-50
3-Point FG	12-43	15-43
Free Throws	14-18	10-18
Fast Break Pts	6	14
2nd Chance Pts	9	23
Points in Paint	28	42
Pts off Turnovers	5	14
Bench Points	17	42
Biggest Lead	8	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg