Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 6, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Knicks	49%	115	142	140.6	101	98.3
	5	Nuggets	51%	116	103	103.0	100	102.8

Prediction updated: Mar 7, 2026 01:32 AM

Scoring Opportunities

NYK

+16

-10

107

DEN

+10

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NYK

1.33 66.4%

DEN

1.07 53.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

4 New York Knicks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Brunson #11 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 30	33.8	9	32%	3	15	1	0	1	3	1	2	2-2	100%	2-10	20%	1-3	33%
OG Anunoby #8 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 29	31.8	34	85%	7	5	4	1	0	1	3	4	6-6	100%	5-6	83%	6-11	55%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 30	27.3	17	65%	13	2	1	0	1	4	1	12	2-3	67%	6-8	75%	1-4	25%
Josh Hart #3 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 31	24.8	18	69%	5	2	0	0	1	3	1	4	0-2	0%	6-8	75%	2-4	50%
Mikal Bridges #25 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 30	24.7	9	56%	2	4	0	3	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-2	50%

Landry Shamet #44 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 29	19.0	10	83%	3	0	0	0	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Mitchell Robinson #23 · C · 7'0" 240 · 28	14.2	13	93%	5	1	0	0	1	4	4	1	1-2	50%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Mohamed Diawara #51 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 21	12.6	4	50%	1	2	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Jose Alvarado #5 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 28	11.3	4	50%	1	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jeremy Sochan #20 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	9.1	2	100%	3	2	3	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Pacôme Dadiet #4 · SG · 6'9" 210 · 21	9.1	11	110%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-3	100%
Tyler Kolek #13 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 25	9.1	2	50%	2	8	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 34	7.1	7	58%	3	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Ariel Hukporti #55 · C · 7'0" 246 · 24	6.4	2	100%	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Kevin McCullar Jr. #9 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Jemison III #50 · C · 6'10" 270 · 26	INACTIVE
Dillon Jones #33 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Miles McBride #2 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Pelvic; Core Muscle Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	142	66%	50	44	11	4	10	24	14	36	16-21	76%	39-61	64%	16-34	47%

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4 New York Knicks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Brunson #11 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 30	33.8	9	32%	3	15	1	0	1	3	1	2	2-2	100%	2-10	20%	1-3	33%
OG Anunoby #8 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 29	31.8	34	85%	7	5	4	1	0	1	3	4	6-6	100%	5-6	83%	6-11	55%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 30	27.3	17	65%	13	2	1	0	1	4	1	12	2-3	67%	6-8	75%	1-4	25%
Josh Hart #3 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 31	24.8	18	69%	5	2	0	0	1	3	1	4	0-2	0%	6-8	75%	2-4	50%
Mikal Bridges #25 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 30	24.7	9	56%	2	4	0	3	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-2	50%

Landry Shamet #44 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 29	19.0	10	83%	3	0	0	0	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Mitchell Robinson #23 · C · 7'0" 240 · 28	14.2	13	93%	5	1	0	0	1	4	4	1	1-2	50%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Mohamed Diawara #51 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 21	12.6	4	50%	1	2	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Jose Alvarado #5 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 28	11.3	4	50%	1	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jeremy Sochan #20 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 23	9.1	2	100%	3	2	3	0	2	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Pacôme Dadiet #4 · SG · 6'9" 210 · 21	9.1	11	110%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-3	100%
Tyler Kolek #13 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 25	9.1	2	50%	2	8	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 34	7.1	7	58%	3	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Ariel Hukporti #55 · C · 7'0" 246 · 24	6.4	2	100%	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Kevin McCullar Jr. #9 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Jemison III #50 · C · 6'10" 270 · 26	INACTIVE
Dillon Jones #33 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Miles McBride #2 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Pelvic; Core Muscle Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	142	66%	50	44	11	4	10	24	14	36	16-21	76%	39-61	64%	16-34	47%

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5 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	30.9	38	79%	8	5	2	0	3	1	1	7	9-10	90%	13-14	93%	1-7	14%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	30.9	7	39%	4	5	0	0	1	3	2	2	2-4	50%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	21.7	10	63%	3	5	1	0	1	3	0	3	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	21.5	3	19%	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	17.6	12	55%	1	3	0	1	0	1	0	1	1-3	33%	4-7	57%	1-3	33%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	23.0	6	38%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	3-5	60%	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 30	21.7	7	117%	2	3	2	0	2	2	0	2	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	16.9	2	33%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	12.0	3	38%	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	9.8	2	25%	2	0	0	0	0	4	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	9.1	0	0%	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	9.1	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	7.7	11	110%	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
David Roddy #45 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 25	6.4	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	2.0	2	100%	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	54%	31	30	6	1	15	19	8	23	21-30	70%	29-43	67%	8-40	20%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NYK	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	NYK	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

NYK

1.33 66.4%

DEN

1.07 53.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NYK

86%

DEN

62%

Midrange

NYK

35%

DEN

73%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NYK

24.0

47%

71%

DEN

12.0

20%

30%

Free Throws

NYK

76%

DEN

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Knicks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
O. Anunoby	34	85%	17.0 / 20
J. Hart	18	69%	9.0 / 13
K. Towns	17	65%	8.5 / 13
M. Robinson	13	93%	6.5 / 7
P. Dadiet	11	110%	5.5 / 5
L. Shamet	10	83%	5.0 / 6
J. Brunson	9	32%	4.5 / 14
M. Bridges	9	56%	4.5 / 8
J. Clarkson	7	58%	3.5 / 6
M. Diawara	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Alvarado	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Sochan	2	100%	1.0 / 1
T. Kolek	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Hukporti	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	38	79%	19.0 / 24
J. Murray	12	55%	6.0 / 11
D. Holmes	11	110%	5.5 / 5
C. Johnson	10	63%	5.0 / 8
C. Braun	7	39%	3.5 / 9
B. Brown	7	117%	3.5 / 3
T. Hardaway	6	38%	3.0 / 8
A. Gordon	3	19%	1.5 / 8
T. Jones	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Strawther	2	33%	1.0 / 3
S. Jones	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Valančiūnas	2	100%	1.0 / 1
Z. Nnaji	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Pickett	0	-	0.0 / 2
D. Roddy	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 118.7 1 121.3	NYK 140.6 +37.6 DEN 103.0
Pace	25 97.7 19 99.4	NYK 98.3 DEN 102.8 +4.6
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.0 9 14.7	NYK 14.7 DEN 14.0 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	9 55.7% 1 57.7%	NYK 66.3% +16.9% DEN 49.4%
TO %	9 13.1% 3 12.1%	NYK 9.5% −4.0% DEN 13.5%
ORB %	5 29.3% 24 23.6%	NYK 37.8% +19.6% DEN 18.2%
FTrt	25 23.8 4 29.4	NYK 22.1 DEN 36.1 +14.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 64.3% 9 66.5%	NYK 80.0% DEN 81.1% +1.1%
STL %	18 8.3% 30 6.8%	NYK 10.9% +4.9% DEN 6.0%
BLK %	22 8.3% 29 7.6%	NYK 9.3% +7.7% DEN 1.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	7 57.6% 1 60.1%	NYK 66.4% +12.8% DEN 53.6%
Rim FG%	14 64.8% 12 65.1%	NYK 85.7% +23.8% DEN 61.9%
Mid FG%	7 44.6% 2 47.0%	NYK 34.6% DEN 72.7% +38.1%
3P %	4 37.3% 1 39.6%	NYK 47.1% +27.1% DEN 20.0%
FT %	10 79.2% 5 80.8%	NYK 76.2% +6.2% DEN 70.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 31.2% 19 31.1%	NYK 36.8% +11.5% DEN 25.3%
Mid Att. %	14 26.1% 21 28.1%	NYK 27.4% DEN 26.5% −0.9%
3P Att. %	12 42.8% 17 40.8%	NYK 35.8% DEN 48.2% +12.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	NYK	DEN
Possessions	101	100
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	142	103
Rebounds	50	31
Assists	44	30
Steals	11	6
Blocks	4	1
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	15 (0)
Fouls	24	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (2)	8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (2)	23 (4)
Field Goals	55-95	37-83
At-the-Rim FG	30-35	13-21
Midrange FG	9-26	16-22
2-Point FG	39-61	29-43
3-Point FG	16-34	8-40
Free Throws	16-21	21-30
Fast Break Pts	22	8
2nd Chance Pts	17	8
Points in Paint	76	46
Pts off Turnovers	24	11
Bench Points	55	33
Biggest Lead	42	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg