Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 6, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Clippers	30%	106	112	113.1	99	104.5
	2	Spurs	70%	113	116	118.4	98	93.0

Prediction updated: Mar 7, 2026 02:32 AM

Scoring Opportunities

LAC

-9

SAS

+17

-12

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.13 56.6%

SAS

1.13 56.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

17 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 35	37.2	30	60%	9	3	3	0	2	2	2	7	9-10	90%	9-14	64%	1-6	17%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	34.0	26	68%	6	2	4	0	2	1	1	5	0-0	-	7-11	64%	4-8	50%
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 29	33.6	12	50%	3	2	0	2	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	2-7	29%
Kris Dunn #8 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 32	31.4	4	40%	7	5	0	0	2	3	0	7	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 24	25.1	10	71%	4	1	2	0	2	2	2	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-3	67%

Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	25.1	11	79%	2	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Bennedict Mathurin #9 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 24	22.2	8	29%	3	1	0	1	0	3	1	2	2-4	50%	3-9	33%	0-3	0%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	17.3	6	100%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Isaiah Jackson #23 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	14.0	5	83%	5	1	1	0	1	1	1	4	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
TyTy Washington Jr. #15 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bogdan Bogdanović #7 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Norchad Omier #55 · PF · 6'7" 248 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sean Pedulla #00 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Injury Management
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Fracture
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lisfranc Ligament; Tear
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Neck; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	57%	41	22	12	3	9	15	7	34	16-20	80%	30-53	57%	12-33	36%

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17 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 35	37.2	30	60%	9	3	3	0	2	2	2	7	9-10	90%	9-14	64%	1-6	17%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	34.0	26	68%	6	2	4	0	2	1	1	5	0-0	-	7-11	64%	4-8	50%
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 29	33.6	12	50%	3	2	0	2	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	2-7	29%
Kris Dunn #8 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 32	31.4	4	40%	7	5	0	0	2	3	0	7	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 24	25.1	10	71%	4	1	2	0	2	2	2	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-3	67%

Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	25.1	11	79%	2	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Bennedict Mathurin #9 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 24	22.2	8	29%	3	1	0	1	0	3	1	2	2-4	50%	3-9	33%	0-3	0%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	17.3	6	100%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Isaiah Jackson #23 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	14.0	5	83%	5	1	1	0	1	1	1	4	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
TyTy Washington Jr. #15 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bogdan Bogdanović #7 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Norchad Omier #55 · PF · 6'7" 248 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sean Pedulla #00 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Injury Management
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Fracture
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lisfranc Ligament; Tear
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Neck; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	57%	41	22	12	3	9	15	7	34	16-20	80%	30-53	57%	12-33	36%

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2 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 26	34.9	11	39%	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	4	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	2-8	25%
Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 21	33.9	6	33%	8	8	0	0	4	3	1	7	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	1-3	33%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 28	30.3	19	53%	2	9	1	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	8-10	80%	1-8	13%
Julian Champagnie #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 25	29.4	20	83%	9	1	0	0	2	2	3	6	3-5	60%	1-2	50%	5-8	63%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	21.6	27	61%	10	1	1	4	1	2	3	7	1-2	50%	7-12	58%	4-9	44%

Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 31	24.2	10	56%	7	2	0	1	2	2	5	2	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26	21.5	10	56%	6	0	0	0	0	2	1	5	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-3	67%
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	20.6	5	125%	3	1	2	1	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	20.2	8	67%	2	4	1	1	1	2	0	2	1-3	33%	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	3.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
David Jones Garcia #25 · SF · 6'4" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Emanuel Miller #14 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Harrison Ingram #55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Impingement
Mason Plumlee #45 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	Inactive – Return to Competition Reconditioning
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	56%	52	29	6	7	12	17	15	37	7-14	50%	29-54	54%	17-41	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	SAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.13 56.6%

SAS

1.13 56.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAC

74%

SAS

65%

Midrange

LAC

38%

SAS

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAC

18.0

36%

55%

SAS

25.5

41%

62%

Free Throws

LAC

80%

SAS

50%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	30	60%	15.0 / 25
B. Lopez	26	68%	13.0 / 19
D. Jones	12	50%	6.0 / 12
J. Miller	11	79%	5.5 / 7
K. Sanders	10	71%	5.0 / 7
B. Mathurin	8	29%	4.0 / 14
N. Batum	6	100%	3.0 / 3
I. Jackson	5	83%	2.5 / 3
K. Dunn	4	40%	2.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Wembanyama	27	61%	13.5 / 22
J. Champagnie	20	83%	10.0 / 12
D. Fox	19	53%	9.5 / 18
D. Vassell	11	39%	5.5 / 14
L. Kornet	10	56%	5.0 / 9
K. Johnson	10	56%	5.0 / 9
D. Harper	8	67%	4.0 / 6
S. Castle	6	33%	3.0 / 9
C. Bryant	5	125%	2.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	11 116.4 3 118.9	LAC 113.1 SAS 118.4 +5.2
Pace	28 97.3 13 100.5	LAC 104.5 +11.5 SAS 93.0
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.0 18 14.2	LAC 13.8 −1.7 SAS 15.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 55.9% 7 55.9%	LAC 55.8% SAS 57.4% +1.6%
TO %	17 13.9% 4 12.5%	LAC 9.5% −1.9% SAS 11.4%
ORB %	23 23.7% 10 26.2%	LAC 15.9% SAS 30.6% +14.7%
FTrt	3 29.5 12 27.3	LAC 23.3 +8.6 SAS 14.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	29 58.6% 13 64.6%	LAC 52.4% SAS 63.0% +10.6%
STL %	5 9.2% 24 7.5%	LAC 12.1% +6.0% SAS 6.1%
BLK %	13 9.5% 10 10.0%	LAC 5.6% SAS 13.2% +7.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 58.7% 6 58.1%	LAC 56.6% +0.3% SAS 56.3%
Rim FG%	3 67.1% 9 65.8%	LAC 74.1% +9.6% SAS 64.5%
Mid FG%	10 44.2% 5 45.1%	LAC 38.5% SAS 39.1% +0.6%
3P %	7 36.8% 15 35.9%	LAC 36.4% SAS 41.5% +5.1%
FT %	1 82.3% 12 78.7%	LAC 80.0% +30.0% SAS 50.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 31.6% 7 34.4%	LAC 31.4% SAS 32.6% +1.2%
Mid Att. %	20 27.9% 7 23.4%	LAC 30.2% SAS 24.2% −6.0%
3P Att. %	19 40.4% 15 42.2%	LAC 38.4% SAS 43.2% +4.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	LAC	SAS
Possessions	99	98
Possession Minutes	22.7	25.3
Points	112	116
Rebounds	41	52
Assists	22	29
Steals	12	6
Blocks	3	7
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	12 (1)
Fouls	15	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (2)	15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (2)	37 (0)
Field Goals	42-86	46-95
At-the-Rim FG	20-27	20-31
Midrange FG	10-26	9-23
2-Point FG	30-53	29-54
3-Point FG	12-33	17-41
Free Throws	16-20	7-14
Fast Break Pts	21	12
2nd Chance Pts	13	9
Points in Paint	44	48
Pts off Turnovers	16	15
Bench Points	30	33
Biggest Lead	25	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg