Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 4, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Jazz	40%	114	102	108.5	94	94.8
	25	76ers	60%	117	106	111.6	95	94.2

Prediction updated: Mar 5, 2026 12:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

+18

-14

PHI

+20

-14

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.04 52.0%

PHI

1.06 53.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ace Bailey #19 · PF · 6'9" 200 · 20	30.5	12	38%	2	3	1	0	3	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-9	33%	2-7	29%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	30.2	30	58%	4	2	1	0	2	3	0	4	5-6	83%	5-13	38%	5-11	45%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21	28.1	9	64%	6	3	0	1	0	1	1	5	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-4	25%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	22.4	6	75%	11	3	1	1	2	5	4	7	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	19.8	3	30%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%

Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	25.9	18	64%	0	5	3	1	3	2	0	0	8-8	100%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Mo Bamba #11 · C · 7'0" 231 · 28	20.9	4	67%	8	1	0	2	2	1	3	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	19.8	7	29%	2	2	0	0	1	3	1	1	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	0-6	0%
Blake Hinson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	19.0	11	92%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
John Konchar #55 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	18.9	0	0%	2	3	1	1	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	4.7	2	100%	3	0	0	0	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vince Williams Jr. #0 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury management
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury recovery
Jaren Jackson Jr. #20 · C · 6'10" 242 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury recovery
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Impingement
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nose; Injury recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	52%	42	22	7	6	14	24	13	29	18-19	95%	24-49	49%	12-39	31%

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28 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ace Bailey #19 · PF · 6'9" 200 · 20	30.5	12	38%	2	3	1	0	3	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-9	33%	2-7	29%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	30.2	30	58%	4	2	1	0	2	3	0	4	5-6	83%	5-13	38%	5-11	45%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21	28.1	9	64%	6	3	0	1	0	1	1	5	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-4	25%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	22.4	6	75%	11	3	1	1	2	5	4	7	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	19.8	3	30%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%

Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	25.9	18	64%	0	5	3	1	3	2	0	0	8-8	100%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Mo Bamba #11 · C · 7'0" 231 · 28	20.9	4	67%	8	1	0	2	2	1	3	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	19.8	7	29%	2	2	0	0	1	3	1	1	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	0-6	0%
Blake Hinson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	19.0	11	92%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
John Konchar #55 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	18.9	0	0%	2	3	1	1	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	4.7	2	100%	3	0	0	0	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vince Williams Jr. #0 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury management
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury recovery
Jaren Jackson Jr. #20 · C · 6'10" 242 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury recovery
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Impingement
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nose; Injury recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	52%	42	22	7	6	14	24	13	29	18-19	95%	24-49	49%	12-39	31%

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25 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	37.9	25	50%	2	6	1	3	1	0	0	2	7-7	100%	6-12	50%	2-10	20%
Quentin Grimes #5 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 26	31.1	16	62%	5	2	1	0	3	1	3	2	2-3	67%	7-8	88%	0-4	0%
Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	28.7	12	75%	5	1	1	1	1	2	3	2	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Dominick Barlow #25 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 23	25.3	7	44%	4	1	1	1	2	0	1	3	1-1	100%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Trendon Watford #12 · SF · 6'8" 245 · 25	22.4	7	58%	7	3	0	1	1	4	1	6	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-

Jabari Walker #33 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 24	28.1	22	73%	10	2	0	1	1	2	3	7	4-6	67%	3-5	60%	4-7	57%
Tyrese Martin #23 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	18.9	8	57%	2	2	0	0	4	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Justin Edwards #11 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	15.2	5	50%	2	4	2	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 33	13.2	2	33%	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	3	0-1	0%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Cameron Payne #20 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 32	10.1	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 40	9.2	2	33%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
MarJon Beauchamp #16 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dalen Terry #14 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
VJ Edgecombe #77 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| lumbar; Contusion
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Oblique; Strain
Johni Broome #22 · PF · 6'9" 244 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery Recovery
Paul George #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 36	Inactive - League Suspension \| NWT
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	53%	43	24	6	7	14	17	12	31	17-21	81%	31-53	58%	9-35	26%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	PHI
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	PHI

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.04 52.0%

PHI

1.06 53.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

63%

PHI

64%

Midrange

UTA

32%

PHI

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

18.0

31%

46%

PHI

13.5

26%

39%

Free Throws

UTA

95%

PHI

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. George	30	58%	15.0 / 26
I. Collier	18	64%	9.0 / 14
A. Bailey	12	38%	6.0 / 16
B. Hinson	11	92%	5.5 / 6
C. Williams	9	64%	4.5 / 7
B. Sensabaugh	7	29%	3.5 / 12
K. Filipowski	6	75%	3.0 / 4
M. Bamba	4	67%	2.0 / 3
E. Harkless	3	30%	1.5 / 5
O. Tshiebwe	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Konchar	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Maxey	25	50%	12.5 / 25
J. Walker	22	73%	11.0 / 15
Q. Grimes	16	62%	8.0 / 13
A. Bona	12	75%	6.0 / 8
T. Martin	8	57%	4.0 / 7
D. Barlow	7	44%	3.5 / 8
T. Watford	7	58%	3.5 / 6
J. Edwards	5	50%	2.5 / 5
A. Drummond	2	33%	1.0 / 3
K. Lowry	2	33%	1.0 / 3
C. Payne	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 112.9 16 114.4	UTA 108.5 PHI 111.6 +3.1
Pace	2 103.4 16 100.3	UTA 94.8 +0.7 PHI 94.2
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 11 14.6	UTA 15.2 −0.1 PHI 15.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.6% 25 53.0%	UTA 47.7% PHI 50.6% +2.9%
TO %	23 14.4% 6 12.8%	UTA 13.5% PHI 13.4% −0.1%
ORB %	12 26.2% 11 26.2%	UTA 29.5% +0.2% PHI 29.3%
FTrt	10 27.7 11 27.5	UTA 21.6 PHI 23.9 +2.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 69.6% 28 58.9%	UTA 61.1% +1.1% PHI 60.0%
STL %	14 8.5% 7 9.0%	UTA 7.4% +1.1% PHI 6.3%
BLK %	30 7.5% 3 10.9%	UTA 11.3% PHI 14.3% +3.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.4% 21 55.9%	UTA 52.0% PHI 53.0% +1.0%
Rim FG%	17 64.5% 27 62.1%	UTA 63.0% PHI 63.9% +0.9%
Mid FG%	8 44.4% 23 41.8%	UTA 31.8% PHI 47.1% +15.3%
3P %	25 34.5% 23 34.9%	UTA 30.8% +5.1% PHI 25.7%
FT %	13 78.6% 4 80.9%	UTA 94.7% +13.7% PHI 81.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 31.3% 6 35.0%	UTA 30.7% PHI 40.9% +10.2%
Mid Att. %	23 28.4% 13 25.9%	UTA 25.0% PHI 19.3% −5.7%
3P Att. %	21 40.3% 23 39.1%	UTA 44.3% +4.5% PHI 39.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	UTA	PHI
Possessions	94	95
Possession Minutes	23.8	24.2
Points	102	106
Rebounds	42	43
Assists	22	24
Steals	7	6
Blocks	6	7
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	14 (1)
Fouls	24	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (5)	12 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (3)	31 (3)
Field Goals	36-88	40-88
At-the-Rim FG	17-27	23-36
Midrange FG	7-22	8-17
2-Point FG	24-49	31-53
3-Point FG	12-39	9-35
Free Throws	18-19	17-21
Fast Break Pts	10	21
2nd Chance Pts	21	20
Points in Paint	38	60
Pts off Turnovers	18	22
Bench Points	42	39
Biggest Lead	8	14

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg