Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, February 26, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Pelicans	65%	120	129	126.5	102	96.5
	29	Jazz	35%	115	118	116.8	101	107.1

Prediction updated: Feb 27, 2026 01:33 AM

Scoring Opportunities

NOP

+18

-18

102

UTA

+18

-18

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.26 63.2%

UTA

1.17 58.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

21 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	34.2	42	88%	5	7	0	0	2	1	2	3	9-9	100%	9-11	82%	5-9	56%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 26	33.3	20	63%	4	4	4	1	1	0	1	3	2-3	67%	9-15	60%	0-0	-
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	25.8	17	61%	3	9	4	1	6	3	1	2	5-5	100%	3-5	60%	2-7	29%
Herbert Jones #2 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 27	25.6	8	80%	1	6	3	0	2	4	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 38	13.0	4	100%	7	0	0	0	2	1	1	6	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-

Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	30.9	8	44%	5	3	1	0	0	2	0	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-4	0%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	24.8	8	100%	4	0	0	4	1	5	2	2	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	22.2	12	50%	2	4	1	1	3	0	0	2	2-3	67%	2-7	29%	2-4	50%
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	20.1	7	39%	7	1	0	0	1	4	5	2	3-4	75%	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 27	10.2	3	38%	2	3	0	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Contusion
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	63%	40	37	13	8	18	22	13	27	24-27	89%	33-54	61%	13-34	38%

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21 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	34.2	42	88%	5	7	0	0	2	1	2	3	9-9	100%	9-11	82%	5-9	56%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 26	33.3	20	63%	4	4	4	1	1	0	1	3	2-3	67%	9-15	60%	0-0	-
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	25.8	17	61%	3	9	4	1	6	3	1	2	5-5	100%	3-5	60%	2-7	29%
Herbert Jones #2 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 27	25.6	8	80%	1	6	3	0	2	4	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 38	13.0	4	100%	7	0	0	0	2	1	1	6	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-

Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	30.9	8	44%	5	3	1	0	0	2	0	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-4	0%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	24.8	8	100%	4	0	0	4	1	5	2	2	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	22.2	12	50%	2	4	1	1	3	0	0	2	2-3	67%	2-7	29%	2-4	50%
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	20.1	7	39%	7	1	0	0	1	4	5	2	3-4	75%	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 27	10.2	3	38%	2	3	0	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trey Murphy III #25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Contusion
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	63%	40	37	13	8	18	22	13	27	24-27	89%	33-54	61%	13-34	38%

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29 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cody Williams #5 · PF · 6'8" 190 · 21	30.1	6	38%	3	1	0	1	0	1	1	2	2-5	40%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Ace Bailey #19 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 20	29.4	23	64%	4	1	1	1	1	5	1	3	3-3	100%	7-11	64%	2-6	33%
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	27.4	11	46%	1	7	1	0	4	3	1	0	1-2	50%	5-10	50%	0-1	0%
John Konchar #55 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	26.1	4	33%	5	1	5	2	2	0	4	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	18.2	13	81%	6	2	0	0	4	3	4	2	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	2-3	67%

Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	25.2	20	67%	3	2	1	0	2	3	0	3	3-5	60%	4-5	80%	3-8	38%
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	20.6	11	61%	3	6	4	1	2	1	0	3	5-6	83%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	20.2	6	60%	8	4	2	0	3	3	0	8	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Blake Hinson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	18.0	2	20%	0	1	0	1	0	2	0	0	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	15.3	14	70%	2	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	4-7	57%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	9.6	8	100%	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury recovery
Jaren Jackson Jr. #20 · C · 6'10" 242 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury recovery
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nose; Injury recovery
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain/ Right hip impingement
Vince Williams Jr. #0 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury management
Mo Bamba #11 · C · 7'0" 231 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	58%	37	28	14	6	18	21	15	22	16-25	64%	33-53	62%	12-37	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	UTA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.26 63.2%

UTA

1.17 58.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOP

68%

UTA

66%

Midrange

NOP

50%

UTA

58%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOP

19.5

38%

57%

UTA

18.0

32%

49%

Free Throws

NOP

89%

UTA

64%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Bey	42	88%	21.0 / 24
Z. Williamson	20	63%	10.0 / 16
D. Murray	17	61%	8.5 / 14
J. Fears	12	50%	6.0 / 12
H. Jones	8	80%	4.0 / 5
B. McGowens	8	44%	4.0 / 9
K. Matković	8	100%	4.0 / 4
D. Queen	7	39%	3.5 / 9
D. Jordan	4	100%	2.0 / 2
J. Poole	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Bailey	23	64%	11.5 / 18
B. Sensabaugh	20	67%	10.0 / 15
S. Mykhailiuk	14	70%	7.0 / 10
K. Filipowski	13	81%	6.5 / 8
I. Collier	11	46%	5.5 / 12
E. Harkless	11	61%	5.5 / 9
O. Tshiebwe	8	100%	4.0 / 4
C. Williams	6	38%	3.0 / 8
K. Love	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Konchar	4	33%	2.0 / 6
B. Hinson	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 113.3 22 112.9	NOP 126.5 +9.6 UTA 116.8
Pace	11 101.3 2 103.4	NOP 96.5 UTA 107.1 +10.6
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.1 27 13.8	NOP 14.9 UTA 13.4 −1.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 52.7% 20 53.6%	NOP 59.7% +3.0% UTA 56.7%
TO %	11 13.2% 23 14.4%	NOP 15.3% UTA 15.1% −0.2%
ORB %	8 27.0% 12 26.2%	NOP 37.1% +1.4% UTA 35.7%
FTrt	8 28.4 10 27.7	NOP 30.7 +2.9 UTA 27.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 59.6% 2 69.6%	NOP 80.4% +18.2% UTA 62.2%
STL %	10 8.7% 14 8.5%	NOP 12.7% UTA 13.9% +1.2%
BLK %	7 10.1% 30 7.5%	NOP 15.1% +4.0% UTA 11.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 55.4% 18 56.4%	NOP 63.2% +4.8% UTA 58.4%
Rim FG%	29 61.5% 17 64.5%	NOP 67.6% +2.1% UTA 65.5%
Mid FG%	30 36.6% 8 44.4%	NOP 50.0% UTA 58.3% +8.3%
3P %	24 34.7% 25 34.5%	NOP 38.2% +5.8% UTA 32.4%
FT %	14 78.4% 13 78.6%	NOP 88.9% +24.9% UTA 64.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 42.8% 17 31.3%	NOP 38.6% +6.4% UTA 32.2%
Mid Att. %	5 21.7% 23 28.4%	NOP 22.7% −3.9% UTA 26.7%
3P Att. %	27 35.5% 21 40.3%	NOP 38.6% UTA 41.1% +2.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.79 and 2.79.

Game Totals	NOP	UTA
Possessions	102	101
Possession Minutes	25.4	22.6
Points	129	118
Rebounds	40	37
Assists	37	28
Steals	13	14
Blocks	8	6
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	18 (0)
Fouls	22	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (5)	15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (3)	22 (3)
Field Goals	46-88	45-90
At-the-Rim FG	23-34	19-29
Midrange FG	10-20	14-24
2-Point FG	33-54	33-53
3-Point FG	13-34	12-37
Free Throws	24-27	16-25
Fast Break Pts	21	28
2nd Chance Pts	18	22
Points in Paint	64	54
Pts off Turnovers	20	24
Bench Points	38	61
Biggest Lead	27	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg