Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 7, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Warriors	23%	104	97	104.3	93	87.5
	3	Thunder	77%	114	104	111.8	93	99.2

Prediction updated: Mar 8, 2026 01:21 AM

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+18

-11

100

OKC

+11

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

0.97 48.5%

OKC

1.17 58.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

18 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 23	39.0	17	47%	6	6	2	0	1	1	1	5	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	3-10	30%
Gui Santos #15 · SF · 6'7" 185 · 24	37.1	22	52%	11	3	2	0	1	2	3	8	4-6	67%	6-10	60%	2-9	22%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	32.6	16	80%	4	5	2	0	4	2	2	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	4-6	67%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	28.7	4	33%	5	4	0	1	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Pat Spencer #61 · SG · 6'2" 205 · 30	25.5	9	75%	1	1	1	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-2	50%

Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	23.0	9	35%	5	5	0	1	1	4	1	4	3-6	50%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	22.1	7	39%	12	1	1	0	1	2	7	5	0-2	0%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	17.0	6	75%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	8.6	4	29%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	6.4	3	75%	1	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgery
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	49%	47	28	8	3	11	18	15	32	11-18	61%	22-43	51%	14-45	31%

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18 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 23	39.0	17	47%	6	6	2	0	1	1	1	5	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	3-10	30%
Gui Santos #15 · SF · 6'7" 185 · 24	37.1	22	52%	11	3	2	0	1	2	3	8	4-6	67%	6-10	60%	2-9	22%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	32.6	16	80%	4	5	2	0	4	2	2	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	4-6	67%
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	28.7	4	33%	5	4	0	1	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Pat Spencer #61 · SG · 6'2" 205 · 30	25.5	9	75%	1	1	1	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-2	50%

Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	23.0	9	35%	5	5	0	1	1	4	1	4	3-6	50%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	22.1	7	39%	12	1	1	0	1	2	7	5	0-2	0%	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	17.0	6	75%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	8.6	4	29%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	6.4	3	75%	1	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgery
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Sciatic Nerve; Irritation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	49%	47	28	8	3	11	18	15	32	11-18	61%	22-43	51%	14-45	31%

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3 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 28	35.0	27	61%	5	5	1	1	4	1	0	5	14-15	93%	5-11	45%	1-4	25%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 27	34.8	18	69%	4	3	0	0	0	4	0	4	6-6	100%	3-5	60%	2-7	29%
Luguentz Dort #5 · PF · 6'4" 220 · 27	33.5	8	40%	5	2	1	0	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-7	29%
Jaylin Williams #6 · C · 6'9" 240 · 24	33.1	9	64%	14	4	0	0	6	3	2	12	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-6	50%
Cason Wallace #22 · SF · 6'3" 195 · 22	31.2	9	56%	0	2	4	0	3	2	0	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-3	33%

Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	28.5	9	45%	4	4	1	0	0	2	2	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	19.3	13	72%	7	1	0	0	0	2	0	7	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Jared McCain #3 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	12.9	9	64%	2	1	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-6	50%
Brooks Barnhizer #23 · SG · 6'5" 230 · 24	11.7	2	100%	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Payton Sandfort #14 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Caruso #9 · PF · 6'5" 186 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Contusion
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Abdominal; Strain/ Left Ankle Sprain
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Contusion
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical Recovery
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Strain
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Flu
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	58%	42	24	7	1	14	18	7	35	23-24	96%	18-36	50%	15-42	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	OKC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

0.97 48.5%

OKC

1.17 58.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

61%

OKC

67%

Midrange

GSW

25%

OKC

27%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

21.0

31%

47%

OKC

22.5

36%

54%

Free Throws

GSW

61%

OKC

96%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Santos	22	52%	11.0 / 21
B. Podziemski	17	47%	8.5 / 18
D. Green	16	80%	8.0 / 10
P. Spencer	9	75%	4.5 / 6
K. Porziņģis	9	35%	4.5 / 13
G. Payton	7	39%	3.5 / 9
L. Cryer	6	75%	3.0 / 4
A. Horford	4	33%	2.0 / 6
N. Williams	4	29%	2.0 / 7
M. Leons	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	27	61%	13.5 / 22
I. Joe	18	69%	9.0 / 13
K. Williams	13	72%	6.5 / 9
J. Williams	9	64%	4.5 / 7
C. Wallace	9	56%	4.5 / 8
A. Wiggins	9	45%	4.5 / 10
J. McCain	9	64%	4.5 / 7
L. Dort	8	40%	4.0 / 10
B. Barnhizer	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 114.0 7 117.6	GSW 104.3 OKC 111.8 +7.5
Pace	18 99.9 15 100.3	GSW 87.5 OKC 99.2 +11.7
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.7 20 14.1	GSW 16.5 OKC 14.5 −1.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 4 56.1%	GSW 48.9% OKC 51.9% +3.0%
TO %	28 14.9% 1 11.8%	GSW 11.9% −1.8% OKC 13.7%
ORB %	14 25.8% 28 22.3%	GSW 30.0% +12.1% OKC 17.9%
FTrt	24 23.8 17 26.1	GSW 20.5 OKC 30.8 +10.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 70.6% 25 59.8%	GSW 77.8% +5.1% OKC 72.7%
STL %	3 9.6% 4 9.6%	GSW 8.6% +1.1% OKC 7.5%
BLK %	27 8.0% 2 11.0%	GSW 8.3% +6.0% OKC 2.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.1% 4 58.5%	GSW 48.5% OKC 58.4% +9.9%
Rim FG%	5 66.7% 11 65.2%	GSW 61.3% OKC 66.7% +5.4%
Mid FG%	22 42.1% 1 47.6%	GSW 25.0% OKC 26.7% +1.7%
3P %	20 35.6% 9 36.5%	GSW 31.1% OKC 35.7% +4.6%
FT %	6 80.7% 3 81.7%	GSW 61.1% OKC 95.8% +34.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 29.5% 16 31.3%	GSW 35.2% +8.3% OKC 26.9%
Mid Att. %	3 20.8% 15 26.1%	GSW 13.6% −5.6% OKC 19.2%
3P Att. %	1 49.7% 13 42.6%	GSW 51.1% OKC 53.8% +2.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	OKC
Possessions	93	93
Possession Minutes	25.5	22.5
Points	97	104
Rebounds	47	42
Assists	28	24
Steals	8	7
Blocks	3	1
Turnovers (Team)	11 (2)	14 (0)
Fouls	18	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (3)	7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (3)	35 (2)
Field Goals	36-88	33-78
At-the-Rim FG	19-31	14-21
Midrange FG	3-12	4-15
2-Point FG	22-43	18-36
3-Point FG	14-45	15-42
Free Throws	11-18	23-24
Fast Break Pts	4	6
2nd Chance Pts	16	7
Points in Paint	42	28
Pts off Turnovers	12	14
Bench Points	29	33
Biggest Lead	0	14

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg