Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 7, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Clippers	53%	114	123	128.1	96	96.3
	22	Grizzlies	47%	113	120	121.2	99	98.6

Prediction updated: Mar 8, 2026 12:36 AM

Scoring Opportunities

LAC

+22

-15

103

MEM

+18

-15

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.19 59.7%

MEM

1.19 59.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

11 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 29	30.5	16	89%	4	1	1	0	0	3	3	1	2-2	100%	7-8	88%	0-0	-
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 35	27.9	28	67%	5	2	2	0	0	0	1	4	12-14	86%	8-12	67%	0-3	0%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	26.3	21	50%	4	6	0	0	3	3	1	3	2-3	67%	5-12	42%	3-8	38%
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 32	21.8	0	0%	3	3	2	0	3	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	12.4	4	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%

Bennedict Mathurin #9 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 24	34.8	21	55%	10	1	1	1	2	2	3	7	9-9	100%	6-12	50%	0-3	0%
Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	33.2	14	64%	1	2	0	0	2	2	0	1	10-12	83%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Isaiah Jackson #23 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	24.9	12	55%	12	0	2	1	2	4	5	7	0-2	0%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 24	19.2	7	117%	2	0	2	0	3	4	1	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	5.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	2.3	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
TyTy Washington Jr. #15 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 24	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bogdan Bogdanović #7 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sean Pedulla #00 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Norchad Omier #55 · PF · 6'7" 248 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lisfranc Ligament; Tear
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Fracture
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Neck; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	60%	44	15	10	2	15	20	16	28	37-45	82%	37-65	57%	4-17	24%

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11 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 29	30.5	16	89%	4	1	1	0	0	3	3	1	2-2	100%	7-8	88%	0-0	-
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 35	27.9	28	67%	5	2	2	0	0	0	1	4	12-14	86%	8-12	67%	0-3	0%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	26.3	21	50%	4	6	0	0	3	3	1	3	2-3	67%	5-12	42%	3-8	38%
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 32	21.8	0	0%	3	3	2	0	3	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	12.4	4	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%

Bennedict Mathurin #9 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 24	34.8	21	55%	10	1	1	1	2	2	3	7	9-9	100%	6-12	50%	0-3	0%
Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	33.2	14	64%	1	2	0	0	2	2	0	1	10-12	83%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Isaiah Jackson #23 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	24.9	12	55%	12	0	2	1	2	4	5	7	0-2	0%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 24	19.2	7	117%	2	0	2	0	3	4	1	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	5.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	2.3	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
TyTy Washington Jr. #15 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 24	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bogdan Bogdanović #7 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sean Pedulla #00 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Norchad Omier #55 · PF · 6'7" 248 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lisfranc Ligament; Tear
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Fracture
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Neck; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	60%	44	15	10	2	15	20	16	28	37-45	82%	37-65	57%	4-17	24%

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22 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SF · 6'7" 206 · 23	26.3	8	44%	1	1	0	0	1	4	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-8	25%
Ty Jerome #2 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 29	24.5	23	57%	2	7	3	0	1	5	1	1	7-8	88%	5-12	42%	2-5	40%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · SG · 6'2" 170 · 25	23.4	11	69%	3	3	1	0	2	4	1	2	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · C · 6'7" 230 · 24	22.5	11	110%	2	2	0	1	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-4	75%
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	22.1	14	54%	7	1	1	1	2	1	2	5	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%

Taylor Hendricks #22 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	26.2	18	113%	4	2	2	2	1	3	3	1	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	3-3	100%
Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	24.7	4	40%	1	0	0	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Cedric Coward #23 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 22	21.8	15	50%	7	0	0	1	3	2	0	7	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	2-8	25%
Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	18.2	2	20%	2	6	0	0	4	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	15.6	12	86%	3	4	0	0	0	1	3	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	14.8	2	50%	2	3	1	1	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Rayan Rupert #32 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery Recovery
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Surgery Recovery
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 41	Inactive – Return to Competition Reconditioning
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	59%	34	29	8	6	15	29	11	23	20-24	83%	26-44	59%	16-43	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	MEM
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	MEM

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.19 59.7%

MEM

1.19 59.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAC

61%

MEM

67%

Midrange

LAC

48%

MEM

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAC

6.0

24%

35%

MEM

24.0

37%

56%

Free Throws

LAC

82%

MEM

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	28	67%	14.0 / 21
D. Garland	21	50%	10.5 / 21
B. Mathurin	21	55%	10.5 / 19
D. Jones	16	89%	8.0 / 9
J. Miller	14	64%	7.0 / 11
I. Jackson	12	55%	6.0 / 11
K. Sanders	7	117%	3.5 / 3
B. Lopez	4	50%	2.0 / 4
K. Dunn	0	-	0.0 / 2
C. Christie	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Jerome	23	57%	11.5 / 20
T. Hendricks	18	113%	9.0 / 8
C. Coward	15	50%	7.5 / 15
G. Jackson	14	54%	7.0 / 13
C. Spencer	12	86%	6.0 / 7
S. Pippen	11	69%	5.5 / 8
O. Prosper	11	110%	5.5 / 5
J. Wells	8	44%	4.0 / 9
J. Mashack	4	40%	2.0 / 5
W. Clayton	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Small	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	11 116.4 23 112.4	LAC 128.1 +6.9 MEM 121.2
Pace	28 97.3 7 101.8	LAC 96.3 MEM 98.6 +2.3
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.0 26 13.8	LAC 14.9 MEM 14.6 −0.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 55.9% 24 53.3%	LAC 52.4% MEM 57.5% +5.1%
TO %	17 13.9% 22 14.3%	LAC 13.6% MEM 13.3% −0.3%
ORB %	23 23.7% 19 24.7%	LAC 41.0% +12.8% MEM 28.2%
FTrt	3 29.5 21 25.1	LAC 54.9 +27.3 MEM 27.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	29 58.6% 6 67.4%	LAC 36.6% MEM 69.0% +32.4%
STL %	5 9.2% 11 8.7%	LAC 10.4% +2.3% MEM 8.1%
BLK %	13 9.5% 14 9.1%	LAC 4.5% MEM 9.2% +4.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 58.7% 22 55.8%	LAC 59.7% +0.3% MEM 59.4%
Rim FG%	3 67.1% 26 62.8%	LAC 61.4% MEM 66.7% +5.3%
Mid FG%	10 44.2% 11 44.2%	LAC 47.6% MEM 50.0% +2.4%
3P %	7 36.8% 22 35.3%	LAC 23.5% MEM 37.2% +13.7%
FT %	1 82.3% 9 79.3%	LAC 82.2% MEM 83.3% +1.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 31.6% 26 28.6%	LAC 53.7% +26.1% MEM 27.6%
Mid Att. %	20 27.9% 19 27.8%	LAC 25.6% MEM 23.0% −2.6%
3P Att. %	19 40.4% 10 43.6%	LAC 20.7% MEM 49.4% +28.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	LAC	MEM
Possessions	96	99
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	123	120
Rebounds	44	34
Assists	15	29
Steals	10	8
Blocks	2	6
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	15 (0)
Fouls	20	29
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (6)	11 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (3)	23 (0)
Field Goals	41-82	42-87
At-the-Rim FG	27-44	16-24
Midrange FG	10-21	10-20
2-Point FG	37-65	26-44
3-Point FG	4-17	16-43
Free Throws	37-45	20-24
Fast Break Pts	16	11
2nd Chance Pts	26	14
Points in Paint	66	48
Pts off Turnovers	20	21
Bench Points	54	53
Biggest Lead	9	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg