Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 4, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Blazers	62%	118	122	119.6	102	94.7
	23	Grizzlies	38%	114	114	114.0	100	108.4

Prediction updated: Mar 5, 2026 12:57 AM

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+22

-16

108

MEM

+18

-17

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.13 56.5%

MEM

1.13 56.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

19 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	39.7	9	35%	7	3	1	1	1	3	1	6	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	0-7	0%
Jerami Grant #9 · SF · 6'7" 213 · 32	36.0	30	65%	9	4	1	0	2	3	3	6	5-9	56%	8-11	73%	3-8	38%
Jrue Holiday #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 36	31.9	35	92%	5	11	1	0	3	0	1	4	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	8-11	73%
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	24.3	8	33%	1	3	1	0	2	5	0	1	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	1-6	17%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	12.4	7	50%	9	1	1	4	2	1	5	4	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%

Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	23.5	20	77%	11	0	1	3	2	2	5	6	2-2	100%	9-12	75%	0-0	-
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	22.2	4	40%	2	1	1	3	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 26	21.2	3	30%	6	3	1	0	1	0	2	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	15.8	6	100%	0	2	1	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-2	100%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	12.9	0	0%	3	1	1	0	1	3	2	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Chris Youngblood #11 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Management
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Illness; .
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Fibula; Stress Reaction
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 36	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jayson Kent #29 · NA · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	56%	53	29	10	11	16	22	20	33	11-18	61%	33-52	63%	15-43	35%

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19 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	39.7	9	35%	7	3	1	1	1	3	1	6	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	0-7	0%
Jerami Grant #9 · SF · 6'7" 213 · 32	36.0	30	65%	9	4	1	0	2	3	3	6	5-9	56%	8-11	73%	3-8	38%
Jrue Holiday #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 36	31.9	35	92%	5	11	1	0	3	0	1	4	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	8-11	73%
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	24.3	8	33%	1	3	1	0	2	5	0	1	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	1-6	17%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	12.4	7	50%	9	1	1	4	2	1	5	4	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%

Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	23.5	20	77%	11	0	1	3	2	2	5	6	2-2	100%	9-12	75%	0-0	-
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	22.2	4	40%	2	1	1	3	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 26	21.2	3	30%	6	3	1	0	1	0	2	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	15.8	6	100%	0	2	1	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-2	100%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	12.9	0	0%	3	1	1	0	1	3	2	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Chris Youngblood #11 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Injury Management
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Illness; .
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Fibula; Stress Reaction
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 36	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jayson Kent #29 · NA · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	56%	53	29	10	11	16	22	20	33	11-18	61%	33-52	63%	15-43	35%

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23 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	33.8	20	50%	4	1	1	3	5	0	2	2	3-4	75%	7-16	44%	1-2	50%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · C · 6'7" 230 · 24	33.2	17	50%	9	1	2	0	2	3	6	3	5-10	50%	3-8	38%	2-5	40%
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	32.6	11	50%	7	5	2	1	3	1	2	5	2-3	67%	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Rayan Rupert #32 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 22	32.2	5	36%	5	0	2	0	1	4	1	4	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 23	31.2	24	71%	3	2	2	0	1	3	0	3	4-5	80%	4-7	57%	4-8	50%

Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	28.2	12	55%	7	7	0	2	0	2	1	6	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	2-5	40%
Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	27.4	12	60%	2	8	2	0	3	4	0	2	6-7	86%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	21.3	13	81%	1	1	1	0	2	6	1	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-4	75%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Great Toe; Injury Management
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Injury Management
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Surgery Recovery
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery Recovery
Taylor Hendricks #22 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 41	Inactive – Return to Competition Reconditioning
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	56%	38	25	12	6	17	23	13	25	22-33	67%	25-55	45%	14-32	44%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	POR	MEM

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.13 56.5%

MEM

1.13 56.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

63%

MEM

50%

Midrange

POR

65%

MEM

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

22.5

35%

52%

MEM

21.0

44%

66%

Free Throws

POR

61%

MEM

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Holiday	35	92%	17.5 / 19
J. Grant	30	65%	15.0 / 23
R. Williams	20	77%	10.0 / 13
T. Camara	9	35%	4.5 / 13
S. Henderson	8	33%	4.0 / 12
D. Clingan	7	50%	3.5 / 7
B. Wesley	6	100%	3.0 / 3
S. Cissoko	4	40%	2.0 / 5
V. Krejčí	3	30%	1.5 / 5
M. Thybulle	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Wells	24	71%	12.0 / 17
G. Jackson	20	50%	10.0 / 20
O. Prosper	17	50%	8.5 / 17
J. Mashack	13	81%	6.5 / 8
C. Spencer	12	55%	6.0 / 11
W. Clayton	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. Small	11	50%	5.5 / 11
R. Rupert	5	36%	2.5 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 113.1 23 112.4	POR 119.6 +5.6 MEM 114.0
Pace	8 101.6 7 101.8	POR 94.7 MEM 108.4 +13.7
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.2 26 13.8	POR 15.2 MEM 13.3 −1.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 53.3% 24 53.3%	POR 58.4% +5.5% MEM 52.9%
TO %	30 16.1% 22 14.3%	POR 14.2% −0.1% MEM 14.3%
ORB %	2 31.3% 19 24.7%	POR 44.4% +16.1% MEM 28.3%
FTrt	9 28.0 21 25.1	POR 18.9 MEM 37.9 +19.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 61.6% 6 67.4%	POR 60.4% MEM 64.1% +3.7%
STL %	20 8.1% 11 8.7%	POR 9.8% MEM 12.0% +2.2%
BLK %	8 10.1% 14 9.1%	POR 20.0% +8.5% MEM 11.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 55.6% 22 55.8%	POR 56.5% +0.1% MEM 56.4%
Rim FG%	19 63.9% 26 62.8%	POR 62.9% +12.9% MEM 50.0%
Mid FG%	29 37.4% 11 44.2%	POR 64.7% +24.0% MEM 40.7%
3P %	28 34.2% 22 35.3%	POR 34.9% MEM 43.8% +8.9%
FT %	24 76.5% 9 79.3%	POR 61.1% MEM 66.7% +5.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 35.6% 26 28.6%	POR 36.8% +4.7% MEM 32.2%
Mid Att. %	2 17.6% 19 27.8%	POR 17.9% −13.1% MEM 31.0%
3P Att. %	3 46.8% 10 43.6%	POR 45.3% +8.5% MEM 36.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.26 and 2.26.

Game Totals	POR	MEM
Possessions	102	100
Possession Minutes	25.9	22.1
Points	122	114
Rebounds	53	38
Assists	29	25
Steals	10	12
Blocks	11	6
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	17 (0)
Fouls	22	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	20 (2)	13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (1)	25 (2)
Field Goals	48-95	39-87
At-the-Rim FG	22-35	14-28
Midrange FG	11-17	11-27
2-Point FG	33-52	25-55
3-Point FG	15-43	14-32
Free Throws	11-18	22-33
Fast Break Pts	12	16
2nd Chance Pts	23	15
Points in Paint	62	46
Pts off Turnovers	23	13
Bench Points	33	37
Biggest Lead	11	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg