Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 3, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Thunder	82%	118	116	110.5	105	104.9
	26	Bulls	18%	106	108	101.9	106	106.1

Prediction updated: Mar 4, 2026 12:52 AM

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

+16

-9

112

CHI

+14

-19

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.03 51.3%

CHI

1.08 54.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

6 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · PF · 6'5" 190 · 27	33.9	18	50%	7	4	2	1	0	0	3	4	2-2	100%	8-12	67%	0-5	0%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 27	29.7	19	56%	2	0	1	0	0	3	0	2	3-4	75%	5-5	100%	2-10	20%
Cason Wallace #22 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	28.9	17	57%	1	5	2	0	1	2	0	1	4-4	100%	5-10	50%	1-3	33%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 27	27.6	4	33%	5	2	0	0	1	0	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 24	25.9	12	46%	11	2	0	2	2	2	2	9	4-6	67%	4-8	50%	0-2	0%

Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	32.9	17	71%	16	6	1	0	1	1	2	14	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	3-7	43%
Jared McCain #3 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	25.2	20	67%	3	1	2	0	2	4	1	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	4-9	44%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	19.3	8	36%	4	1	2	0	1	0	1	3	4-4	100%	2-6	33%	0-3	0%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	14.9	1	13%	2	2	0	0	1	1	2	0	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	1.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus: Injury Management
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Abdominal; Strain/ Left Ankle Sprain
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Strain
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Abdominal; Strain; Injury Management
Payton Sandfort #14 · NA · 6'7" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	51%	51	23	10	3	9	13	12	39	20-24	83%	33-57	58%	10-42	24%

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6 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · PF · 6'5" 190 · 27	33.9	18	50%	7	4	2	1	0	0	3	4	2-2	100%	8-12	67%	0-5	0%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 27	29.7	19	56%	2	0	1	0	0	3	0	2	3-4	75%	5-5	100%	2-10	20%
Cason Wallace #22 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	28.9	17	57%	1	5	2	0	1	2	0	1	4-4	100%	5-10	50%	1-3	33%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 27	27.6	4	33%	5	2	0	0	1	0	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 24	25.9	12	46%	11	2	0	2	2	2	2	9	4-6	67%	4-8	50%	0-2	0%

Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	32.9	17	71%	16	6	1	0	1	1	2	14	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	3-7	43%
Jared McCain #3 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	25.2	20	67%	3	1	2	0	2	4	1	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	4-9	44%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	19.3	8	36%	4	1	2	0	1	0	1	3	4-4	100%	2-6	33%	0-3	0%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	14.9	1	13%	2	2	0	0	1	1	2	0	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	1.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus: Injury Management
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Abdominal; Strain/ Left Ankle Sprain
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Strain
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Abdominal; Strain; Injury Management
Payton Sandfort #14 · NA · 6'7" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	51%	51	23	10	3	9	13	12	39	20-24	83%	33-57	58%	10-42	24%

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26 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 23	33.0	14	54%	9	9	1	2	4	1	1	8	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	3-7	43%
Isaac Okoro #35 · SF · 6'4" 225 · 25	31.8	4	20%	1	2	0	0	2	3	0	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-5	0%
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · C · 6'7" 265 · 30	29.4	18	64%	12	2	1	1	1	3	3	9	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	4-10	40%
Tre Jones #30 · SG · 6'1" 190 · 26	26.4	15	68%	2	2	0	0	2	4	1	1	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	3-5	60%
Matas Buzelis #14 · PF · 6'8" 196 · 21	20.4	11	50%	5	3	0	0	1	2	1	4	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	2-5	40%

Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	28.0	20	63%	1	2	0	0	2	4	0	1	5-6	83%	3-6	50%	3-8	38%
Rob Dillingham #7 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	23.8	6	43%	5	5	0	0	3	1	1	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Nick Richards #13 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	23.3	12	60%	13	0	1	0	3	2	3	10	0-2	0%	6-8	75%	0-1	0%
Leonard Miller #11 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	21.1	8	80%	3	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Lachlan Olbrich #47 · C · 6'8" 236 · 22	2.9	0	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Yuki Kawamura #8 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mac McClung #5 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Noa Essengue #24 · PF · 6'8" 194 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadricep; Strain
Jalen Smith #25 · C · 6'8" 244 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Anfernee Simons #22 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ulnar Styloid; Fracture
Zach Collins #12 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 1st Toe; Surgery
Jaden Ivey #31 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	54%	53	27	3	3	19	22	10	43	13-19	68%	22-41	54%	17-49	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	CHI
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	CHI

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.03 51.3%

CHI

1.08 54.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

57%

CHI

59%

Midrange

OKC

60%

CHI

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

15.0

24%

36%

CHI

25.5

35%

52%

Free Throws

OKC

83%

CHI

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. McCain	20	67%	10.0 / 15
I. Joe	19	56%	9.5 / 17
A. Wiggins	18	50%	9.0 / 18
C. Wallace	17	57%	8.5 / 15
J. Williams	17	71%	8.5 / 12
C. Holmgren	12	46%	6.0 / 13
A. Caruso	8	36%	4.0 / 11
L. Dort	4	33%	2.0 / 6
K. Williams	1	13%	0.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Sexton	20	63%	10.0 / 16
G. Yabusele	18	64%	9.0 / 14
T. Jones	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Giddey	14	54%	7.0 / 13
N. Richards	12	60%	6.0 / 10
M. Buzelis	11	50%	5.5 / 11
L. Miller	8	80%	4.0 / 5
R. Dillingham	6	43%	3.0 / 7
I. Okoro	4	20%	2.0 / 10
L. Olbrich	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 117.6 25 112.2	OKC 110.5 +8.6 CHI 101.9
Pace	15 100.3 3 103.3	OKC 104.9 CHI 106.1 +1.1
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.1 28 13.6	OKC 13.7 CHI 13.6 −0.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 56.1% 14 54.7%	OKC 48.5% CHI 52.8% +4.3%
TO %	1 11.8% 20 14.1%	OKC 7.6% −8.6% CHI 16.2%
ORB %	28 22.3% 27 23.1%	OKC 21.8% +1.4% CHI 20.4%
FTrt	17 26.1 22 24.6	OKC 24.2 +3.1 CHI 21.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	25 59.8% 7 67.2%	OKC 53.5% CHI 69.2% +15.7%
STL %	4 9.6% 26 7.4%	OKC 9.5% +6.7% CHI 2.8%
BLK %	2 11.0% 15 9.0%	OKC 7.3% +2.0% CHI 5.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 58.5% 17 56.5%	OKC 51.3% CHI 54.0% +2.7%
Rim FG%	11 65.2% 30 61.4%	OKC 57.1% CHI 58.6% +1.5%
Mid FG%	1 47.6% 15 43.7%	OKC 60.0% +18.3% CHI 41.7%
3P %	9 36.5% 19 35.6%	OKC 23.8% CHI 34.7% +10.9%
FT %	3 81.7% 18 77.6%	OKC 83.3% +14.9% CHI 68.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	16 31.3% 3 38.2%	OKC 42.4% +10.2% CHI 32.2%
Mid Att. %	15 26.1% 1 17.5%	OKC 15.2% CHI 13.3% −1.8%
3P Att. %	13 42.6% 8 44.3%	OKC 42.4% CHI 54.4% +12.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Game Totals	OKC	CHI
Possessions	105	106
Possession Minutes	24.0	24.0
Points	116	108
Rebounds	51	53
Assists	23	27
Steals	10	3
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	19 (0)
Fouls	13	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (4)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (2)	43 (1)
Field Goals	43-99	39-90
At-the-Rim FG	24-42	17-29
Midrange FG	9-15	5-12
2-Point FG	33-57	22-41
3-Point FG	10-42	17-49
Free Throws	20-24	13-19
Fast Break Pts	20	6
2nd Chance Pts	14	12
Points in Paint	52	42
Pts off Turnovers	25	7
Bench Points	46	46
Biggest Lead	19	2

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg