Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, February 27, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Cavaliers	25%	107	119	109.2	109	93.2
	2	Pistons	75%	115	122	115.1	106	102.0

Prediction updated: Feb 27, 2026 11:24 PM

Scoring Opportunities

CLE

+19

-17

111

DET

+26

-13

119

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.06 53.1%

DET

1.03 51.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	40.7	15	68%	4	1	2	0	1	5	1	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	4-7	57%
Dennis Schröder #8 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	37.8	12	35%	1	9	1	1	8	1	1	0	4-4	100%	4-13	31%	0-2	0%
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 25	37.0	23	72%	12	1	0	4	1	2	0	12	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	4-8	50%
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30	36.3	20	63%	1	3	2	0	2	3	0	1	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	4-10	40%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	31.5	25	78%	9	4	0	1	1	6	4	5	5-8	63%	10-12	83%	0-0	-

Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	32.4	5	25%	4	12	3	1	3	1	1	3	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-3	0%
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	18.9	4	67%	0	1	1	0	0	3	0	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29	15.7	13	50%	8	1	0	1	1	1	3	5	2-3	67%	4-9	44%	1-3	33%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	14.7	2	20%	2	0	1	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristan Enaruna #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Darius Brown #30 · SG · 6'2" 192 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keon Ellis #14 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Index Finger; Fracture
Riley Minix #12 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Max Strus #2 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	119	53%	41	32	10	9	17	24	11	30	20-27	74%	30-59	51%	13-35	37%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

14 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	40.7	15	68%	4	1	2	0	1	5	1	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	4-7	57%
Dennis Schröder #8 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	37.8	12	35%	1	9	1	1	8	1	1	0	4-4	100%	4-13	31%	0-2	0%
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 25	37.0	23	72%	12	1	0	4	1	2	0	12	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	4-8	50%
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30	36.3	20	63%	1	3	2	0	2	3	0	1	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	4-10	40%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	31.5	25	78%	9	4	0	1	1	6	4	5	5-8	63%	10-12	83%	0-0	-

Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	32.4	5	25%	4	12	3	1	3	1	1	3	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-3	0%
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	18.9	4	67%	0	1	1	0	0	3	0	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29	15.7	13	50%	8	1	0	1	1	1	3	5	2-3	67%	4-9	44%	1-3	33%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	14.7	2	20%	2	0	1	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristan Enaruna #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Darius Brown #30 · SG · 6'2" 192 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keon Ellis #14 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Index Finger; Fracture
Riley Minix #12 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Max Strus #2 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	119	53%	41	32	10	9	17	24	11	30	20-27	74%	30-59	51%	13-35	37%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

2 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 22	41.7	33	63%	16	3	1	3	0	1	7	9	11-15	73%	11-19	58%	0-0	-
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 34	37.0	11	42%	5	5	6	0	0	1	0	5	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-4	25%
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 24	36.6	25	54%	10	7	2	0	4	6	2	8	3-5	60%	11-18	61%	0-3	0%
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 23	35.5	18	69%	8	5	2	1	1	3	3	5	4-6	67%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 32	34.0	8	44%	2	2	0	2	2	6	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-8	25%

Daniss Jenkins #24 · PG · 6'4" 165 · 25	19.2	8	36%	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	3-3	100%	1-7	14%	1-3	33%
Caris LeVert #8 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 32	16.6	1	25%	2	1	1	0	2	2	1	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Ronald Holland II #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 21	15.0	12	86%	3	0	0	0	1	3	2	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	11.4	0	0%	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Paul Reed #7 · C · 6'9" 210 · 27	11.3	4	50%	6	1	1	0	0	3	4	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Javonte Green #31 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 33	6.7	2	25%	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Kevin Huerter #27 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tolu Smith #35 · PF · 6'11" 254 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaac Jones #13 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 25	DNP - League Suspension
Bobi Klintman #34 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Chaz Lanier #20 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Wendell Moore Jr. #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	122	51%	56	26	14	6	13	27	21	35	24-33	73%	40-73	55%	6-27	22%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	DET
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	DET

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.06 53.1%

DET

1.03 51.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CLE

61%

DET

64%

Midrange

CLE

42%

DET

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CLE

19.5

37%

56%

DET

9.0

22%

33%

Free Throws

CLE

74%

DET

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Allen	25	78%	12.5 / 16
E. Mobley	23	72%	11.5 / 16
S. Merrill	20	63%	10.0 / 16
J. Tyson	15	68%	7.5 / 11
T. Bryant	13	50%	6.5 / 13
D. Schröder	12	35%	6.0 / 17
C. Porter	5	25%	2.5 / 10
T. Proctor	4	67%	2.0 / 3
N. Tomlin	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Duren	33	63%	16.5 / 26
C. Cunningham	25	54%	12.5 / 23
A. Thompson	18	69%	9.0 / 13
R. Holland	12	86%	6.0 / 7
T. Harris	11	42%	5.5 / 13
D. Robinson	8	44%	4.0 / 9
D. Jenkins	8	36%	4.0 / 11
P. Reed	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Green	2	25%	1.0 / 4
C. LeVert	1	25%	0.5 / 2
M. Sasser	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 118.3 9 117.4	CLE 109.2 DET 115.1 +5.9
Pace	12 100.6 20 99.3	CLE 93.2 DET 102.0 +8.8
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.1 13 14.5	CLE 15.5 DET 14.1 −1.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 56.1% 15 54.7%	CLE 52.7% +3.7% DET 49.0%
TO %	10 13.2% 21 14.1%	CLE 14.5% DET 12.3% −2.2%
ORB %	9 26.9% 3 30.9%	CLE 23.9% DET 41.2% +17.3%
FTrt	15 26.5 5 29.2	CLE 28.7 DET 33.0 +4.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 65.3% 16 64.1%	CLE 74.4% +17.9% DET 56.5%
STL %	15 8.4% 1 10.4%	CLE 9.2% DET 13.2% +4.0%
BLK %	11 9.8% 1 13.2%	CLE 12.3% +2.1% DET 10.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.07 and 3.07.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.2% 12 57.0%	CLE 53.1% +1.8% DET 51.3%
Rim FG%	7 66.1% 16 64.7%	CLE 60.7% DET 63.6% +2.9%
Mid FG%	3 46.8% 27 40.5%	CLE 41.9% +0.5% DET 41.4%
3P %	13 36.0% 17 35.6%	CLE 37.1% +14.9% DET 22.2%
FT %	19 77.6% 27 76.3%	CLE 74.1% +1.4% DET 72.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 31.7% 2 40.1%	CLE 29.8% DET 44.0% +14.2%
Mid Att. %	8 24.1% 11 25.3%	CLE 33.0% DET 29.0% −4.0%
3P Att. %	9 44.2% 29 34.5%	CLE 37.2% +10.2% DET 27.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Game Totals	CLE	DET
Possessions	109	106
Possession Minutes	28.1	24.9
Points	119	122
Rebounds	41	56
Assists	32	26
Steals	10	14
Blocks	9	6
Turnovers (Team)	17 (1)	13 (3)
Fouls	24	27
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (8)	21 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (3)	35 (2)
Field Goals	43-94	46-100
At-the-Rim FG	17-28	28-44
Midrange FG	13-31	12-29
2-Point FG	30-59	40-73
3-Point FG	13-35	6-27
Free Throws	20-27	24-33
Fast Break Pts	7	12
2nd Chance Pts	15	19
Points in Paint	56	68
Pts off Turnovers	11	20
Bench Points	24	27
Biggest Lead	13	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg