Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, February 26, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Hornets	78%	120	133	135.7	98	91.1
	26	Pacers	22%	111	109	110.1	99	107.1

Prediction updated: Feb 27, 2026 12:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+13

-16

IND

+14

-12

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.40 70.0%

IND

1.10 55.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

8 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kon Knueppel #7 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 21	31.2	28	82%	4	2	1	1	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	8-12	67%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 24	29.9	14	88%	11	4	2	0	2	3	5	6	0-0	-	7-8	88%	0-0	-
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	25.7	33	79%	7	4	1	0	4	2	2	5	5-6	83%	5-8	63%	6-11	55%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 28	23.6	7	58%	3	2	2	1	2	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 25	21.6	20	77%	4	8	1	1	3	1	0	4	3-3	100%	4-4	100%	3-8	38%

Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 27	22.5	9	90%	4	2	0	1	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-4	75%
Josh Green #10 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	20.3	0	0%	0	1	1	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sion James #4 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 23	18.8	2	20%	4	2	0	0	0	3	1	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Coby White #3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	16.5	7	35%	1	6	1	0	1	1	0	1	3-5	60%	2-4	50%	0-4	0%
Ryan Kalkbrenner #11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 24	11.9	4	100%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 25	9.9	4	50%	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Pat Connaughton #21 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 33	8.0	5	125%	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PJ Hall #16 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tosan Evbuomwan #20 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Liam McNeeley #33 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	70%	46	35	10	4	16	19	11	35	15-19	79%	26-40	65%	22-46	48%

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8 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kon Knueppel #7 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 21	31.2	28	82%	4	2	1	1	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	8-12	67%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 24	29.9	14	88%	11	4	2	0	2	3	5	6	0-0	-	7-8	88%	0-0	-
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	25.7	33	79%	7	4	1	0	4	2	2	5	5-6	83%	5-8	63%	6-11	55%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 28	23.6	7	58%	3	2	2	1	2	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 25	21.6	20	77%	4	8	1	1	3	1	0	4	3-3	100%	4-4	100%	3-8	38%

Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 27	22.5	9	90%	4	2	0	1	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-4	75%
Josh Green #10 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	20.3	0	0%	0	1	1	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sion James #4 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 23	18.8	2	20%	4	2	0	0	0	3	1	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Coby White #3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	16.5	7	35%	1	6	1	0	1	1	0	1	3-5	60%	2-4	50%	0-4	0%
Ryan Kalkbrenner #11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 24	11.9	4	100%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 25	9.9	4	50%	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Pat Connaughton #21 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 33	8.0	5	125%	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PJ Hall #16 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tosan Evbuomwan #20 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Liam McNeeley #33 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	70%	46	35	10	4	16	19	11	35	15-19	79%	26-40	65%	22-46	48%

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26 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jarace Walker #5 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 22	31.1	16	47%	6	1	1	1	2	0	2	4	0-0	-	5-10	50%	2-7	29%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	29.1	20	59%	3	7	1	0	4	2	1	2	5-6	83%	3-8	38%	3-6	50%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 29	27.8	7	50%	4	3	0	1	1	2	3	1	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-3	0%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	25.2	11	79%	5	3	1	0	1	2	2	3	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	0-1	0%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	8.5	3	30%	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-3	0%

Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	30.6	13	59%	4	2	1	0	1	4	1	3	5-5	100%	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	25.9	6	50%	5	1	0	1	2	1	2	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	25.9	19	79%	4	1	2	0	0	2	0	4	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	5-7	71%
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	19.1	5	63%	2	2	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	16.9	9	45%	2	7	0	0	1	0	0	2	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Sprain
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	55%	37	28	7	3	12	15	12	25	16-20	80%	30-52	58%	11-35	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	IND
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.40 70.0%

IND

1.10 55.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

75%

IND

79%

Midrange

CHA

50%

IND

30%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

33.0

48%

72%

IND

16.5

31%

47%

Free Throws

CHA

79%

IND

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Miller	33	79%	16.5 / 21
K. Knueppel	28	82%	14.0 / 17
L. Ball	20	77%	10.0 / 13
M. Diabaté	14	88%	7.0 / 8
G. Williams	9	90%	4.5 / 5
M. Bridges	7	58%	3.5 / 6
C. White	7	35%	3.5 / 10
P. Connaughton	5	125%	2.5 / 2
R. Kalkbrenner	4	100%	2.0 / 2
T. Mann	4	50%	2.0 / 4
S. James	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Nembhard	20	59%	10.0 / 17
M. Potter	19	79%	9.5 / 12
J. Walker	16	47%	8.0 / 17
Q. Jackson	13	59%	6.5 / 11
B. Sheppard	11	79%	5.5 / 7
T. McConnell	9	45%	4.5 / 10
J. Huff	7	50%	3.5 / 7
K. Brown	6	50%	3.0 / 6
K. Jones	5	63%	2.5 / 4
O. Toppin	3	30%	1.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 118.6 28 110.1	CHA 135.7 +25.6 IND 110.1
Pace	27 97.5 10 101.4	CHA 91.1 IND 107.1 +15.9
Avg. Poss. Time	3 15.2 25 13.9	CHA 15.8 IND 13.4 −2.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.2% 23 53.3%	CHA 68.6% +15.2% IND 53.4%
TO %	27 14.8% 14 13.6%	CHA 15.3% IND 11.1% −4.2%
ORB %	4 30.5% 29 21.7%	CHA 30.6% +5.1% IND 25.5%
FTrt	23 24.4 20 25.2	CHA 22.1 IND 23.0 +0.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 64.3% 5 67.8%	CHA 72.9% +4.6% IND 68.3%
STL %	29 7.2% 28 7.2%	CHA 10.2% +3.1% IND 7.1%
BLK %	20 8.6% 26 8.1%	CHA 7.7% +0.2% IND 7.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.3% 24 55.4%	CHA 70.0% +14.9% IND 55.1%
Rim FG%	23 63.1% 25 62.9%	CHA 75.0% IND 79.3% +4.3%
Mid FG%	25 41.4% 19 42.7%	CHA 50.0% +19.6% IND 30.4%
3P %	3 37.8% 18 35.6%	CHA 47.8% +16.4% IND 31.4%
FT %	2 81.8% 17 77.6%	CHA 78.9% IND 80.0% +1.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 29.3% 23 30.3%	CHA 27.9% IND 33.3% +5.4%
Mid Att. %	6 22.0% 18 27.5%	CHA 18.6% −7.8% IND 26.4%
3P Att. %	2 48.7% 14 42.2%	CHA 53.5% +13.3% IND 40.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CHA	IND
Possessions	98	99
Possession Minutes	25.8	22.2
Points	133	109
Rebounds	46	37
Assists	35	28
Steals	10	7
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	12 (0)
Fouls	19	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (2)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (2)	25 (1)
Field Goals	48-86	41-87
At-the-Rim FG	18-24	23-29
Midrange FG	8-16	7-23
2-Point FG	26-40	30-52
3-Point FG	22-46	11-35
Free Throws	15-19	16-20
Fast Break Pts	12	13
2nd Chance Pts	10	8
Points in Paint	50	58
Pts off Turnovers	19	18
Bench Points	31	52
Biggest Lead	31	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg