Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, March 12, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Wizards	17%	108	131	114.9	114	98.0
	15	Magic	83%	120	136	117.2	116	110.9

Prediction updated: Mar 12, 2026 11:01 PM

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+17

-15

116

ORL

103

+16

-13

119

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.13 56.5%

ORL

1.13 56.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 22	36.9	29	63%	5	5	1	1	3	5	2	3	6-6	100%	4-10	40%	5-11	45%
Will Riley #27 · PF · 6'9" 180 · 20	33.1	8	36%	5	0	0	1	1	2	1	4	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	23.1	16	57%	4	0	2	5	1	0	1	3	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	22.6	3	14%	5	1	0	1	3	2	0	5	0-0	-	0-5	0%	1-6	17%
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	21.2	15	94%	3	6	0	0	2	4	0	3	3-3	100%	3-3	100%	2-4	50%

Leaky Black #14 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 27	27.7	12	100%	4	3	1	0	1	3	0	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-2	100%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	27.6	12	75%	5	5	1	0	1	3	1	4	2-2	100%	5-5	100%	0-2	0%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	20.9	11	46%	11	1	0	1	2	1	2	9	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-5	20%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	17.1	12	67%	4	1	1	0	0	0	4	0	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-1	0%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	16.0	4	40%	2	2	0	1	0	3	2	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	16.0	7	58%	1	1	1	0	1	2	1	0	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	2.7	2	50%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jaden Hardy #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Reese #15 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23	INACTIVE
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Anthony Davis #23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
D'Angelo Russell #28 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	131	56%	49	26	7	10	15	27	14	35	21-24	88%	34-59	58%	14-46	30%

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29 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 22	36.9	29	63%	5	5	1	1	3	5	2	3	6-6	100%	4-10	40%	5-11	45%
Will Riley #27 · PF · 6'9" 180 · 20	33.1	8	36%	5	0	0	1	1	2	1	4	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	23.1	16	57%	4	0	2	5	1	0	1	3	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	22.6	3	14%	5	1	0	1	3	2	0	5	0-0	-	0-5	0%	1-6	17%
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	21.2	15	94%	3	6	0	0	2	4	0	3	3-3	100%	3-3	100%	2-4	50%

Leaky Black #14 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 27	27.7	12	100%	4	3	1	0	1	3	0	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-2	100%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	27.6	12	75%	5	5	1	0	1	3	1	4	2-2	100%	5-5	100%	0-2	0%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	20.9	11	46%	11	1	0	1	2	1	2	9	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-5	20%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	17.1	12	67%	4	1	1	0	0	0	4	0	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-1	0%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	16.0	4	40%	2	2	0	1	0	3	2	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	16.0	7	58%	1	1	1	0	1	2	1	0	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	2.7	2	50%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jaden Hardy #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Reese #15 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23	INACTIVE
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Anthony Davis #23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
D'Angelo Russell #28 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	131	56%	49	26	7	10	15	27	14	35	21-24	88%	34-59	58%	14-46	30%

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15 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 23	42.3	18	45%	10	5	0	0	3	1	0	10	10-14	71%	4-11	36%	0-2	0%
Desmond Bane #3 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	42.0	22	65%	1	6	3	0	1	5	0	1	6-6	100%	5-9	56%	2-5	40%
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	41.1	26	68%	7	2	4	2	2	3	1	6	3-3	100%	7-12	58%	3-6	50%
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 25	34.1	28	74%	4	8	2	0	3	3	2	2	5-6	83%	7-9	78%	3-8	38%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 27	33.8	19	68%	11	3	2	2	2	3	2	9	1-2	50%	6-10	60%	2-3	67%

Jevon Carter #2 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 30	21.5	6	50%	2	2	0	1	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-6	33%
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	19.8	10	56%	6	2	0	0	1	1	2	4	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	2-3	67%
Noah Penda #93 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 21	13.8	0	0%	3	2	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	11.2	7	39%	5	0	0	0	0	2	2	3	0-1	0%	2-7	29%	1-1	100%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	4.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 28	1.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jase Richardson #11 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Morales #30 · PG · 6'6" 180 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left High Ankle; Sprain injury management
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lateral Abdominal; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	136	57%	52	30	12	5	13	22	11	41	27-34	79%	32-66	48%	15-34	44%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	ORL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.13 56.5%

ORL

1.13 56.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

69%

ORL

53%

Midrange

WAS

48%

ORL

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

21.0

30%

46%

ORL

22.5

44%

66%

Free Throws

WAS

88%

ORL

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Coulibaly	29	63%	14.5 / 23
A. Sarr	16	57%	8.0 / 14
T. Young	15	94%	7.5 / 8
L. Black	12	100%	6.0 / 6
B. Carrington	12	75%	6.0 / 8
J. Champagnie	12	67%	6.0 / 9
T. Vukcevic	11	46%	5.5 / 12
W. Riley	8	36%	4.0 / 11
J. Watkins	7	58%	3.5 / 6
A. Gill	4	40%	2.0 / 5
T. Johnson	3	14%	1.5 / 11
S. Cooper	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Suggs	28	74%	14.0 / 19
T. da Silva	26	68%	13.0 / 19
D. Bane	22	65%	11.0 / 17
W. Carter	19	68%	9.5 / 14
P. Banchero	18	45%	9.0 / 20
J. Howard	10	56%	5.0 / 9
M. Wagner	7	39%	3.5 / 9
J. Carter	6	50%	3.0 / 6
G. Bitadze	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Isaac	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 109.7 17 114.3	WAS 114.9 ORL 117.2 +2.3
Pace	5 102.5 14 100.5	WAS 98.0 ORL 110.9 +12.9
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.0 17 14.2	WAS 14.7 ORL 13.0 −1.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 53.5% 26 53.0%	WAS 52.4% ORL 54.5% +2.1%
TO %	26 14.7% 12 13.5%	WAS 11.5% ORL 10.2% −1.3%
ORB %	21 24.0% 18 25.0%	WAS 25.5% +1.6% ORL 23.9%
FTrt	26 23.5 2 31.1	WAS 22.9 ORL 34.0 +11.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 59.9% 12 64.7%	WAS 54.2% ORL 63.8% +9.6%
STL %	22 7.8% 16 8.4%	WAS 6.1% ORL 10.3% +4.2%
BLK %	9 10.0% 17 8.8%	WAS 15.2% +6.7% ORL 8.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 55.4% 19 56.3%	WAS 56.5% ORL 56.7% +0.2%
Rim FG%	15 64.7% 24 63.0%	WAS 69.2% +15.9% ORL 53.3%
Mid FG%	26 41.3% 24 41.5%	WAS 48.5% +10.4% ORL 38.1%
3P %	16 35.9% 27 34.3%	WAS 30.4% ORL 44.1% +13.7%
FT %	23 76.6% 8 80.1%	WAS 87.5% +8.1% ORL 79.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 30.6% 4 35.7%	WAS 24.8% ORL 45.0% +20.2%
Mid Att. %	25 29.1% 12 25.7%	WAS 31.4% ORL 21.0% −10.4%
3P Att. %	20 40.3% 24 38.6%	WAS 43.8% +9.8% ORL 34.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	ORL
Possessions	114	116
Possession Minutes	27.9	25.1
Points	131	136
Rebounds	49	52
Assists	26	30
Steals	7	12
Blocks	10	5
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls	27	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (3)	11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (3)	41 (1)
Field Goals	48-105	47-100
At-the-Rim FG	18-26	24-45
Midrange FG	16-33	8-21
2-Point FG	34-59	32-66
3-Point FG	14-46	15-34
Free Throws	21-24	27-34
Fast Break Pts	6	19
2nd Chance Pts	23	10
Points in Paint	52	56
Pts off Turnovers	12	21
Bench Points	60	23
Biggest Lead	1	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg