Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, February 27, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Grizzlies	44%	114	124	120.4	103	104.5
	22	Mavericks	56%	116	105	101.9	103	101.5

Prediction updated: Feb 28, 2026 01:21 AM

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+12

-11

104

DAL

+23

-20

106

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.19 59.6%

DAL

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

26 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Javon Small #10 · SG · 6'1" 190 · 23	25.8	9	56%	4	5	2	0	2	3	2	2	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · C · 6'7" 230 · 24	24.8	16	80%	10	1	3	1	1	2	0	10	0-0	-	5-6	83%	2-4	50%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	24.4	12	75%	3	4	0	0	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	21.6	15	63%	2	3	3	1	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	6-9	67%	1-3	33%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 23	19.9	12	55%	4	3	1	1	0	2	2	2	2-3	67%	2-6	33%	2-4	50%

Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	26.4	11	42%	2	5	0	1	2	1	0	2	5-7	71%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Rayan Rupert #32 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	25.2	5	31%	5	2	2	0	1	6	1	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-3	33%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	25.0	25	74%	2	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	3-3	100%	5-7	71%	4-9	44%
Taylor Hendricks #22 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	23.6	11	79%	8	2	0	2	2	4	2	6	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-2	50%
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	23.2	8	50%	3	1	1	1	0	3	1	2	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Posterior Capsule Sprain
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thigh; Contusion
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 41	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Surgery Recovery
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	60%	43	29	13	7	11	26	10	33	18-21	86%	35-61	57%	12-32	38%

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26 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Javon Small #10 · SG · 6'1" 190 · 23	25.8	9	56%	4	5	2	0	2	3	2	2	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · C · 6'7" 230 · 24	24.8	16	80%	10	1	3	1	1	2	0	10	0-0	-	5-6	83%	2-4	50%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	24.4	12	75%	3	4	0	0	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	21.6	15	63%	2	3	3	1	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	6-9	67%	1-3	33%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 23	19.9	12	55%	4	3	1	1	0	2	2	2	2-3	67%	2-6	33%	2-4	50%

Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	26.4	11	42%	2	5	0	1	2	1	0	2	5-7	71%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Rayan Rupert #32 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	25.2	5	31%	5	2	2	0	1	6	1	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-3	33%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	25.0	25	74%	2	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	3-3	100%	5-7	71%	4-9	44%
Taylor Hendricks #22 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	23.6	11	79%	8	2	0	2	2	4	2	6	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-2	50%
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	23.2	8	50%	3	1	1	1	0	3	1	2	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Posterior Capsule Sprain
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thigh; Contusion
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 41	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Surgery Recovery
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	60%	43	29	13	7	11	26	10	33	18-21	86%	35-61	57%	12-32	38%

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22 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	29.0	13	50%	3	2	0	0	5	0	1	2	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	1-5	20%
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	26.4	16	50%	8	4	0	0	2	0	0	8	4-5	80%	3-11	27%	2-3	67%
Naji Marshall #13 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 28	23.6	4	33%	2	2	1	1	3	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	20.1	14	88%	5	0	0	2	2	1	2	3	0-1	0%	7-8	88%	0-0	-
Khris Middleton #20 · PF · 6'7" 222 · 35	19.3	10	50%	1	3	1	0	1	2	0	1	4-5	80%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%

AJ Johnson #8 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	33.7	12	38%	3	4	0	0	2	1	0	3	5-6	83%	2-5	40%	1-8	13%
Miles Kelly #14 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 23	31.0	9	41%	5	4	1	1	2	1	1	4	1-1	100%	1-4	25%	2-7	29%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 35	22.6	13	93%	11	1	0	0	2	4	5	6	6-7	86%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Tyus Jones #1 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	21.6	6	43%	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-6	33%
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 23	12.8	8	50%	8	0	1	0	1	3	4	4	0-6	0%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Soreness
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Midfoot; Sprain
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Neck; Sprain
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	50%	46	24	4	4	20	13	13	33	22-33	67%	28-56	50%	9-32	28%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	DAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.19 59.6%

DAL

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

82%

DAL

53%

Midrange

MEM

44%

DAL

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

18.0

38%

56%

DAL

13.5

28%

42%

Free Throws

MEM

86%

DAL

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Spencer	25	74%	12.5 / 17
O. Prosper	16	80%	8.0 / 10
S. Pippen	15	63%	7.5 / 12
G. Jackson	12	75%	6.0 / 8
J. Wells	12	55%	6.0 / 11
W. Clayton	11	42%	5.5 / 13
T. Hendricks	11	79%	5.5 / 7
J. Small	9	56%	4.5 / 8
J. Mashack	8	50%	4.0 / 8
R. Rupert	5	31%	2.5 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Williams	16	50%	8.0 / 16
D. Gafford	14	88%	7.0 / 8
M. Christie	13	50%	6.5 / 13
D. Powell	13	93%	6.5 / 7
A. Johnson	12	38%	6.0 / 16
K. Middleton	10	50%	5.0 / 10
M. Kelly	9	41%	4.5 / 11
M. Cisse	8	50%	4.0 / 8
T. Jones	6	43%	3.0 / 7
N. Marshall	4	33%	2.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 112.4 27 110.4	MEM 120.4 +18.4 DAL 101.9
Pace	7 101.8 6 102.5	MEM 104.5 +3.0 DAL 101.5
Avg. Poss. Time	26 13.8 24 14.0	MEM 13.8 −0.4 DAL 14.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.3% 28 52.7%	MEM 57.0% +9.8% DAL 47.2%
TO %	22 14.3% 13 13.5%	MEM 9.7% −7.3% DAL 17.0%
ORB %	19 24.7% 26 23.2%	MEM 23.3% DAL 28.3% +5.0%
FTrt	21 25.1 6 28.7	MEM 22.6 DAL 37.5 +14.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 67.4% 22 60.4%	MEM 61.7% DAL 64.9% +3.2%
STL %	11 8.7% 27 7.3%	MEM 12.6% +8.7% DAL 3.9%
BLK %	14 9.1% 16 9.0%	MEM 12.5% +5.9% DAL 6.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.8% 28 55.2%	MEM 59.6% +9.6% DAL 50.0%
Rim FG%	26 62.8% 22 63.2%	MEM 81.8% +28.5% DAL 53.3%
Mid FG%	11 44.2% 18 43.1%	MEM 43.6% DAL 46.2% +2.6%
3P %	22 35.3% 26 34.4%	MEM 37.5% +9.4% DAL 28.1%
FT %	9 79.3% 28 75.5%	MEM 85.7% +19.0% DAL 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 28.6% 12 32.8%	MEM 23.7% DAL 34.1% +10.4%
Mid Att. %	19 27.8% 28 31.7%	MEM 41.9% DAL 29.5% −12.4%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 26 35.5%	MEM 34.4% DAL 36.4% +2.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	DAL
Possessions	103	103
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.3
Points	124	105
Rebounds	43	46
Assists	29	24
Steals	13	4
Blocks	7	4
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	20 (1)
Fouls	26	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (2)	13 (10)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (1)	33 (2)
Field Goals	47-93	37-88
At-the-Rim FG	18-22	16-30
Midrange FG	17-39	12-26
2-Point FG	35-61	28-56
3-Point FG	12-32	9-32
Free Throws	18-21	22-33
Fast Break Pts	32	11
2nd Chance Pts	18	24
Points in Paint	58	48
Pts off Turnovers	36	15
Bench Points	60	48
Biggest Lead	34	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg