Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, February 26, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Kings	24%	109	130	126.2	103	97.0
	22	Mavericks	76%	118	121	117.5	103	109.8

Prediction updated: Feb 27, 2026 01:33 AM

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+17

-4

116

DAL

+12

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.12 56.0%

DAL

1.23 61.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	39.1	13	34%	8	7	2	1	1	3	1	7	0-0	-	5-13	38%	1-6	17%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	33.2	29	76%	12	4	3	1	0	4	7	5	0-0	-	10-16	63%	3-3	100%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	32.4	15	47%	7	5	4	0	3	2	4	3	3-6	50%	6-10	60%	0-3	0%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	31.5	22	69%	6	0	1	1	0	3	2	4	6-6	100%	8-12	67%	0-1	0%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 37	25.4	7	58%	2	5	0	1	0	1	0	2	5-6	83%	1-3	33%	0-0	-

Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	25.7	19	119%	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	3-3	100%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	19.1	8	31%	0	2	0	0	0	3	0	0	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-5	0%
Killian Hayes #3 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 25	18.1	5	31%	4	6	1	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-5	20%
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	9.8	11	92%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 23	5.6	1	25%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thigh; Contusion
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
De'Andre Hunter #15 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Retinal Repair
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Repair
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Tendon Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	56%	46	29	11	4	4	22	16	30	20-25	80%	43-75	57%	8-26	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

28 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	39.1	13	34%	8	7	2	1	1	3	1	7	0-0	-	5-13	38%	1-6	17%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	33.2	29	76%	12	4	3	1	0	4	7	5	0-0	-	10-16	63%	3-3	100%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	32.4	15	47%	7	5	4	0	3	2	4	3	3-6	50%	6-10	60%	0-3	0%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	31.5	22	69%	6	0	1	1	0	3	2	4	6-6	100%	8-12	67%	0-1	0%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 37	25.4	7	58%	2	5	0	1	0	1	0	2	5-6	83%	1-3	33%	0-0	-

Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 27	25.7	19	119%	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	3-3	100%
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	19.1	8	31%	0	2	0	0	0	3	0	0	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-5	0%
Killian Hayes #3 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 25	18.1	5	31%	4	6	1	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-5	20%
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	9.8	11	92%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 23	5.6	1	25%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thigh; Contusion
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
De'Andre Hunter #15 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Retinal Repair
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Repair
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Tendon Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	56%	46	29	11	4	4	22	16	30	20-25	80%	43-75	57%	8-26	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

22 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Naji Marshall #13 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 28	42.2	36	64%	10	6	0	0	3	2	1	9	7-11	64%	13-19	68%	1-4	25%
Khris Middleton #20 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 35	33.3	17	77%	5	4	0	0	3	1	2	3	5-5	100%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · C · 6'10" 235 · 27	28.6	10	83%	9	0	0	2	4	4	1	8	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	26.8	8	44%	2	0	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-5	40%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	20.3	10	63%	0	2	3	0	0	2	0	0	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%

Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	27.0	16	62%	3	4	1	0	3	3	1	2	3-7	43%	5-8	63%	1-2	50%
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	15.8	8	57%	2	2	0	1	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
AJ Johnson #8 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	14.8	11	138%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	1-1	100%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 35	12.8	2	100%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Tyus Jones #1 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	11.9	1	17%	2	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 23	6.6	2	20%	5	0	0	0	0	1	3	2	2-4	50%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Miles Kelly #14 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Midfoot; Sprain
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Injury Management
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	62%	42	23	4	3	17	16	8	34	21-34	62%	35-58	60%	10-23	43%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	DAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.12 56.0%

DAL

1.23 61.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

72%

DAL

72%

Midrange

SAC

44%

DAL

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

12.0

31%

46%

DAL

15.0

43%

65%

Free Throws

SAC

80%

DAL

62%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Achiuwa	29	76%	14.5 / 19
M. Raynaud	22	69%	11.0 / 16
D. Plowden	19	119%	9.5 / 8
D. Carter	15	47%	7.5 / 16
N. Clifford	13	34%	6.5 / 19
D. Eubanks	11	92%	5.5 / 6
M. Monk	8	31%	4.0 / 13
D. DeRozan	7	58%	3.5 / 6
K. Hayes	5	31%	2.5 / 8
P. Baldwin	1	25%	0.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Marshall	36	64%	18.0 / 28
K. Middleton	17	77%	8.5 / 11
B. Williams	16	62%	8.0 / 13
A. Johnson	11	138%	5.5 / 4
M. Bagley	10	83%	5.0 / 6
C. Martin	10	63%	5.0 / 8
M. Christie	8	44%	4.0 / 9
K. Thompson	8	57%	4.0 / 7
D. Powell	2	100%	1.0 / 1
M. Cisse	2	20%	1.0 / 5
T. Jones	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 110.6 27 110.4	SAC 126.2 +8.7 DAL 117.5
Pace	17 100.0 6 102.5	SAC 97.0 DAL 109.8 +12.8
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.5 24 14.0	SAC 14.8 DAL 13.1 −1.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 52.5% 28 52.7%	SAC 54.5% DAL 61.7% +7.2%
TO %	15 13.7% 13 13.5%	SAC 4.3% −11.5% DAL 15.8%
ORB %	13 25.9% 26 23.2%	SAC 32.0% +10.9% DAL 21.1%
FTrt	19 25.6 6 28.7	SAC 24.8 DAL 42.0 +17.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 61.5% 22 60.4%	SAC 56.9% +5.8% DAL 51.1%
STL %	21 8.0% 27 7.3%	SAC 10.7% +6.8% DAL 3.9%
BLK %	19 8.6% 16 9.0%	SAC 6.9% +2.9% DAL 4.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 54.7% 28 55.2%	SAC 56.0% DAL 61.7% +5.7%
Rim FG%	8 65.9% 22 63.2%	SAC 72.2% +0.3% DAL 71.9%
Mid FG%	13 43.8% 18 43.1%	SAC 43.6% DAL 46.2% +2.6%
3P %	29 34.1% 26 34.4%	SAC 30.8% DAL 43.5% +12.7%
FT %	21 77.2% 28 75.5%	SAC 80.0% +18.2% DAL 61.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 28.0% 12 32.8%	SAC 35.6% DAL 39.5% +3.9%
Mid Att. %	30 38.1% 28 31.7%	SAC 38.6% DAL 32.1% −6.5%
3P Att. %	30 33.9% 26 35.5%	SAC 25.7% DAL 28.4% +2.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	SAC	DAL
Possessions	103	103
Possession Minutes	25.5	22.5
Points	130	121
Rebounds	46	42
Assists	29	23
Steals	11	4
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	4 (1)	17 (1)
Fouls	22	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (1)	8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (1)	34 (1)
Field Goals	51-101	45-81
At-the-Rim FG	26-36	23-32
Midrange FG	17-39	12-26
2-Point FG	43-75	35-58
3-Point FG	8-26	10-23
Free Throws	20-25	21-34
Fast Break Pts	20	27
2nd Chance Pts	22	16
Points in Paint	76	62
Pts off Turnovers	21	5
Bench Points	44	40
Biggest Lead	18	1

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg