1st 5:43
18
Suns ● ● ● ● ● ●
BONUS
20
27
Pacers ● ● ● ● ● ●
20
Prediction updated: Mar 12, 2026 11:01 PM
ORTG#PossPace
PHX logo Suns
153.81397.5
IND logo Pacers
153.813101.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersSunsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:0079.8%

Scoring Margin

PacersSunsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHXIND
Q1 - 5:43PacersKam Jones misses three point jump shot20
79.8%
20
20.2%
Q1 - 5:58Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Jalen Slawson, Kam Jones, Jay Huff, Taelon Peter)20
20
Q1 - 5:58Pacers 60 second timeout20
20
Q1 - 6:06SunsDevin Booker makes two point running layup20
79.2%
20
20.8%
Q1 - 6:12SunsRyan Dunn defensive rebound18
78.1%
20
21.9%
Q1 - 6:15PacersJarace Walker misses three point running jump shot18
77.8%
20
22.2%
Q1 - 6:20PacersIvica Zubac defensive rebound18
76.9%
20
23.1%
Q1 - 6:20SunsDevin Booker misses two point tip layup18
77.3%
20
22.7%
Q1 - 6:20SunsDevin Booker offensive rebound18
78.1%
20
21.9%
Q1 - 6:24SunsOso Ighodaro misses two point pullup jump shot18
77.3%
20
22.7%
Q1 - 6:33SunsDevin Booker defensive rebound18
78.1%
20
21.9%
Q1 - 6:35PacersEthan Thompson misses three point jump shot18
77.7%
20
22.3%
Q1 - 6:39Suns lineup change (Jalen Green, Royce O'Neale, Devin Booker, Oso Ighodaro, Ryan Dunn)18
20
Q1 - 6:39Stoppage (Out of bounds)18
20
Q1 - 6:49SunsRoyce O'Neale makes three point jump shot (Jalen Green assists)18
76.9%
20
23.1%
Q1 - 7:03PacersIvica Zubac makes two point alley-oop dunk (Ethan Thompson assists)15
75.2%
20
24.8%
Q1 - 7:13SunsOso Ighodaro makes regular free throw 2 of 215
76.1%
18
23.9%
Q1 - 7:13SunsOso Ighodaro misses regular free throw 1 of 214
75.7%
18
24.3%
Q1 - 7:13PacersJalen Slawson shooting foul (Oso Ighodaro draws the foul)14
76.3%
18
23.7%
Q1 - 7:24PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point driving finger roll layup14
76.3%
18
23.7%
Q1 - 7:26SunsJalen Green turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Nembhard steals)14
77.2%
16
22.8%
Q1 - 7:35PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point driving layup14
78.3%
16
21.7%
Q1 - 7:42PacersIvica Zubac defensive rebound14
79.2%
14
20.8%
Q1 - 7:45SunsCollin Gillespie misses three point jump shot14
79.5%
14
20.5%
Q1 - 8:01PacersJalen Slawson makes three point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)14
80.4%
14
19.6%
Q1 - 8:09SunsJalen Green makes three point jump shot (Oso Ighodaro assists)14
81.7%
11
18.3%
Q1 - 8:20PacersJarace Walker personal foul (Devin Booker draws the foul)11
80.2%
11
19.8%
Q1 - 8:27SunsCollin Gillespie defensive rebound11
80.2%
11
19.8%
Q1 - 8:31PacersAndrew Nembhard misses two point pullup jump shot11
79.9%
11
20.1%
Q1 - 8:52SunsDevin Booker makes regular free throw 2 of 211
79.1%
11
20.9%
Q1 - 8:52Pacers lineup change (Jalen Slawson, Ivica Zubac, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard, Ethan Thompson)10
11
Q1 - 8:52SunsDevin Booker makes regular free throw 1 of 210
79.0%
11
21.0%
Q1 - 8:52PacersKobe Brown shooting foul (Devin Booker draws the foul)9
78.9%
11
21.1%
Q1 - 9:09PacersEthan Thompson makes two point jump shot (Ivica Zubac assists)9
78.4%
11
21.6%
Q1 - 9:30SunsRoyce O'Neale makes three point jump shot (Jalen Green assists)9
78.8%
9
21.2%
Q1 - 9:48Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)6
9
Q1 - 9:48Suns 60 second timeout6
9
Q1 - 9:48PacersIvica Zubac turnover (out of bounds lost ball)6
77.5%
9
22.5%
Q1 - 10:02SunsJalen Green makes regular free throw 2 of 26
76.9%
9
23.1%
Q1 - 10:02SunsJalen Green misses regular free throw 1 of 25
76.8%
9
23.2%
Q1 - 10:02PacersEthan Thompson shooting foul (Jalen Green draws the foul)5
77.2%
9
22.8%
Q1 - 10:16PacersJarace Walker makes three point pullup jump shot5
77.0%
9
23.0%
Q1 - 10:27SunsJalen Green makes two point driving finger roll layup (Oso Ighodaro assists)5
77.8%
6
22.2%
Q1 - 10:46PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point fadeaway jump shot3
77.3%
6
22.7%
Q1 - 10:55PacersIvica Zubac defensive rebound3
77.5%
4
22.5%
Q1 - 10:57SunsOso Ighodaro misses regular free throw 2 of 23
77.6%
4
22.4%
Q1 - 10:57SunsOso Ighodaro makes regular free throw 1 of 23
77.7%
4
22.3%
Q1 - 10:57PacersKobe Brown shooting foul (Oso Ighodaro draws the foul)2
77.6%
4
22.4%
Q1 - 11:13PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point pullup jump shot2
77.5%
4
22.5%
Q1 - 11:25SunsDevin Booker makes two point pullup jump shot2
77.5%
2
22.5%
Q1 - 11:37PacersJarace Walker makes two point driving layup0
77.2%
2
22.8%
Q1 - 12:00Oso Ighodaro vs. Ivica Zubac (Ethan Thompson gains possession)0
76.8%
0
23.2%
Q1 - 12:00Pacers lineup change (Ivica Zubac, Kobe Brown, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard, Ethan Thompson)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Suns lineup change (Jalen Green, Collin Gillespie, Royce O'Neale, Devin Booker, Oso Ighodaro)0
0
ClockTeamEventPHXIND
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHX
1.54 76.9%
IND
1.54 76.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHX
2
3
67%
IND
4
4
100%
Midrange
PHX
1
2
50%
IND
3
4
75%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHX
3
4.5
4
75%
113%
IND
2
3.0
5
40%
60%
Free Throws
PHX
5
8
63%
IND
0
0%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
PHX logo Suns
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Booker675%3.0 / 4
R. O'Neale6150%3.0 / 2
J. Green6100%3.0 / 3
O. Ighodaro233%1.0 / 3
C. Gillespie0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Nembhard880%4.0 / 5
J. Walker583%2.5 / 3
J. Slawson3150%1.5 / 1
I. Zubac2100%1.0 / 1
E. Thompson250%1.0 / 2
K. Brown0-0.0 / 0
K. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHX
12
+1
-1
13
IND
12
-1
12
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHX
1.54 76.9%
IND
1.54 76.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
18
113.8
30
108.7
PHX 153.8
IND 153.8
Pace
24
98.3
8
101.6
PHX 97.5
IND 101.2 +3.7
Avg. Poss. Time
13
14.4
24
14.0
PHX 14.8
IND 14.2 −0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
21
53.6%
29
52.2%
PHX 83.3% +6.4%
IND 76.9%
TO %
18
14.0%
13
13.4%
PHX 7.4%
IND 7.1% −0.3%
ORB %
7
29.0%
28
22.1%
PHX 25.0% +25.0%
IND 0.0%
FTrt
29
22.2
17
26.3
PHX 88.9 +88.9
IND 0.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
21
60.7%
8
65.9%
PHX 66.7% +33.4%
IND 33.3%
STL %
2
10.0%
26
7.3%
PHX 0.0%
IND 7.7% +7.7%
BLK %
28
7.9%
23
8.3%
PHX 0.0%
IND 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
24
55.3%
29
54.4%
PHX 76.9%
IND 76.9%
Rim FG%
15
64.4%
26
62.2%
PHX 66.7%
IND 100.0% +33.3%
Mid FG%
17
43.3%
20
42.6%
PHX 50.0%
IND 75.0% +25.0%
3P %
11
36.2%
24
34.5%
PHX 75.0% +35.0%
IND 40.0%
FT %
12
78.8%
24
76.8%
PHX 62.5% +62.5%
IND 0.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29
25.1%
24
29.4%
PHX 33.3% +2.6%
IND 30.8%
Mid Att. %
23
29.2%
21
28.9%
PHX 22.2% −8.5%
IND 30.8%
3P Att. %
6
45.6%
16
41.7%
PHX 44.4% +6.0%
IND 38.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsPHXIND
Possessions1313
Possession Minutes3.23.1
Points2020
Rebounds43
Assists43
Steals01
Blocks00
Turnovers (Team)1 (0)1 (0)
Fouls05
Off. Rebounds (Team)1 (0)0 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)3 (0)3 (0)
Field Goals6-99-13
At-the-Rim FG2-34-4
Midrange FG1-23-4
2-Point FG3-57-8
3-Point FG3-42-5
Free Throws5-80-0
Fast Break Pts20
2nd Chance Pts00
Points in Paint410
Pts off Turnovers32
Bench Points03
Biggest Lead35

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#1 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29
6.3
6
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
#00 · PF · 6'6" 226 · 33
6.3
6
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-2
100%
#4 · SF · 6'4" 186 · 24
6.3
6
100%
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
#11 · C · 6'11" 235 · 24
6.3
2
33%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#12 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 27
5.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#0 · SF · 6'7" 216 · 23
0.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#23 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 27
#20 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22
#10 · C · 7'1" 250 · 19
#19 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 29
#2 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 29
#18 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 28
#17 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 27
#22 · SF · 6'11" 230 · 24
INACTIVE
#14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23
INACTIVE
#3 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Hand; Fracture
#8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Injury Management
#15 · C · 7'1" 240 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot Third Metatarsal; Stress Reaction
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
31
20
77%
4
4
0
0
1
0
1
3
5-8
63%
3-5
60%
3-4
75%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.