Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 4, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Pacers	24%	107	107	104.9	102	104.9
	16	Clippers	76%	116	130	126.2	103	100.3

Prediction updated: Mar 5, 2026 03:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+10

-12

100

LAC

+10

-11

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.08 54.0%

LAC

1.29 64.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

24 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jarace Walker #5 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 22	30.7	17	61%	5	5	0	0	2	4	1	4	4-4	100%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	30.3	29	73%	5	1	0	0	0	2	1	4	12-14	86%	7-11	64%	1-3	33%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 29	25.1	18	69%	5	1	0	1	1	4	1	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	4-8	50%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	24.1	5	36%	4	5	1	0	3	0	0	4	3-5	60%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	19.7	2	13%	3	2	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-1	0%	1-4	25%	0-4	0%

Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	23.7	10	63%	6	0	0	1	2	4	1	5	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	22.2	5	63%	2	2	1	1	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	20.4	4	25%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-4	0%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	18.4	11	69%	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	15.8	6	50%	3	5	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	9.6	0	0%	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Tear
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	54%	38	26	2	3	12	21	5	33	25-31	81%	26-48	54%	10-36	28%

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24 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jarace Walker #5 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 22	30.7	17	61%	5	5	0	0	2	4	1	4	4-4	100%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	30.3	29	73%	5	1	0	0	0	2	1	4	12-14	86%	7-11	64%	1-3	33%
Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 29	25.1	18	69%	5	1	0	1	1	4	1	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	4-8	50%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 26	24.1	5	36%	4	5	1	0	3	0	0	4	3-5	60%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	19.7	2	13%	3	2	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-1	0%	1-4	25%	0-4	0%

Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	23.7	10	63%	6	0	0	1	2	4	1	5	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	22.2	5	63%	2	2	1	1	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	20.4	4	25%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-4	0%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 27	18.4	11	69%	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	15.8	6	50%	3	5	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	9.6	0	0%	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Tear
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	54%	38	26	2	3	12	21	5	33	25-31	81%	26-48	54%	10-36	28%

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16 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 29	25.8	12	60%	2	0	2	1	2	3	0	2	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	1-4	25%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 35	23.4	29	76%	8	2	1	0	0	1	0	8	6-6	100%	7-11	64%	3-7	43%
Kris Dunn #8 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 32	22.9	6	100%	6	3	1	0	2	2	0	6	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	21.4	17	65%	3	2	0	0	0	2	3	0	2-3	67%	6-9	67%	1-3	33%
Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 24	21.0	6	60%	0	2	1	0	2	6	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%

Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	26.9	4	33%	3	2	2	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	23.7	12	60%	4	8	0	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Bennedict Mathurin #9 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 24	21.9	23	82%	8	4	1	1	1	4	0	8	6-7	86%	7-8	88%	1-3	33%
Isaiah Jackson #23 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	18.4	10	71%	4	2	0	3	0	1	1	3	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	8.3	6	100%	4	0	0	2	0	0	1	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	8.2	1	13%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
TyTy Washington Jr. #15 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 24	8.0	2	50%	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Norchad Omier #55 · PF · 6'7" 248 · 25	5.3	2	50%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	5.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bogdan Bogdanović #7 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sean Pedulla #00 · NA · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Fracture
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Neck; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	64%	47	28	8	7	11	23	6	41	20-25	80%	37-57	65%	12-32	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	IND	LAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.08 54.0%

LAC

1.29 64.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

72%

LAC

79%

Midrange

IND

26%

LAC

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

15.0

28%

42%

LAC

18.0

38%

56%

Free Throws

IND

81%

LAC

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Siakam	29	73%	14.5 / 20
J. Huff	18	69%	9.0 / 13
J. Walker	17	61%	8.5 / 14
Q. Jackson	11	69%	5.5 / 8
M. Potter	10	63%	5.0 / 8
T. McConnell	6	50%	3.0 / 6
A. Nembhard	5	36%	2.5 / 7
K. Brown	5	63%	2.5 / 4
B. Sheppard	4	25%	2.0 / 8
A. Nesmith	2	13%	1.0 / 8
O. Toppin	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	29	76%	14.5 / 19
B. Mathurin	23	82%	11.5 / 14
B. Lopez	17	65%	8.5 / 13
D. Jones	12	60%	6.0 / 10
D. Garland	12	60%	6.0 / 10
I. Jackson	10	71%	5.0 / 7
K. Dunn	6	100%	3.0 / 3
K. Sanders	6	60%	3.0 / 5
Y. Niederhäuser	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Miller	4	33%	2.0 / 6
T. Washington	2	50%	1.0 / 2
N. Omier	2	50%	1.0 / 2
C. Christie	1	13%	0.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	28 110.1 11 116.4	IND 104.9 LAC 126.2 +21.3
Pace	10 101.4 28 97.3	IND 104.9 +4.6 LAC 100.3
Avg. Poss. Time	25 13.9 5 15.0	IND 13.7 −0.6 LAC 14.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 53.3% 8 55.9%	IND 48.8% LAC 61.8% +13.0%
TO %	14 13.6% 17 13.9%	IND 11.7% LAC 9.9% −1.8%
ORB %	29 21.7% 23 23.7%	IND 10.9% LAC 15.4% +4.5%
FTrt	20 25.2 3 29.5	IND 36.9 +8.8 LAC 28.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 67.8% 29 58.6%	IND 72.2% +15.1% LAC 57.1%
STL %	28 7.2% 5 9.2%	IND 2.0% LAC 7.8% +5.8%
BLK %	26 8.1% 13 9.5%	IND 5.3% LAC 14.6% +9.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.4% 3 58.7%	IND 54.0% LAC 64.4% +10.4%
Rim FG%	25 62.9% 3 67.1%	IND 72.4% LAC 79.4% +7.0%
Mid FG%	19 42.7% 10 44.2%	IND 26.3% LAC 43.5% +17.2%
3P %	18 35.6% 7 36.8%	IND 27.8% LAC 37.5% +9.7%
FT %	17 77.6% 1 82.3%	IND 80.6% +0.6% LAC 80.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	23 30.3% 15 31.6%	IND 34.5% LAC 38.2% +3.7%
Mid Att. %	18 27.5% 20 27.9%	IND 22.6% −3.2% LAC 25.8%
3P Att. %	14 42.2% 19 40.4%	IND 42.9% +6.9% LAC 36.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	LAC
Possessions	102	103
Possession Minutes	23.3	24.7
Points	107	130
Rebounds	38	47
Assists	26	28
Steals	2	8
Blocks	3	7
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	11 (0)
Fouls	21	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (5)	6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (1)	41 (1)
Field Goals	36-84	49-89
At-the-Rim FG	21-29	27-34
Midrange FG	5-19	10-23
2-Point FG	26-48	37-57
3-Point FG	10-36	12-32
Free Throws	25-31	20-25
Fast Break Pts	11	13
2nd Chance Pts	11	8
Points in Paint	48	66
Pts off Turnovers	10	22
Bench Points	36	60
Biggest Lead	2	37

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg