Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, March 5, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Pelicans	63%	118	133	126.7	105	98.1
	27	Kings	37%	114	123	116.0	106	114.0

Prediction updated: Mar 6, 2026 03:02 AM

Scoring Opportunities

NOP

+18

-11

112

SAC

+13

-7

112

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.19 59.4%

SAC

1.10 54.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

22 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	32.8	20	71%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	5-6	83%	3-6	50%	3-5	60%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 26	31.9	21	66%	7	4	2	1	1	3	1	6	3-4	75%	3-8	38%	4-6	67%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 26	28.8	23	72%	9	5	1	0	3	5	1	8	3-5	60%	10-14	71%	0-0	-
Herbert Jones #2 · PG · 6'7" 206 · 27	24.4	12	46%	3	2	1	0	2	0	0	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-9	22%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	15.7	7	117%	2	1	2	4	2	0	1	1	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-

Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	27.8	13	46%	6	6	0	0	1	5	2	4	0-0	-	5-10	50%	1-4	25%
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	26.5	14	64%	6	2	1	2	0	0	1	5	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	1-3	33%
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	26.1	12	50%	9	5	0	1	0	1	1	8	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	0-3	0%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	25.3	9	50%	9	2	0	3	1	2	7	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25	0.7	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Josh Oduro #13 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	Inactive – Return to Competition Reconditioning
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	59%	52	27	7	11	11	18	14	38	23-27	85%	37-64	58%	12-34	35%

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22 New Orleans Pelicans

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 27	32.8	20	71%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	5-6	83%	3-6	50%	3-5	60%
Trey Murphy III #25 · SG · 6'8" 206 · 26	31.9	21	66%	7	4	2	1	1	3	1	6	3-4	75%	3-8	38%	4-6	67%
Zion Williamson #1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 26	28.8	23	72%	9	5	1	0	3	5	1	8	3-5	60%	10-14	71%	0-0	-
Herbert Jones #2 · PG · 6'7" 206 · 27	24.4	12	46%	3	2	1	0	2	0	0	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-9	22%
Yves Missi #21 · C · 6'11" 235 · 22	15.7	7	117%	2	1	2	4	2	0	1	1	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-

Jeremiah Fears #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 19	27.8	13	46%	6	6	0	0	1	5	2	4	0-0	-	5-10	50%	1-4	25%
Bryce McGowens #11 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	26.5	14	64%	6	2	1	2	0	0	1	5	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	1-3	33%
Derik Queen #22 · C · 6'9" 250 · 21	26.1	12	50%	9	5	0	1	0	1	1	8	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	0-3	0%
Karlo Matković #17 · PF · 6'10" 231 · 25	25.3	9	50%	9	2	0	3	1	2	7	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Micah Peavy #14 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25	0.7	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Poole #3 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Looney #55 · C · 6'9" 222 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Hawkins #24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander #23 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Josh Oduro #13 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Hunter Dickinson #4 · C · 7'1" 255 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 29	Inactive – Return to Competition Reconditioning
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	133	59%	52	27	7	11	11	18	14	38	23-27	85%	37-64	58%	12-34	35%

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27 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	40.9	29	76%	12	5	1	2	0	2	1	11	4-6	67%	11-13	85%	1-3	33%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	33.5	19	56%	2	10	2	0	2	3	1	1	3-5	60%	5-9	56%	2-6	33%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 37	27.3	15	42%	2	2	1	0	1	1	0	2	3-5	60%	6-14	43%	0-2	0%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	26.4	10	56%	5	1	0	0	2	2	1	4	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	21.3	7	44%	5	3	0	0	1	3	2	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-2	50%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	30.1	18	60%	1	4	0	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	2-8	25%
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	21.6	15	75%	11	0	0	0	0	0	4	7	1-3	33%	7-8	88%	0-1	0%
Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 28	17.7	6	75%	1	1	1	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Killian Hayes #3 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 25	10.9	4	50%	1	3	0	0	0	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 23	5.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	4.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Repair
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Tendon Repair
De'Andre Hunter #15 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Retinal Repair
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	55%	42	29	5	3	7	19	10	32	15-23	65%	42-68	62%	8-31	26%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	NOP	SAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

NOP

1.19 59.4%

SAC

1.10 54.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOP

81%

SAC

75%

Midrange

NOP

42%

SAC

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOP

18.0

35%

53%

SAC

12.0

26%

39%

Free Throws

NOP

85%

SAC

65%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pelicans

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Z. Williamson	23	72%	11.5 / 16
T. Murphy	21	66%	10.5 / 16
S. Bey	20	71%	10.0 / 14
B. McGowens	14	64%	7.0 / 11
J. Fears	13	46%	6.5 / 14
H. Jones	12	46%	6.0 / 13
D. Queen	12	50%	6.0 / 12
K. Matković	9	50%	4.5 / 9
Y. Missi	7	117%	3.5 / 3
M. Peavy	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Achiuwa	29	76%	14.5 / 19
R. Westbrook	19	56%	9.5 / 17
M. Monk	18	60%	9.0 / 15
D. DeRozan	15	42%	7.5 / 18
D. Eubanks	15	75%	7.5 / 10
M. Raynaud	10	56%	5.0 / 9
N. Clifford	7	44%	3.5 / 8
D. Plowden	6	75%	3.0 / 4
K. Hayes	4	50%	2.0 / 4
P. Baldwin	0	-	0.0 / 3
D. McDermott	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 113.3 26 110.6	NOP 126.7 +10.6 SAC 116.0
Pace	11 101.3 17 100.0	NOP 98.1 SAC 114.0 +15.9
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.1 14 14.5	NOP 14.7 SAC 12.6 −2.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 52.7% 29 52.5%	NOP 56.1% +1.6% SAC 54.5%
TO %	11 13.2% 15 13.7%	NOP 9.8% SAC 6.0% −3.8%
ORB %	8 27.0% 13 25.9%	NOP 30.4% +9.6% SAC 20.8%
FTrt	8 28.4 19 25.6	NOP 27.6 +4.4 SAC 23.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 59.6% 20 61.5%	NOP 55.1% SAC 58.0% +2.9%
STL %	10 8.7% 21 8.0%	NOP 6.7% +2.0% SAC 4.7%
BLK %	7 10.1% 19 8.6%	NOP 16.2% +11.5% SAC 4.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 55.4% 29 54.7%	NOP 59.4% +4.5% SAC 54.9%
Rim FG%	29 61.5% 8 65.9%	NOP 80.8% +5.8% SAC 75.0%
Mid FG%	30 36.6% 13 43.8%	NOP 42.1% SAC 50.0% +7.9%
3P %	24 34.7% 29 34.1%	NOP 35.3% +9.5% SAC 25.8%
FT %	14 78.4% 21 77.2%	NOP 85.2% +20.0% SAC 65.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 42.8% 28 28.0%	NOP 26.5% SAC 32.3% +5.8%
Mid Att. %	5 21.7% 30 38.1%	NOP 38.8% SAC 36.4% −2.4%
3P Att. %	27 35.5% 30 33.9%	NOP 34.7% +3.4% SAC 31.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.79 and 2.79.

Game Totals	NOP	SAC
Possessions	105	106
Possession Minutes	25.7	22.3
Points	133	123
Rebounds	52	42
Assists	27	29
Steals	7	5
Blocks	11	3
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	7 (0)
Fouls	18	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (4)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (3)	32 (1)
Field Goals	49-98	50-99
At-the-Rim FG	21-26	24-32
Midrange FG	16-38	18-36
2-Point FG	37-64	42-68
3-Point FG	12-34	8-31
Free Throws	23-27	15-23
Fast Break Pts	19	21
2nd Chance Pts	11	9
Points in Paint	68	72
Pts off Turnovers	10	17
Bench Points	50	43
Biggest Lead	17	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg