Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 7, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Jazz	27%	113	99	100.0	99	98.8
	20	Bucks	73%	121	113	115.3	98	98.2

Prediction updated: Mar 8, 2026 12:36 AM

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

+18

-11

106

MIL

+11

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

0.93 46.7%

MIL

1.15 57.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21	37.3	13	46%	11	2	2	0	1	0	4	7	4-4	100%	3-7	43%	1-5	20%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 22	34.2	14	54%	11	6	1	2	2	4	3	8	5-5	100%	3-6	50%	1-5	20%
Ace Bailey #19 · SG · 6'9" 200 · 20	29.4	9	35%	6	3	2	0	5	6	1	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-9	11%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	29.4	22	48%	2	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	12-13	92%	2-9	22%	2-8	25%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	12.3	6	75%	5	1	0	0	0	4	1	4	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

John Konchar #55 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	26.1	2	25%	3	0	0	1	0	2	1	2	2-4	50%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Blake Hinson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	22.9	8	44%	2	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-7	29%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	18.7	17	71%	5	2	2	0	0	1	0	5	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	3-6	50%
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	16.1	5	36%	2	2	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	13.6	3	50%	6	0	0	0	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Mo Bamba #11 · C · 7'0" 231 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaren Jackson Jr. #20 · C · 6'10" 242 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury recovery
Vince Williams Jr. #0 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury management
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Impingement
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury recovery
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nose; Injury recovery
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	47%	53	23	7	3	11	19	13	40	25-29	86%	19-41	46%	12-49	24%

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28 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21	37.3	13	46%	11	2	2	0	1	0	4	7	4-4	100%	3-7	43%	1-5	20%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 22	34.2	14	54%	11	6	1	2	2	4	3	8	5-5	100%	3-6	50%	1-5	20%
Ace Bailey #19 · SG · 6'9" 200 · 20	29.4	9	35%	6	3	2	0	5	6	1	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-9	11%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	29.4	22	48%	2	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	12-13	92%	2-9	22%	2-8	25%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	12.3	6	75%	5	1	0	0	0	4	1	4	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

John Konchar #55 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	26.1	2	25%	3	0	0	1	0	2	1	2	2-4	50%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Blake Hinson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	22.9	8	44%	2	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-7	29%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	18.7	17	71%	5	2	2	0	0	1	0	5	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	3-6	50%
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	16.1	5	36%	2	2	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 37	13.6	3	50%	6	0	0	0	1	1	1	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Mo Bamba #11 · C · 7'0" 231 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jaren Jackson Jr. #20 · C · 6'10" 242 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury recovery
Vince Williams Jr. #0 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury management
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Impingement
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury recovery
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nose; Injury recovery
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	47%	53	23	7	3	11	19	13	40	25-29	86%	19-41	46%	12-49	24%

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20 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 24	39.8	13	43%	11	8	1	2	4	1	1	10	0-0	-	2-6	33%	3-9	33%
Ousmane Dieng #21 · SG · 6'9" 185 · 23	32.1	11	69%	8	9	0	0	2	1	0	8	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-6	50%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 31	28.9	18	69%	2	5	0	0	0	5	1	1	3-3	100%	3-7	43%	3-5	60%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 31	27.0	27	68%	9	8	4	0	2	1	1	8	9-15	60%	9-12	75%	0-2	0%
Myles Turner #3 · C · 6'11" 250 · 30	18.2	8	50%	3	0	0	2	0	3	1	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%

Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 27	29.9	6	60%	5	2	2	0	1	2	1	4	0-2	0%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 26	20.8	7	39%	1	1	0	0	0	4	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	2-8	25%
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	17.9	12	67%	4	0	0	1	2	1	2	2	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	0-2	0%
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 26	13.7	5	50%	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Cam Thomas #24 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 24	6.2	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-2	0%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 27	5.5	3	50%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Gary Harris #11 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Antetokounmpo #29 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cormac Ryan #30 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kevin Porter Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Swelling
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Neck; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	58%	48	33	7	5	11	20	7	41	16-28	57%	26-41	63%	15-44	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	MIL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

UTA

0.93 46.7%

MIL

1.15 57.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

45%

MIL

75%

Midrange

UTA

47%

MIL

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

18.0

24%

37%

MIL

22.5

34%

51%

Free Throws

UTA

86%

MIL

57%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. George	22	48%	11.0 / 23
B. Sensabaugh	17	71%	8.5 / 12
K. Filipowski	14	54%	7.0 / 13
C. Williams	13	46%	6.5 / 14
A. Bailey	9	35%	4.5 / 13
B. Hinson	8	44%	4.0 / 9
O. Tshiebwe	6	75%	3.0 / 4
E. Harkless	5	36%	2.5 / 7
K. Love	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Konchar	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	27	68%	13.5 / 20
K. Kuzma	18	69%	9.0 / 13
R. Rollins	13	43%	6.5 / 15
B. Portis	12	67%	6.0 / 9
O. Dieng	11	69%	5.5 / 8
M. Turner	8	50%	4.0 / 8
A. Green	7	39%	3.5 / 9
J. Sims	6	60%	3.0 / 5
P. Nance	5	50%	2.5 / 5
C. Thomas	3	75%	1.5 / 2
G. Trent	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 112.9 24 112.3	UTA 100.0 MIL 115.3 +15.3
Pace	2 103.4 24 98.1	UTA 98.8 +0.7 MIL 98.2
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 7 14.8	UTA 14.6 −0.1 MIL 14.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.6% 3 56.5%	UTA 41.1% MIL 57.1% +16.0%
TO %	23 14.4% 24 14.7%	UTA 10.5% MIL 10.2% −0.3%
ORB %	12 26.2% 30 21.1%	UTA 24.1% +9.2% MIL 14.9%
FTrt	10 27.7 29 22.3	UTA 32.2 MIL 32.9 +0.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 69.6% 17 63.3%	UTA 74.2% MIL 80.5% +6.3%
STL %	14 8.5% 23 7.5%	UTA 7.1% MIL 7.1%
BLK %	30 7.5% 25 8.2%	UTA 7.3% MIL 12.2% +4.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.4% 9 57.5%	UTA 46.7% MIL 57.7% +11.0%
Rim FG%	17 64.5% 4 67.1%	UTA 45.5% MIL 75.0% +29.5%
Mid FG%	8 44.4% 20 42.6%	UTA 47.4% +0.3% MIL 47.1%
3P %	25 34.5% 2 38.7%	UTA 24.5% MIL 34.1% +9.6%
FT %	13 78.6% 30 73.0%	UTA 86.2% +29.1% MIL 57.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 31.3% 27 28.2%	UTA 24.4% MIL 28.2% +3.8%
Mid Att. %	23 28.4% 16 26.1%	UTA 21.1% MIL 20.0% −1.1%
3P Att. %	21 40.3% 5 45.7%	UTA 54.4% +2.7% MIL 51.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Game Totals	UTA	MIL
Possessions	99	98
Possession Minutes	24.0	24.0
Points	99	113
Rebounds	53	48
Assists	23	33
Steals	7	7
Blocks	3	5
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	11 (0)
Fouls	19	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (5)	7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	40 (0)	41 (2)
Field Goals	31-90	41-85
At-the-Rim FG	10-22	18-24
Midrange FG	9-19	8-17
2-Point FG	19-41	26-41
3-Point FG	12-49	15-44
Free Throws	25-29	16-28
Fast Break Pts	11	23
2nd Chance Pts	12	13
Points in Paint	28	42
Pts off Turnovers	20	13
Bench Points	35	36
Biggest Lead	2	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg