Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 11, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Hornets	85%	121	117	121.9	96	100.1
	28	Kings	15%	108	109	116.0	94	90.2

Prediction updated: Mar 12, 2026 01:42 AM

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+21

-14

103

SAC

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.15 57.4%

SAC

1.20 59.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kon Knueppel #7 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 21	34.3	24	80%	7	3	0	0	1	2	1	6	5-5	100%	2-5	40%	5-8	63%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 24	34.0	2	33%	10	2	1	0	0	1	6	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	32.8	20	59%	3	5	2	0	3	1	0	3	4-4	100%	5-10	50%	2-5	40%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 28	31.3	26	87%	2	5	1	0	2	3	1	1	1-1	100%	8-11	73%	3-4	75%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 25	30.6	30	63%	6	5	1	0	3	1	2	4	4-4	100%	4-9	44%	6-13	46%

Sion James #4 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 23	24.3	4	25%	3	4	1	0	1	0	0	3	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	1-4	25%
Coby White #3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	19.9	9	50%	2	1	0	1	3	1	0	2	1-1	100%	1-5	20%	2-4	50%
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 27	14.0	2	33%	6	3	0	0	0	2	3	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Josh Green #10 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	10.7	0	0%	1	1	2	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Pat Connaughton #21 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 33	8.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Ryan Kalkbrenner #11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tosan Evbuomwan #8 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| G-League - Two-Way
PJ Hall #16 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| G League - Two-Way
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Liam McNeeley #33 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	57%	41	29	8	1	14	12	13	28	16-17	94%	22-50	44%	19-40	48%

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3 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kon Knueppel #7 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 21	34.3	24	80%	7	3	0	0	1	2	1	6	5-5	100%	2-5	40%	5-8	63%
Moussa Diabaté #14 · C · 6'10" 210 · 24	34.0	2	33%	10	2	1	0	0	1	6	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Brandon Miller #24 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 23	32.8	20	59%	3	5	2	0	3	1	0	3	4-4	100%	5-10	50%	2-5	40%
Miles Bridges #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 28	31.3	26	87%	2	5	1	0	2	3	1	1	1-1	100%	8-11	73%	3-4	75%
LaMelo Ball #1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 25	30.6	30	63%	6	5	1	0	3	1	2	4	4-4	100%	4-9	44%	6-13	46%

Sion James #4 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 23	24.3	4	25%	3	4	1	0	1	0	0	3	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	1-4	25%
Coby White #3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	19.9	9	50%	2	1	0	1	3	1	0	2	1-1	100%	1-5	20%	2-4	50%
Xavier Tillman #26 · C · 6'8" 245 · 27	14.0	2	33%	6	3	0	0	0	2	3	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Josh Green #10 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	10.7	0	0%	1	1	2	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Pat Connaughton #21 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 33	8.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Ryan Kalkbrenner #11 · C · 7'1" 256 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Tre Mann #23 · PG · 6'4" 178 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tosan Evbuomwan #8 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Antonio Reeves #12 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| G-League - Two-Way
PJ Hall #16 · C · 6'8" 245 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| G League - Two-Way
Tidjane Salaün #31 · PF · 6'10" 207 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Liam McNeeley #33 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Grant Williams #2 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	57%	41	29	8	1	14	12	13	28	16-17	94%	22-50	44%	19-40	48%

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28 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 37	40.8	39	81%	4	6	2	1	4	3	0	4	5-5	100%	17-21	81%	0-1	0%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	40.8	18	53%	4	8	2	1	1	4	2	2	2-3	67%	5-10	50%	2-6	33%
Killian Hayes #3 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 25	30.8	11	61%	2	4	0	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-3	33%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	29.5	14	58%	8	2	1	1	1	3	4	4	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	0-1	0%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	24.9	4	50%	6	2	0	3	3	1	0	6	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-

Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 28	30.2	13	59%	4	0	1	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-7	43%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	28.2	6	43%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-7	29%
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	14.7	4	40%	6	2	0	0	1	3	1	5	0-2	0%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Soreness
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way \| G League - Two-Way
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadriceps; Contusion
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Repair
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right fifth finger, tendon repair
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle
De'Andre Hunter #15 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Retinal Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	60%	35	24	6	6	13	18	8	27	11-14	79%	37-58	64%	8-25	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	SAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

CHA

1.15 57.4%

SAC

1.20 59.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

43%

SAC

78%

Midrange

CHA

50%

SAC

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

28.5

48%

71%

SAC

12.0

32%

48%

Free Throws

CHA

94%

SAC

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Ball	30	63%	15.0 / 24
M. Bridges	26	87%	13.0 / 15
K. Knueppel	24	80%	12.0 / 15
B. Miller	20	59%	10.0 / 17
C. White	9	50%	4.5 / 9
S. James	4	25%	2.0 / 8
M. Diabaté	2	33%	1.0 / 3
X. Tillman	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Green	0	-	0.0 / 1
P. Connaughton	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	39	81%	19.5 / 24
N. Clifford	18	53%	9.0 / 17
P. Achiuwa	14	58%	7.0 / 12
D. Plowden	13	59%	6.5 / 11
K. Hayes	11	61%	5.5 / 9
D. McDermott	6	43%	3.0 / 7
M. Raynaud	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Eubanks	4	40%	2.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 118.6 26 110.6	CHA 121.9 +5.9 SAC 116.0
Pace	27 97.5 17 100.0	CHA 100.1 +9.9 SAC 90.2
Avg. Poss. Time	3 15.2 14 14.5	CHA 14.4 −1.6 SAC 16.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.2% 29 52.5%	CHA 56.1% SAC 59.0% +2.9%
TO %	27 14.8% 15 13.7%	CHA 14.1% SAC 13.6% −0.5%
ORB %	4 30.5% 13 25.9%	CHA 32.5% +10.3% SAC 22.2%
FTrt	23 24.4 19 25.6	CHA 18.9 +2.0 SAC 16.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 64.3% 20 61.5%	CHA 70.7% +17.4% SAC 53.3%
STL %	29 7.2% 21 8.0%	CHA 8.3% +1.9% SAC 6.4%
BLK %	20 8.6% 19 8.6%	CHA 1.7% SAC 12.0% +10.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.3% 29 54.7%	CHA 57.4% SAC 59.9% +2.5%
Rim FG%	23 63.1% 8 65.9%	CHA 42.5% SAC 77.8% +35.3%
Mid FG%	25 41.4% 13 43.8%	CHA 50.0% SAC 51.6% +1.6%
3P %	3 37.8% 29 34.1%	CHA 47.5% +15.5% SAC 32.0%
FT %	2 81.8% 21 77.2%	CHA 94.1% +15.5% SAC 78.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 29.3% 28 28.0%	CHA 44.4% +11.9% SAC 32.5%
Mid Att. %	6 22.0% 30 38.1%	CHA 11.1% −26.2% SAC 37.3%
3P Att. %	2 48.7% 30 33.9%	CHA 44.4% +14.3% SAC 30.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	CHA	SAC
Possessions	96	94
Possession Minutes	23.0	25.0
Points	117	109
Rebounds	41	35
Assists	29	24
Steals	8	6
Blocks	1	6
Turnovers (Team)	14 (2)	13 (1)
Fouls	12	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (8)	8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (3)	27 (3)
Field Goals	41-90	45-83
At-the-Rim FG	17-40	21-27
Midrange FG	5-10	16-31
2-Point FG	22-50	37-58
3-Point FG	19-40	8-25
Free Throws	16-17	11-14
Fast Break Pts	14	5
2nd Chance Pts	24	13
Points in Paint	44	56
Pts off Turnovers	15	24
Bench Points	15	23
Biggest Lead	12	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg