Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 9, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	76ers	18%	106	101	108.6	93	95.8
	4	Cavaliers	82%	118	115	121.1	95	92.3

Prediction updated: Mar 9, 2026 11:01 PM

Scoring Opportunities

PHI

+16

-14

CLE

+14

-9

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.05 52.6%

CLE

1.16 58.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Quentin Grimes #5 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 26	36.1	17	61%	5	3	0	0	1	1	0	5	3-3	100%	4-5	80%	2-8	25%
Cameron Payne #20 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 32	27.6	12	46%	6	4	0	0	0	2	2	4	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	2-7	29%
Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	26.1	8	40%	7	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	0-0	-	4-10	40%	0-0	-
Dominick Barlow #25 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 23	19.6	8	50%	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	0-2	0%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	13.9	6	38%	2	1	0	0	0	3	0	2	4-5	80%	1-3	33%	0-3	0%

Justin Edwards #11 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	28.2	14	117%	2	3	2	0	1	4	1	1	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	3-4	75%
Trendon Watford #12 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	20.1	6	38%	5	2	1	1	4	3	1	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Dalen Terry #14 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	19.1	9	64%	3	4	1	1	1	1	2	1	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Tyrese Martin #23 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	17.2	4	29%	2	1	1	1	3	0	0	2	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 33	15.4	4	50%	7	2	0	0	1	4	2	5	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jabari Walker #33 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 24	12.2	5	83%	2	0	1	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
MarJon Beauchamp #16 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 25	4.6	8	100%	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johni Broome #22 · PF · 6'9" 244 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery Recovery
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Finger; Sprain
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Oblique; Strain
VJ Edgecombe #77 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar; Contusion
Paul George #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 36	Inactive - League Suspension
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	53%	42	20	7	4	14	21	11	31	12-18	67%	28-47	60%	11-38	29%

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25 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Quentin Grimes #5 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 26	36.1	17	61%	5	3	0	0	1	1	0	5	3-3	100%	4-5	80%	2-8	25%
Cameron Payne #20 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 32	27.6	12	46%	6	4	0	0	0	2	2	4	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	2-7	29%
Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	26.1	8	40%	7	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	0-0	-	4-10	40%	0-0	-
Dominick Barlow #25 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 23	19.6	8	50%	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	0-2	0%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	13.9	6	38%	2	1	0	0	0	3	0	2	4-5	80%	1-3	33%	0-3	0%

Justin Edwards #11 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	28.2	14	117%	2	3	2	0	1	4	1	1	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	3-4	75%
Trendon Watford #12 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	20.1	6	38%	5	2	1	1	4	3	1	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Dalen Terry #14 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	19.1	9	64%	3	4	1	1	1	1	2	1	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Tyrese Martin #23 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	17.2	4	29%	2	1	1	1	3	0	0	2	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 33	15.4	4	50%	7	2	0	0	1	4	2	5	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jabari Walker #33 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 24	12.2	5	83%	2	0	1	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
MarJon Beauchamp #16 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 25	4.6	8	100%	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Johni Broome #22 · PF · 6'9" 244 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery Recovery
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Finger; Sprain
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Oblique; Strain
VJ Edgecombe #77 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar; Contusion
Paul George #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 36	Inactive - League Suspension
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	53%	42	20	7	4	14	21	11	31	12-18	67%	28-47	60%	11-38	29%

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4 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 30	31.2	17	57%	3	6	2	0	0	1	1	2	9-9	100%	4-9	44%	0-2	0%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 37	29.1	21	75%	5	5	0	1	2	1	0	5	6-6	100%	3-3	100%	3-8	38%
Evan Mobley #4 · C · 6'11" 215 · 25	28.1	15	63%	8	1	0	3	1	2	1	7	1-1	100%	7-10	70%	0-2	0%
Sam Merrill #5 · SF · 6'4" 205 · 30	20.6	2	17%	3	5	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-5	0%
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	20.2	13	72%	10	2	0	1	0	3	4	6	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-6	50%

Keon Ellis #14 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	25.6	19	79%	2	0	1	0	0	3	1	1	5-7	71%	1-2	50%	4-7	57%
Dennis Schröder #8 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	21.7	4	67%	1	2	0	1	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	20.6	11	50%	1	2	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	3-6	50%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	15.0	0	0%	2	3	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29	12.6	8	44%	5	1	0	1	0	1	2	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-5	40%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	3.8	2	100%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	3.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristan Enaruna #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	3.8	3	75%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Riley Minix #12 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	3.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Olivier Sarr #33 · C · 6'10" 240 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadricep; Strain
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendonitis
Max Strus #2 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	58%	41	28	4	8	9	16	9	32	23-25	92%	22-40	55%	16-44	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	CLE
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	CLE

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.05 52.6%

CLE

1.16 58.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

PHI

72%

CLE

60%

Midrange

PHI

39%

CLE

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

PHI

16.5

29%

43%

CLE

24.0

36%

55%

Free Throws

PHI

67%

CLE

92%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Q. Grimes	17	61%	8.5 / 14
J. Edwards	14	117%	7.0 / 6
C. Payne	12	46%	6.0 / 13
D. Terry	9	64%	4.5 / 7
A. Bona	8	40%	4.0 / 10
D. Barlow	8	50%	4.0 / 8
M. Beauchamp	8	100%	4.0 / 4
K. Oubre	6	38%	3.0 / 8
T. Watford	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. Walker	5	83%	2.5 / 3
T. Martin	4	29%	2.0 / 7
A. Drummond	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Harden	21	75%	10.5 / 14
K. Ellis	19	79%	9.5 / 12
D. Mitchell	17	57%	8.5 / 15
E. Mobley	15	63%	7.5 / 12
D. Wade	13	72%	6.5 / 9
J. Tyson	11	50%	5.5 / 11
T. Bryant	8	44%	4.0 / 9
D. Schröder	4	67%	2.0 / 3
T. Enaruna	3	75%	1.5 / 2
S. Merrill	2	17%	1.0 / 6
N. Tomlin	2	100%	1.0 / 1
C. Porter	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 114.4 6 118.3	PHI 108.6 CLE 121.1 +12.5
Pace	16 100.3 12 100.6	PHI 95.8 +3.6 CLE 92.3
Avg. Poss. Time	11 14.6 21 14.1	PHI 15.0 −0.6 CLE 15.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 53.0% 5 56.1%	PHI 52.4% CLE 54.8% +2.4%
TO %	6 12.8% 10 13.2%	PHI 15.5% CLE 9.5% −6.0%
ORB %	11 26.2% 9 26.9%	PHI 25.6% +3.1% CLE 22.5%
FTrt	11 27.5 15 26.5	PHI 21.2 CLE 29.8 +8.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 58.9% 11 65.3%	PHI 51.3% CLE 73.7% +22.4%
STL %	7 9.0% 15 8.4%	PHI 7.5% +3.3% CLE 4.2%
BLK %	3 10.9% 11 9.8%	PHI 10.0% CLE 17.0% +7.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	21 55.9% 5 58.2%	PHI 52.6% CLE 58.1% +5.5%
Rim FG%	27 62.1% 7 66.1%	PHI 72.4% +12.4% CLE 60.0%
Mid FG%	23 41.8% 3 46.8%	PHI 38.9% CLE 46.7% +7.8%
3P %	23 34.9% 13 36.0%	PHI 28.9% CLE 36.4% +7.5%
FT %	4 80.9% 19 77.6%	PHI 66.7% CLE 92.0% +25.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 35.0% 14 31.7%	PHI 34.1% +4.4% CLE 29.8%
Mid Att. %	13 25.9% 8 24.1%	PHI 21.2% CLE 17.9% −3.3%
3P Att. %	23 39.1% 9 44.2%	PHI 44.7% CLE 52.4% +7.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	PHI	CLE
Possessions	93	95
Possession Minutes	23.3	24.7
Points	101	115
Rebounds	42	41
Assists	20	28
Steals	7	4
Blocks	4	8
Turnovers (Team)	14 (3)	9 (1)
Fouls	21	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (5)	9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (3)	32 (1)
Field Goals	39-85	38-84
At-the-Rim FG	21-29	15-25
Midrange FG	7-18	7-15
2-Point FG	28-47	22-40
3-Point FG	11-38	16-44
Free Throws	12-18	23-25
Fast Break Pts	21	13
2nd Chance Pts	13	10
Points in Paint	54	40
Pts off Turnovers	14	20
Bench Points	50	47
Biggest Lead	5	25

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg