Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, March 12, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Bulls	22%	113	130	126.2	103	109.1
	7	Lakers	78%	123	142	137.9	103	97.5

Prediction updated: Mar 13, 2026 02:31 AM

Scoring Opportunities

CHI

+17

-15

105

LAL

+19

-9

113

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.25 62.5%

LAL

1.28 64.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 23	39.8	27	79%	8	15	2	0	6	1	2	6	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	6-9	67%
Matas Buzelis #14 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 21	35.4	22	52%	6	1	2	2	2	2	1	5	4-5	80%	3-8	38%	4-11	36%
Tre Jones #30 · SG · 6'1" 190 · 26	32.0	18	53%	4	6	1	0	0	1	2	2	2-2	100%	8-14	57%	0-2	0%
Leonard Miller #11 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 22	31.1	15	75%	9	1	1	0	1	4	3	6	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	1-3	33%
Jalen Smith #25 · C · 6'8" 244 · 26	30.4	14	58%	4	0	0	0	0	3	3	1	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	2-5	40%

Rob Dillingham #7 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	29.4	12	55%	5	7	1	0	1	4	0	5	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	1-3	33%
Nick Richards #13 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	25.6	15	83%	4	1	0	0	2	3	0	4	1-1	100%	7-8	88%	0-1	0%
Yuki Kawamura #8 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 25	10.1	3	75%	1	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Lachlan Olbrich #47 · C · 6'8" 236 · 22	6.3	4	100%	0	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · C · 6'7" 265 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Soreness
Isaac Okoro #35 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Fibular Head; Contusion
Mac McClung #5 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Noa Essengue #24 · PF · 6'8" 194 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Jaden Ivey #31 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Anfernee Simons #22 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ulnar Styloid; Fracture
Zach Collins #12 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 1st Toe; Surgey
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	63%	41	34	7	3	15	18	12	29	13-16	81%	36-59	61%	15-36	42%

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23 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 23	39.8	27	79%	8	15	2	0	6	1	2	6	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	6-9	67%
Matas Buzelis #14 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 21	35.4	22	52%	6	1	2	2	2	2	1	5	4-5	80%	3-8	38%	4-11	36%
Tre Jones #30 · SG · 6'1" 190 · 26	32.0	18	53%	4	6	1	0	0	1	2	2	2-2	100%	8-14	57%	0-2	0%
Leonard Miller #11 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 22	31.1	15	75%	9	1	1	0	1	4	3	6	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	1-3	33%
Jalen Smith #25 · C · 6'8" 244 · 26	30.4	14	58%	4	0	0	0	0	3	3	1	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	2-5	40%

Rob Dillingham #7 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	29.4	12	55%	5	7	1	0	1	4	0	5	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	1-3	33%
Nick Richards #13 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	25.6	15	83%	4	1	0	0	2	3	0	4	1-1	100%	7-8	88%	0-1	0%
Yuki Kawamura #8 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 25	10.1	3	75%	1	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Lachlan Olbrich #47 · C · 6'8" 236 · 22	6.3	4	100%	0	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · C · 6'7" 265 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Soreness
Isaac Okoro #35 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Fibular Head; Contusion
Mac McClung #5 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Noa Essengue #24 · PF · 6'8" 194 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Jaden Ivey #31 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Anfernee Simons #22 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ulnar Styloid; Fracture
Zach Collins #12 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 1st Toe; Surgey
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	63%	41	34	7	3	15	18	12	29	13-16	81%	36-59	61%	15-36	42%

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7 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	40.2	15	75%	1	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-5	60%
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 28	38.5	30	75%	5	7	1	0	3	2	1	4	0-0	-	9-13	69%	4-7	57%
Deandre Ayton #5 · C · 7'0" 252 · 28	37.1	23	72%	10	1	0	0	0	2	6	4	3-6	50%	10-13	77%	0-0	-
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 27	36.7	51	73%	10	9	3	1	1	3	0	10	8-9	89%	8-17	47%	9-14	64%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 41	33.2	18	60%	7	7	2	1	4	1	2	5	4-6	67%	7-11	64%	0-2	0%

Jake LaRavia #12 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 24	21.1	0	0%	3	3	0	1	1	2	2	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 30	19.6	3	21%	1	2	2	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-5	20%
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 27	9.6	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Drew Timme #17 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 26	3.8	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kobe Bufkin #18 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Adou Thiero #1 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Mañon #30 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nick Smith Jr. #20 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Soreness
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar Back; Strain
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	142	64%	41	31	9	4	9	15	14	27	15-21	71%	38-63	60%	17-36	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.25 62.5%

LAL

1.28 64.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHI

72%

LAL

69%

Midrange

CHI

40%

LAL

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHI

22.5

42%

63%

LAL

25.5

47%

71%

Free Throws

CHI

81%

LAL

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Giddey	27	79%	13.5 / 17
M. Buzelis	22	52%	11.0 / 21
T. Jones	18	53%	9.0 / 17
L. Miller	15	75%	7.5 / 10
N. Richards	15	83%	7.5 / 9
J. Smith	14	58%	7.0 / 12
R. Dillingham	12	55%	6.0 / 11
L. Olbrich	4	100%	2.0 / 2
Y. Kawamura	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Dončić	51	73%	25.5 / 35
A. Reaves	30	75%	15.0 / 20
D. Ayton	23	72%	11.5 / 16
L. James	18	60%	9.0 / 15
R. Hachimura	15	75%	7.5 / 10
L. Kennard	3	21%	1.5 / 7
D. Timme	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. LaRavia	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 112.2 10 117.1	CHI 126.2 LAL 137.9 +11.7
Pace	3 103.3 21 99.2	CHI 109.1 +11.6 LAL 97.5
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.6 6 14.8	CHI 13.2 −1.6 LAL 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 54.7% 2 57.3%	CHI 61.6% LAL 64.1% +2.5%
TO %	20 14.1% 19 13.9%	CHI 13.6% LAL 8.5% −5.1%
ORB %	27 23.1% 22 23.9%	CHI 30.8% LAL 32.6% +1.8%
FTrt	22 24.6 1 32.0	CHI 16.8 LAL 21.2 +4.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 67.2% 19 61.5%	CHI 66.7% +10.3% LAL 56.4%
STL %	26 7.4% 12 8.6%	CHI 6.8% LAL 8.7% +1.9%
BLK %	15 9.0% 23 8.3%	CHI 4.8% LAL 6.8% +2.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.5% 2 59.4%	CHI 62.5% LAL 64.0% +1.5%
Rim FG%	30 61.4% 1 72.0%	CHI 71.8% +3.0% LAL 68.8%
Mid FG%	15 43.7% 4 46.8%	CHI 40.0% LAL 51.6% +11.6%
3P %	19 35.6% 14 35.9%	CHI 41.7% LAL 47.2% +5.5%
FT %	18 77.6% 26 76.3%	CHI 81.3% +9.9% LAL 71.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 38.2% 21 30.7%	CHI 41.1% +8.7% LAL 32.3%
Mid Att. %	1 17.5% 26 30.0%	CHI 21.1% −10.3% LAL 31.3%
3P Att. %	8 44.3% 22 39.4%	CHI 37.9% +1.5% LAL 36.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.16 and 3.16.

Game Totals	CHI	LAL
Possessions	103	103
Possession Minutes	22.7	25.4
Points	130	142
Rebounds	41	41
Assists	34	31
Steals	7	9
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	9 (1)
Fouls	18	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (5)	14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (2)	27 (2)
Field Goals	51-95	55-99
At-the-Rim FG	28-39	22-32
Midrange FG	8-20	16-31
2-Point FG	36-59	38-63
3-Point FG	15-36	17-36
Free Throws	13-16	15-21
Fast Break Pts	24	13
2nd Chance Pts	16	30
Points in Paint	66	72
Pts off Turnovers	18	17
Bench Points	34	5
Biggest Lead	7	22

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg