Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, March 5, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Bulls	19%	109	105	101.9	103	107.1
	14	Suns	81%	120	103	100.0	103	99.2

Prediction updated: Mar 6, 2026 01:33 AM

Scoring Opportunities

CHI

+10

-12

101

PHX

+18

-14

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.04 52.0%

PHX

0.96 48.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Collin Sexton #2 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 27	37.6	30	65%	3	5	2	0	1	1	1	2	6-8	75%	9-12	75%	2-7	29%
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · C · 6'7" 265 · 30	37.3	16	50%	6	2	0	1	1	4	0	6	1-2	50%	3-9	33%	3-6	50%
Isaac Okoro #35 · SF · 6'4" 225 · 25	35.5	6	43%	1	3	1	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Tre Jones #30 · SG · 6'1" 190 · 26	28.8	21	66%	6	5	2	0	1	0	1	5	2-3	67%	8-12	67%	1-3	33%
Leonard Miller #11 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 22	23.8	8	40%	9	0	0	0	1	2	0	9	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-5	0%

Nick Richards #13 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	29.4	9	64%	11	1	1	2	2	5	2	9	5-10	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Rob Dillingham #7 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	20.6	11	46%	2	1	0	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-5	20%
Lachlan Olbrich #47 · C · 6'8" 236 · 22	17.1	4	33%	6	2	2	0	1	3	4	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Yuki Kawamura #8 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 25	9.9	0	0%	2	4	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Mac McClung #5 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Matas Buzelis #14 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right ankle sprain
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right ankle sprain
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadricep; Strain
Jaden Ivey #31 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Jalen Smith #25 · C · 6'8" 244 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Anfernee Simons #22 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ulnar Styloid; Fracture
Noa Essengue #24 · PF · 6'8" 194 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Zach Collins #12 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 1st Toe; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	52%	46	23	8	3	12	22	9	37	16-25	64%	34-58	59%	7-28	25%

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28 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Collin Sexton #2 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 27	37.6	30	65%	3	5	2	0	1	1	1	2	6-8	75%	9-12	75%	2-7	29%
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · C · 6'7" 265 · 30	37.3	16	50%	6	2	0	1	1	4	0	6	1-2	50%	3-9	33%	3-6	50%
Isaac Okoro #35 · SF · 6'4" 225 · 25	35.5	6	43%	1	3	1	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Tre Jones #30 · SG · 6'1" 190 · 26	28.8	21	66%	6	5	2	0	1	0	1	5	2-3	67%	8-12	67%	1-3	33%
Leonard Miller #11 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 22	23.8	8	40%	9	0	0	0	1	2	0	9	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-5	0%

Nick Richards #13 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	29.4	9	64%	11	1	1	2	2	5	2	9	5-10	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Rob Dillingham #7 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	20.6	11	46%	2	1	0	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-5	20%
Lachlan Olbrich #47 · C · 6'8" 236 · 22	17.1	4	33%	6	2	2	0	1	3	4	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Yuki Kawamura #8 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 25	9.9	0	0%	2	4	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Mac McClung #5 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Matas Buzelis #14 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right ankle sprain
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right ankle sprain
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadricep; Strain
Jaden Ivey #31 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Jalen Smith #25 · C · 6'8" 244 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Anfernee Simons #22 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ulnar Styloid; Fracture
Noa Essengue #24 · PF · 6'8" 194 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Zach Collins #12 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 1st Toe; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	52%	46	23	8	3	12	22	9	37	16-25	64%	34-58	59%	7-28	25%

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14 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Oso Ighodaro #11 · C · 6'11" 235 · 24	36.1	10	100%	9	4	1	1	1	2	3	6	0-1	0%	5-5	100%	0-0	-
Devin Booker #1 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	32.0	27	56%	6	2	2	1	4	2	0	6	7-7	100%	7-14	50%	2-7	29%
Jalen Green #4 · SF · 6'4" 186 · 24	31.7	12	29%	3	3	1	0	1	1	0	3	1-2	50%	4-12	33%	1-8	13%
Collin Gillespie #12 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 27	25.2	5	36%	2	5	0	0	1	2	1	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Royce O'Neale #00 · PF · 6'6" 226 · 33	18.2	3	25%	4	0	0	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%

Grayson Allen #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 30	32.6	21	50%	2	8	1	0	2	3	1	1	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	5-16	31%
Ryan Dunn #0 · SF · 6'7" 216 · 23	23.6	6	43%	11	1	2	1	0	1	3	8	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Amir Coffey #2 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 29	17.5	12	86%	4	0	0	0	0	2	3	1	4-7	57%	1-2	50%	2-2	100%
Khaman Maluach #10 · C · 7'1" 250 · 19	11.9	2	50%	4	0	0	0	4	2	2	2	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Rasheer Fleming #20 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	11.1	5	63%	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Jamaree Bouyea #17 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
CJ Huntley #22 · SF · 6'11" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Haywood Highsmith #19 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Livers #18 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Koby Brea #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mark Williams #15 · C · 7'1" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot Third Metatarsal; Stress Reaction
Jordan Goodwin #23 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Dillon Brooks #3 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	48%	48	24	7	3	14	19	14	34	18-27	67%	23-46	50%	13-46	28%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	PHX
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	PHX

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.04 52.0%

PHX

0.96 48.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHI

70%

PHX

75%

Midrange

CHI

44%

PHX

31%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHI

10.5

25%

38%

PHX

19.5

28%

42%

Free Throws

CHI

64%

PHX

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Sexton	30	65%	15.0 / 23
T. Jones	21	66%	10.5 / 16
G. Yabusele	16	50%	8.0 / 16
R. Dillingham	11	46%	5.5 / 12
N. Richards	9	64%	4.5 / 7
L. Miller	8	40%	4.0 / 10
I. Okoro	6	43%	3.0 / 7
L. Olbrich	4	33%	2.0 / 6
Y. Kawamura	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Suns

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Booker	27	56%	13.5 / 24
G. Allen	21	50%	10.5 / 21
J. Green	12	29%	6.0 / 21
A. Coffey	12	86%	6.0 / 7
O. Ighodaro	10	100%	5.0 / 5
R. Dunn	6	43%	3.0 / 7
C. Gillespie	5	36%	2.5 / 7
R. Fleming	5	63%	2.5 / 4
R. O'Neale	3	25%	1.5 / 6
K. Maluach	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 112.2 18 114.3	CHI 101.9 +1.9 PHX 100.0
Pace	3 103.3 23 98.2	CHI 107.1 +7.8 PHX 99.2
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.6 12 14.5	CHI 13.5 −1.1 PHX 14.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 54.7% 19 53.7%	CHI 51.7% +5.5% PHX 46.2%
TO %	20 14.1% 16 13.7%	CHI 11.8% −0.8% PHX 12.6%
ORB %	27 23.1% 7 28.9%	CHI 20.9% PHX 27.5% +6.6%
FTrt	22 24.6 28 22.5	CHI 29.1 PHX 29.3 +0.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 67.2% 23 60.1%	CHI 56.1% PHX 66.7% +10.6%
STL %	26 7.4% 2 9.7%	CHI 7.8% +1.0% PHX 6.8%
BLK %	15 9.0% 21 8.4%	CHI 6.5% +1.3% PHX 5.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.5% 27 55.3%	CHI 52.0% +3.9% PHX 48.1%
Rim FG%	30 61.4% 18 64.0%	CHI 69.7% PHX 75.0% +5.3%
Mid FG%	15 43.7% 17 43.3%	CHI 44.0% +13.2% PHX 30.8%
3P %	19 35.6% 12 36.1%	CHI 25.0% PHX 28.3% +3.3%
FT %	18 77.6% 15 78.1%	CHI 64.0% PHX 66.7% +2.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 38.2% 29 26.3%	CHI 38.4% +16.6% PHX 21.7%
Mid Att. %	1 17.5% 22 28.4%	CHI 29.1% PHX 28.3% −0.8%
3P Att. %	8 44.3% 7 45.3%	CHI 32.6% PHX 50.0% +17.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Game Totals	CHI	PHX
Possessions	103	103
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	105	103
Rebounds	46	48
Assists	23	24
Steals	8	7
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	14 (1)
Fouls	22	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (1)	14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (6)	34 (5)
Field Goals	41-86	36-92
At-the-Rim FG	23-33	15-20
Midrange FG	11-25	8-26
2-Point FG	34-58	23-46
3-Point FG	7-28	13-46
Free Throws	16-25	18-27
Fast Break Pts	22	10
2nd Chance Pts	7	16
Points in Paint	68	44
Pts off Turnovers	12	13
Bench Points	24	46
Biggest Lead	12	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg