Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 9, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Warriors	76%	119	116	118.4	98	99.0
	27	Jazz	24%	110	119	121.4	98	97.0

Prediction updated: Mar 10, 2026 12:56 AM

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+22

-9

111

UTA

+16

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.04 51.8%

UTA

1.23 61.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

19 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 23	35.1	14	58%	8	4	2	0	3	2	0	8	0-4	0%	1-4	25%	4-6	67%
Gui Santos #15 · SF · 6'7" 185 · 24	33.5	15	50%	8	5	2	0	0	1	3	5	2-4	50%	5-6	83%	1-7	14%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	32.5	6	38%	2	11	0	0	0	4	1	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	25.4	10	38%	4	2	1	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-6	0%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	19.9	22	61%	7	2	2	1	2	3	4	3	5-5	100%	4-10	40%	3-6	50%

Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	25.5	13	54%	1	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	1-5	20%
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	16.8	11	61%	5	2	1	0	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-8	38%
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	13.4	0	0%	2	1	0	1	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	13.2	12	75%	4	1	1	0	1	1	4	0	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	12.7	0	0%	4	2	1	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 36	12.2	13	93%	1	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Injury Management
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| General; Illness Management
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	52%	46	33	11	2	9	20	19	27	14-21	67%	27-47	57%	16-52	31%

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19 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 23	35.1	14	58%	8	4	2	0	3	2	0	8	0-4	0%	1-4	25%	4-6	67%
Gui Santos #15 · SF · 6'7" 185 · 24	33.5	15	50%	8	5	2	0	0	1	3	5	2-4	50%	5-6	83%	1-7	14%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	32.5	6	38%	2	11	0	0	0	4	1	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	25.4	10	38%	4	2	1	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-6	0%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	19.9	22	61%	7	2	2	1	2	3	4	3	5-5	100%	4-10	40%	3-6	50%

Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	25.5	13	54%	1	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	1-5	20%
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	16.8	11	61%	5	2	1	0	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-8	38%
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	13.4	0	0%	2	1	0	1	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	13.2	12	75%	4	1	1	0	1	1	4	0	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	12.7	0	0%	4	2	1	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 36	12.2	13	93%	1	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Injury Management
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| General; Illness Management
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	52%	46	33	11	2	9	20	19	27	14-21	67%	27-47	57%	16-52	31%

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27 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cody Williams #5 · PF · 6'8" 190 · 21	43.1	12	46%	3	7	0	1	5	2	1	2	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	0-4	0%
John Konchar #55 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	32.9	2	50%	10	3	3	0	0	4	1	9	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	28.5	21	70%	2	3	0	2	4	2	2	0	5-6	83%	5-8	63%	2-5	40%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	24.9	19	63%	15	5	2	1	4	1	4	11	6-6	100%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	24.1	15	47%	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	1-5	20%

Blake Hinson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	27.8	12	67%	2	1	0	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-9	44%
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	23.9	16	57%	2	6	1	0	2	2	0	2	7-8	88%	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	19.6	10	71%	8	1	1	0	0	1	4	4	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 38	15.1	12	120%	8	1	1	0	0	0	1	7	3-3	100%	0-1	0%	3-3	100%
Mo Bamba #11 · C · 7'0" 231 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury recovery
Vince Williams Jr. #0 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 26	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury management
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness
Jaren Jackson Jr. #20 · C · 6'10" 242 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury recovery
Ace Bailey #19 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Impingement
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nose; Injury recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	61%	50	29	8	4	17	17	13	37	27-29	93%	28-49	57%	12-34	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	UTA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.04 51.8%

UTA

1.23 61.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

68%

UTA

70%

Midrange

GSW

42%

UTA

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

24.0

31%

46%

UTA

18.0

35%

53%

Free Throws

GSW

67%

UTA

93%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Melton	22	61%	11.0 / 18
G. Santos	15	50%	7.5 / 15
B. Podziemski	14	58%	7.0 / 12
G. Payton	13	54%	6.5 / 12
S. Curry	13	93%	6.5 / 7
N. Williams	12	75%	6.0 / 8
L. Cryer	11	61%	5.5 / 9
Q. Post	10	38%	5.0 / 13
D. Green	6	38%	3.0 / 8
M. Leons	0	-	0.0 / 2
P. Spencer	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Sensabaugh	21	70%	10.5 / 15
K. Filipowski	19	63%	9.5 / 15
E. Harkless	16	57%	8.0 / 14
K. George	15	47%	7.5 / 16
C. Williams	12	46%	6.0 / 13
B. Hinson	12	67%	6.0 / 9
K. Love	12	120%	6.0 / 5
O. Tshiebwe	10	71%	5.0 / 7
J. Konchar	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 114.0 22 112.9	GSW 118.4 UTA 121.4 +3.1
Pace	18 99.9 2 103.4	GSW 99.0 +2.0 UTA 97.0
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.7 27 13.8	GSW 14.5 −0.3 UTA 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 20 53.6%	GSW 51.5% UTA 55.4% +3.9%
TO %	28 14.9% 23 14.4%	GSW 8.5% −6.6% UTA 15.1%
ORB %	14 25.8% 12 26.2%	GSW 33.9% +1.4% UTA 32.5%
FTrt	24 23.8 10 27.7	GSW 21.2 UTA 34.9 +13.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 70.6% 2 69.6%	GSW 76.7% +4.2% UTA 72.5%
STL %	3 9.6% 14 8.5%	GSW 11.2% +3.0% UTA 8.2%
BLK %	27 8.0% 30 7.5%	GSW 4.1% UTA 8.5% +4.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.1% 18 56.4%	GSW 51.8% UTA 61.3% +9.5%
Rim FG%	5 66.7% 17 64.5%	GSW 67.9% UTA 70.0% +2.1%
Mid FG%	22 42.1% 8 44.4%	GSW 42.1% UTA 48.3% +6.2%
3P %	20 35.6% 25 34.5%	GSW 30.8% UTA 35.3% +4.5%
FT %	6 80.7% 13 78.6%	GSW 66.7% UTA 93.1% +26.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 29.5% 17 31.3%	GSW 28.3% +4.2% UTA 24.1%
Mid Att. %	3 20.8% 23 28.4%	GSW 19.2% −15.7% UTA 34.9%
3P Att. %	1 49.7% 21 40.3%	GSW 52.5% +11.6% UTA 41.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	UTA
Possessions	98	98
Possession Minutes	23.8	24.2
Points	116	119
Rebounds	46	50
Assists	33	29
Steals	11	8
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	17 (0)
Fouls	20	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	19 (3)	13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (2)	37 (2)
Field Goals	43-99	40-83
At-the-Rim FG	19-28	14-20
Midrange FG	8-19	14-29
2-Point FG	27-47	28-49
3-Point FG	16-52	12-34
Free Throws	14-21	27-29
Fast Break Pts	19	15
2nd Chance Pts	19	22
Points in Paint	48	46
Pts off Turnovers	19	13
Bench Points	49	50
Biggest Lead	3	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg