Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 3, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Grizzlies	23%	111	110	104.8	105	111.2
	7	Timberwolves	77%	120	117	111.4	105	99.5

Prediction updated: Mar 4, 2026 12:52 AM

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

-17

MIN

+18

-16

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.18 59.1%

MIN

1.09 54.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 23	28.0	19	73%	1	0	1	0	1	3	0	1	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	4-7	57%
Ty Jerome #2 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 29	23.6	14	47%	4	2	1	0	1	1	0	4	4-4	100%	2-7	29%	2-6	33%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · SG · 6'2" 170 · 25	23.6	8	50%	3	5	1	0	4	5	0	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · C · 6'7" 230 · 24	23.6	2	25%	2	3	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	22.6	12	86%	11	0	1	1	4	1	4	7	3-4	75%	3-4	75%	1-1	100%

Rayan Rupert #32 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	25.2	13	65%	6	1	1	1	0	5	0	6	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	24.4	9	56%	1	9	2	0	2	0	0	1	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Taylor Hendricks #22 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	24.1	8	40%	1	2	0	1	0	6	1	0	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	23.9	10	63%	2	4	1	0	1	3	0	2	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	21.0	15	75%	2	1	1	1	2	1	0	2	5-5	100%	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Surgery Recovery
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 41	Inactive – Return to Competition Reconditioning
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	59%	33	27	9	4	17	26	5	28	23-29	79%	21-41	51%	15-38	39%

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23 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 23	28.0	19	73%	1	0	1	0	1	3	0	1	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	4-7	57%
Ty Jerome #2 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 29	23.6	14	47%	4	2	1	0	1	1	0	4	4-4	100%	2-7	29%	2-6	33%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · SG · 6'2" 170 · 25	23.6	8	50%	3	5	1	0	4	5	0	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · C · 6'7" 230 · 24	23.6	2	25%	2	3	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	22.6	12	86%	11	0	1	1	4	1	4	7	3-4	75%	3-4	75%	1-1	100%

Rayan Rupert #32 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	25.2	13	65%	6	1	1	1	0	5	0	6	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	24.4	9	56%	1	9	2	0	2	0	0	1	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Taylor Hendricks #22 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	24.1	8	40%	1	2	0	1	0	6	1	0	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	23.9	10	63%	2	4	1	0	1	3	0	2	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	21.0	15	75%	2	1	1	1	2	1	0	2	5-5	100%	2-4	50%	2-4	50%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Reaction
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Surgery Recovery
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 41	Inactive – Return to Competition Reconditioning
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	59%	33	27	9	4	17	26	5	28	23-29	79%	21-41	51%	15-38	39%

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7 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 25	37.3	41	66%	6	2	5	1	2	2	0	6	4-4	100%	8-16	50%	7-13	54%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	36.4	23	55%	11	4	0	0	5	3	4	7	9-12	75%	7-11	64%	0-4	0%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 25	32.1	16	80%	7	1	1	0	1	3	1	6	4-4	100%	6-7	86%	0-1	0%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 29	30.4	7	50%	4	6	1	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-5	20%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 34	26.5	5	50%	12	1	0	0	1	4	4	8	3-6	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Ayo Dosunmu #13 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 26	28.6	14	64%	3	4	0	0	1	3	1	2	4-4	100%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 27	22.9	3	17%	6	1	1	1	2	1	2	4	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-4	0%
Kyle Anderson #12 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	13.8	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bones Hyland #8 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 25	12.1	6	50%	2	0	0	0	3	5	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-6	33%
Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Phillips #4 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joan Beringer #19 · PF · 6'11" 230 · 19	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rocco Zikarsky #44 · C · 7'3" 227 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Enrique Freeman #25 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zyon Pullin #15 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	55%	52	19	8	2	16	24	13	39	27-34	79%	30-50	60%	10-34	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	MIN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.18 59.1%

MIN

1.09 54.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

58%

MIN

69%

Midrange

MEM

45%

MIN

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

22.5

39%

59%

MIN

15.0

29%

44%

Free Throws

MEM

79%

MIN

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Wells	19	73%	9.5 / 13
C. Coward	15	75%	7.5 / 10
T. Jerome	14	47%	7.0 / 15
R. Rupert	13	65%	6.5 / 10
G. Jackson	12	86%	6.0 / 7
C. Spencer	10	63%	5.0 / 8
W. Clayton	9	56%	4.5 / 8
S. Pippen	8	50%	4.0 / 8
T. Hendricks	8	40%	4.0 / 10
O. Prosper	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	41	66%	20.5 / 31
J. Randle	23	55%	11.5 / 21
J. McDaniels	16	80%	8.0 / 10
A. Dosunmu	14	64%	7.0 / 11
D. DiVincenzo	7	50%	3.5 / 7
B. Hyland	6	50%	3.0 / 6
R. Gobert	5	50%	2.5 / 5
N. Reid	3	17%	1.5 / 9
K. Anderson	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 112.4 13 115.7	MEM 104.8 MIN 111.4 +6.7
Pace	7 101.8 9 101.4	MEM 111.2 +11.7 MIN 99.5
Avg. Poss. Time	26 13.8 15 14.4	MEM 13.0 −1.5 MIN 14.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.3% 6 55.9%	MEM 55.1% +1.5% MIN 53.6%
TO %	22 14.3% 18 13.9%	MEM 15.6% MIN 15.4% −0.2%
ORB %	19 24.7% 15 25.7%	MEM 11.4% MIN 31.7% +20.3%
FTrt	21 25.1 7 28.5	MEM 36.7 MIN 40.5 +3.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 67.4% 21 61.2%	MEM 75.0% +27.5% MIN 47.5%
STL %	11 8.7% 13 8.6%	MEM 8.6% +1.0% MIN 7.6%
BLK %	14 9.1% 6 10.4%	MEM 8.0% +3.1% MIN 4.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.8% 8 57.6%	MEM 59.1% +4.4% MIN 54.7%
Rim FG%	26 62.8% 10 65.7%	MEM 57.9% MIN 69.0% +11.1%
Mid FG%	11 44.2% 14 43.7%	MEM 45.5% MIN 47.6% +2.1%
3P %	22 35.3% 6 37.0%	MEM 39.5% +10.1% MIN 29.4%
FT %	9 79.3% 29 75.2%	MEM 79.3% MIN 79.4% +0.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 28.6% 9 33.0%	MEM 24.1% MIN 34.5% +10.5%
Mid Att. %	19 27.8% 10 25.0%	MEM 27.8% MIN 25.0% −2.8%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 16 42.0%	MEM 48.1% +7.6% MIN 40.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	MIN
Possessions	105	105
Possession Minutes	22.7	25.3
Points	110	117
Rebounds	33	52
Assists	27	19
Steals	9	8
Blocks	4	2
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	16 (2)
Fouls	26	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (0)	13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (0)	39 (2)
Field Goals	36-79	40-84
At-the-Rim FG	11-19	20-29
Midrange FG	10-22	10-21
2-Point FG	21-41	30-50
3-Point FG	15-38	10-34
Free Throws	23-29	27-34
Fast Break Pts	22	16
2nd Chance Pts	9	13
Points in Paint	36	50
Pts off Turnovers	21	23
Bench Points	55	25
Biggest Lead	11	17

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg