Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, March 5, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Warriors	28%	105	115	116.2	99	87.0
	8	Rockets	72%	112	113	113.0	100	93.4

Prediction updated: Mar 6, 2026 12:32 AM

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+20

-19

100

HOU

+24

-17

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.16 58.1%

HOU

1.06 52.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

18 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gui Santos #15 · SF · 6'7" 185 · 24	41.6	14	58%	6	6	1	1	7	1	1	5	2-4	50%	6-8	75%	0-4	0%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 23	39.6	26	68%	9	1	0	0	1	4	5	4	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	4-8	50%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	34.8	10	83%	5	8	1	0	2	3	1	4	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	32.7	17	57%	6	5	1	2	1	0	2	4	0-0	-	4-9	44%	3-6	50%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	29.9	23	52%	6	2	3	2	2	2	3	3	1-2	50%	8-16	50%	2-6	33%

LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	20.3	12	67%	3	1	0	0	1	5	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	4-8	50%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	20.1	3	38%	6	3	0	0	4	3	2	4	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	17.9	2	25%	3	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	16.1	8	57%	2	3	2	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	12.1	0	0%	1	0	2	0	0	3	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| General; Illness
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Impingement
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	115	58%	47	29	10	5	19	23	18	29	11-15	73%	31-56	55%	14-38	37%

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18 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gui Santos #15 · SF · 6'7" 185 · 24	41.6	14	58%	6	6	1	1	7	1	1	5	2-4	50%	6-8	75%	0-4	0%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 23	39.6	26	68%	9	1	0	0	1	4	5	4	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	4-8	50%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	34.8	10	83%	5	8	1	0	2	3	1	4	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	32.7	17	57%	6	5	1	2	1	0	2	4	0-0	-	4-9	44%	3-6	50%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	29.9	23	52%	6	2	3	2	2	2	3	3	1-2	50%	8-16	50%	2-6	33%

LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	20.3	12	67%	3	1	0	0	1	5	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	4-8	50%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	20.1	3	38%	6	3	0	0	4	3	2	4	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	17.9	2	25%	3	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	16.1	8	57%	2	3	2	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	12.1	0	0%	1	0	2	0	0	3	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| General; Illness
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Impingement
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	115	58%	47	29	10	5	19	23	18	29	11-15	73%	31-56	55%	14-38	37%

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8 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Amen Thompson #1 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 23	43.5	18	56%	10	5	4	0	1	1	7	3	1-2	50%	7-13	54%	1-2	50%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 23	42.3	3	15%	11	2	1	1	5	3	5	6	3-4	75%	0-5	0%	0-3	0%
Kevin Durant #7 · SF · 6'11" 240 · 37	41.4	23	64%	6	3	4	1	3	0	0	6	4-6	67%	5-11	45%	3-5	60%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 24	37.1	17	43%	7	7	1	0	5	3	1	6	1-1	100%	8-17	47%	0-3	0%
Tari Eason #17 · SG · 6'8" 215 · 25	34.0	9	45%	5	2	1	0	0	6	2	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-5	20%

Reed Sheppard #15 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 22	37.1	30	79%	3	6	0	0	3	4	0	3	0-0	-	6-7	86%	6-12	50%
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 28	17.7	9	75%	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-4	75%
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	11.9	4	67%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	INACTIVE
Tristen Newton #13 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	113	53%	49	26	11	2	17	17	17	32	11-15	73%	30-62	48%	14-34	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	HOU
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	HOU

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.16 58.1%

HOU

1.06 52.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

76%

HOU

52%

Midrange

GSW

26%

HOU

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

21.0

37%

55%

HOU

21.0

41%

62%

Free Throws

GSW

73%

HOU

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Podziemski	26	68%	13.0 / 19
D. Melton	23	52%	11.5 / 22
A. Horford	17	57%	8.5 / 15
G. Santos	14	58%	7.0 / 12
L. Cryer	12	67%	6.0 / 9
D. Green	10	83%	5.0 / 6
P. Spencer	8	57%	4.0 / 7
Q. Post	3	38%	1.5 / 4
N. Williams	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Sheppard	30	79%	15.0 / 19
K. Durant	23	64%	11.5 / 18
A. Thompson	18	56%	9.0 / 16
A. Sengun	17	43%	8.5 / 20
T. Eason	9	45%	4.5 / 10
J. Okogie	9	75%	4.5 / 6
C. Capela	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Smith	3	15%	1.5 / 10

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 114.0 8 117.5	GSW 116.2 +3.2 HOU 113.0
Pace	18 99.9 29 96.9	GSW 87.0 HOU 93.4 +6.5
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.7 1 15.8	GSW 16.6 HOU 15.4 −1.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 17 54.2%	GSW 55.3% +2.2% HOU 53.1%
TO %	28 14.9% 25 14.7%	GSW 15.9% HOU 14.9% −1.0%
ORB %	14 25.8% 1 34.8%	GSW 36.0% HOU 37.0% +1.0%
FTrt	24 23.8 18 26.0	GSW 16.0 +0.4 HOU 15.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 70.6% 27 59.1%	GSW 64.4% +5.3% HOU 59.1%
STL %	3 9.6% 9 8.7%	GSW 10.1% HOU 11.0% +0.9%
BLK %	27 8.0% 4 10.9%	GSW 8.1% +4.5% HOU 3.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.81 and 2.81.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.1% 20 56.1%	GSW 58.1% +5.3% HOU 52.8%
Rim FG%	5 66.7% 13 64.8%	GSW 75.8% +23.6% HOU 52.2%
Mid FG%	22 42.1% 9 44.3%	GSW 26.1% HOU 46.2% +20.1%
3P %	20 35.6% 10 36.4%	GSW 36.8% HOU 41.2% +4.4%
FT %	6 80.7% 25 76.3%	GSW 73.3% HOU 73.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 29.5% 20 30.7%	GSW 35.1% +11.1% HOU 24.0%
Mid Att. %	3 20.8% 29 34.2%	GSW 24.5% −16.2% HOU 40.6%
3P Att. %	1 49.7% 28 35.0%	GSW 40.4% +5.0% HOU 35.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	HOU
Possessions	99	100
Possession Minutes	27.3	25.7
Points	115	113
Rebounds	47	49
Assists	29	26
Steals	10	11
Blocks	5	2
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	17 (1)
Fouls	23	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	18 (2)	17 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (1)	32 (1)
Field Goals	45-94	44-96
At-the-Rim FG	25-33	12-23
Midrange FG	6-23	18-39
2-Point FG	31-56	30-62
3-Point FG	14-38	14-34
Free Throws	11-15	11-15
Fast Break Pts	5	11
2nd Chance Pts	17	23
Points in Paint	60	48
Pts off Turnovers	18	24
Bench Points	25	43
Biggest Lead	11	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg