Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, March 5, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Jazz	39%	116	122	129.8	94	86.7
	29	Wizards	61%	119	112	119.1	94	102.6

Prediction updated: Mar 6, 2026 12:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

+19

-11

102

WAS

+19

-19

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.20 59.8%

WAS

1.20 60.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
John Konchar #55 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	36.7	0	0%	5	4	5	1	2	3	2	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21	36.0	13	93%	3	7	2	0	2	4	2	1	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	1-2	50%
Ace Bailey #19 · PF · 6'9" 200 · 20	32.6	32	80%	2	0	2	1	0	2	0	2	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	7-11	64%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	30.9	20	71%	14	3	2	2	2	5	5	9	0-0	-	7-12	58%	2-2	100%
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	29.1	27	68%	3	11	0	0	3	0	0	3	4-6	67%	10-16	63%	1-2	50%

Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	23.9	14	41%	1	4	1	0	2	0	0	1	4-5	80%	2-6	33%	2-9	22%
Blake Hinson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	21.9	10	56%	4	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	2-3	67%	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Mo Bamba #11 · C · 7'0" 231 · 28	17.1	6	50%	12	0	0	0	0	3	6	6	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	11.9	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaren Jackson Jr. #20 · C · 6'10" 242 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury recovery
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Impingement
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nose; Injury recovery
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury recovery
Vince Williams Jr. #0 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury management
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Injury management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	60%	45	31	12	4	11	22	17	28	13-18	72%	32-57	56%	15-35	43%

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30 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
John Konchar #55 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	36.7	0	0%	5	4	5	1	2	3	2	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21	36.0	13	93%	3	7	2	0	2	4	2	1	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	1-2	50%
Ace Bailey #19 · PF · 6'9" 200 · 20	32.6	32	80%	2	0	2	1	0	2	0	2	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	7-11	64%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	30.9	20	71%	14	3	2	2	2	5	5	9	0-0	-	7-12	58%	2-2	100%
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	29.1	27	68%	3	11	0	0	3	0	0	3	4-6	67%	10-16	63%	1-2	50%

Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	23.9	14	41%	1	4	1	0	2	0	0	1	4-5	80%	2-6	33%	2-9	22%
Blake Hinson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	21.9	10	56%	4	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	2-3	67%	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Mo Bamba #11 · C · 7'0" 231 · 28	17.1	6	50%	12	0	0	0	0	3	6	6	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	11.9	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaren Jackson Jr. #20 · C · 6'10" 242 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury recovery
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Impingement
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nose; Injury recovery
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury recovery
Vince Williams Jr. #0 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury management
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Injury management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	60%	45	31	12	4	11	22	17	28	13-18	72%	32-57	56%	15-35	43%

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29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Leaky Black #14 · PF · 6'6" 209 · 27	39.3	16	62%	3	1	0	0	3	3	1	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	4-9	44%
Julian Reese #15 · C · 6'9" 230 · 23	38.5	18	82%	20	2	1	0	2	4	10	10	8-8	100%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 22	34.1	17	71%	3	2	3	0	3	3	0	3	1-4	25%	5-6	83%	2-4	50%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	20.1	15	58%	8	2	1	0	3	2	1	7	0-0	-	0-4	0%	5-9	56%
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	19.0	12	55%	2	6	2	0	3	0	1	1	3-6	50%	3-4	75%	1-5	20%

Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	33.5	10	100%	3	1	1	0	0	1	2	1	3-5	60%	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	25.4	13	54%	2	3	0	0	4	2	0	2	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	2-6	33%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	15.5	7	70%	1	2	0	1	1	5	0	1	1-1	100%	0-2	0%	2-3	67%
Jaden Hardy #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	11.1	4	25%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	1-4	25%
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	3.6	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Foot; Sprain
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thigh; Contusion
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
Anthony Davis #23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
D'Angelo Russell #28 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	60%	43	22	8	1	19	20	15	28	22-32	69%	18-35	51%	18-42	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	WAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.20 59.8%

WAS

1.20 60.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

71%

WAS

67%

Midrange

UTA

32%

WAS

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

22.5

43%

64%

WAS

27.0

43%

64%

Free Throws

UTA

72%

WAS

69%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Bailey	32	80%	16.0 / 20
I. Collier	27	68%	13.5 / 20
K. Filipowski	20	71%	10.0 / 14
B. Sensabaugh	14	41%	7.0 / 17
C. Williams	13	93%	6.5 / 7
B. Hinson	10	56%	5.0 / 9
M. Bamba	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Konchar	0	-	0.0 / 3
E. Harkless	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Reese	18	82%	9.0 / 11
B. Coulibaly	17	71%	8.5 / 12
L. Black	16	62%	8.0 / 13
T. Johnson	15	58%	7.5 / 13
W. Riley	13	54%	6.5 / 12
T. Young	12	55%	6.0 / 11
A. Gill	10	100%	5.0 / 5
B. Carrington	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Hardy	4	25%	2.0 / 8
S. Cooper	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 112.9 29 109.7	UTA 129.8 +10.6 WAS 119.1
Pace	2 103.4 5 102.5	UTA 86.7 WAS 102.6 +15.9
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 23 14.0	UTA 16.6 WAS 14.0 −2.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.6% 21 53.5%	UTA 59.2% +0.8% WAS 58.4%
TO %	23 14.4% 26 14.7%	UTA 10.7% −6.6% WAS 17.3%
ORB %	12 26.2% 21 24.0%	UTA 37.8% +2.9% WAS 34.9%
FTrt	10 27.7 26 23.5	UTA 19.6 WAS 41.6 +22.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 69.6% 24 59.9%	UTA 66.0% +4.9% WAS 61.1%
STL %	14 8.5% 22 7.8%	UTA 12.8% +4.3% WAS 8.5%
BLK %	30 7.5% 9 10.0%	UTA 11.4% +9.6% WAS 1.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.4% 26 55.4%	UTA 59.8% WAS 60.2% +0.4%
Rim FG%	17 64.5% 15 64.7%	UTA 71.4% +4.7% WAS 66.7%
Mid FG%	8 44.4% 26 41.3%	UTA 31.8% WAS 35.3% +3.5%
3P %	25 34.5% 16 35.9%	UTA 42.9% WAS 42.9%
FT %	13 78.6% 23 76.6%	UTA 72.2% +3.4% WAS 68.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 31.3% 22 30.6%	UTA 38.0% +14.7% WAS 23.4%
Mid Att. %	23 28.4% 25 29.1%	UTA 23.9% WAS 22.1% −1.8%
3P Att. %	21 40.3% 20 40.3%	UTA 38.0% WAS 54.5% +16.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	UTA	WAS
Possessions	94	94
Possession Minutes	26.0	22.0
Points	122	112
Rebounds	45	43
Assists	31	22
Steals	12	8
Blocks	4	1
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	19 (0)
Fouls	22	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (2)	15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (1)	28 (2)
Field Goals	47-92	36-77
At-the-Rim FG	25-35	12-18
Midrange FG	7-22	6-17
2-Point FG	32-57	18-35
3-Point FG	15-35	18-42
Free Throws	13-18	22-32
Fast Break Pts	11	15
2nd Chance Pts	16	22
Points in Paint	56	36
Pts off Turnovers	18	17
Bench Points	30	34
Biggest Lead	21	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg