Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 13, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Cavaliers	76%	120	138	135.3	102	109.0
	22	Mavericks	24%	111	105	104.0	101	94.9

Prediction updated: Mar 13, 2026 11:01 PM

Scoring Opportunities

CLE

+11

-14

DAL

+17

-17

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.41 70.4%

DAL

1.04 52.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

6 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 37	28.9	17	71%	7	7	1	0	4	0	0	7	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	3-7	43%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 30	28.8	24	75%	2	8	2	0	2	0	0	2	1-1	100%	10-12	83%	1-4	25%
Keon Ellis #14 · SF · 6'4" 175 · 26	25.9	13	72%	3	1	1	2	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Evan Mobley #4 · C · 6'11" 215 · 25	23.2	29	81%	7	2	1	0	2	4	2	5	3-7	43%	10-11	91%	2-4	50%
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	17.6	3	75%	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%

Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29	22.3	11	92%	4	0	2	2	0	2	1	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Dennis Schröder #8 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	20.9	8	50%	5	6	1	0	0	3	0	5	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	20.0	8	67%	3	2	0	0	2	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	17.1	8	57%	2	1	1	0	2	3	1	1	0-1	0%	4-4	100%	0-3	0%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	14.8	5	125%	4	1	1	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	6.9	6	150%	4	1	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Tristan Enaruna #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	6.9	2	20%	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Riley Minix #12 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	6.9	4	67%	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Olivier Sarr #33 · C · 6'10" 240 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Max Strus #2 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendonitis
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tightness
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadricep; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	138	70%	45	32	12	4	14	22	9	36	8-13	62%	38-53	72%	18-38	47%

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6 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 37	28.9	17	71%	7	7	1	0	4	0	0	7	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	3-7	43%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 30	28.8	24	75%	2	8	2	0	2	0	0	2	1-1	100%	10-12	83%	1-4	25%
Keon Ellis #14 · SF · 6'4" 175 · 26	25.9	13	72%	3	1	1	2	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Evan Mobley #4 · C · 6'11" 215 · 25	23.2	29	81%	7	2	1	0	2	4	2	5	3-7	43%	10-11	91%	2-4	50%
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	17.6	3	75%	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%

Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29	22.3	11	92%	4	0	2	2	0	2	1	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Dennis Schröder #8 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32	20.9	8	50%	5	6	1	0	0	3	0	5	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	20.0	8	67%	3	2	0	0	2	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	17.1	8	57%	2	1	1	0	2	3	1	1	0-1	0%	4-4	100%	0-3	0%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	14.8	5	125%	4	1	1	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	6.9	6	150%	4	1	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Tristan Enaruna #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	6.9	2	20%	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Riley Minix #12 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	6.9	4	67%	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Olivier Sarr #33 · C · 6'10" 240 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Max Strus #2 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendonitis
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Tightness
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadricep; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	138	70%	45	32	12	4	14	22	9	36	8-13	62%	38-53	72%	18-38	47%

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22 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	29.5	25	66%	4	5	0	0	3	0	0	4	8-8	100%	7-13	54%	1-3	33%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · C · 6'10" 235 · 27	27.3	4	40%	4	0	0	1	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	27.0	12	67%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-6	33%
Naji Marshall #13 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 28	26.8	17	61%	7	3	1	0	2	0	3	4	1-4	25%	5-8	63%	2-4	50%
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	26.7	8	57%	4	9	0	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%

Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	21.3	12	60%	3	3	0	1	3	2	0	3	4-5	80%	1-5	20%	2-3	67%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 35	20.7	11	92%	11	2	2	0	1	3	5	6	3-3	100%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Khris Middleton #20 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 35	17.3	4	33%	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	16.5	6	27%	2	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-5	0%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	15.5	4	33%	1	2	1	1	1	0	1	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
AJ Johnson #8 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	5.8	2	100%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Tyler Smith #23 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 21	5.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
John Poulakidas #1 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Soreness
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	52%	40	27	4	3	17	14	12	28	20-24	83%	29-54	54%	9-33	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	DAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.41 70.4%

DAL

1.04 52.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CLE

79%

DAL

74%

Midrange

CLE

58%

DAL

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CLE

27.0

47%

71%

DAL

13.5

27%

41%

Free Throws

CLE

62%

DAL

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
E. Mobley	29	81%	14.5 / 18
D. Mitchell	24	75%	12.0 / 16
J. Harden	17	71%	8.5 / 12
K. Ellis	13	72%	6.5 / 9
T. Bryant	11	92%	5.5 / 6
D. Schröder	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Tyson	8	67%	4.0 / 6
N. Tomlin	8	57%	4.0 / 7
L. Nance	6	150%	3.0 / 2
C. Porter	5	125%	2.5 / 2
R. Minix	4	67%	2.0 / 3
D. Wade	3	75%	1.5 / 2
T. Enaruna	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Flagg	25	66%	12.5 / 19
N. Marshall	17	61%	8.5 / 14
M. Christie	12	67%	6.0 / 9
B. Williams	12	60%	6.0 / 10
D. Powell	11	92%	5.5 / 6
R. Nembhard	8	57%	4.0 / 7
K. Thompson	6	27%	3.0 / 11
M. Bagley	4	40%	2.0 / 5
K. Middleton	4	33%	2.0 / 6
C. Martin	4	33%	2.0 / 6
A. Johnson	2	100%	1.0 / 1
T. Smith	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 118.3 27 110.4	CLE 135.3 +31.3 DAL 104.0
Pace	12 100.6 6 102.5	CLE 109.0 +14.0 DAL 94.9
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.1 24 14.0	CLE 13.2 −2.0 DAL 15.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 56.1% 28 52.7%	CLE 71.4% +22.5% DAL 48.9%
TO %	10 13.2% 13 13.5%	CLE 12.6% −3.7% DAL 16.3%
ORB %	9 26.9% 26 23.2%	CLE 24.3% DAL 25.0% +0.7%
FTrt	15 26.5 6 28.7	CLE 14.3 DAL 27.6 +13.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 65.3% 22 60.4%	CLE 57.1% DAL 71.1% +14.0%
STL %	15 8.4% 27 7.3%	CLE 11.8% +7.8% DAL 4.0%
BLK %	11 9.8% 16 9.0%	CLE 7.4% +1.7% DAL 5.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.2% 28 55.2%	CLE 70.4% +18.4% DAL 52.0%
Rim FG%	7 66.1% 22 63.2%	CLE 79.4% +5.5% DAL 73.9%
Mid FG%	3 46.8% 18 43.1%	CLE 57.9% +19.2% DAL 38.7%
3P %	13 36.0% 26 34.4%	CLE 47.4% +20.1% DAL 27.3%
FT %	19 77.6% 28 75.5%	CLE 61.5% DAL 83.3% +21.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 31.7% 12 32.8%	CLE 37.4% +10.9% DAL 26.4%
Mid Att. %	8 24.1% 28 31.7%	CLE 20.9% −14.8% DAL 35.6%
3P Att. %	9 44.2% 26 35.5%	CLE 41.8% +3.8% DAL 37.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CLE	DAL
Possessions	102	101
Possession Minutes	22.5	25.5
Points	138	105
Rebounds	45	40
Assists	32	27
Steals	12	4
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	17 (2)
Fouls	22	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	12 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (0)	28 (1)
Field Goals	56-91	38-87
At-the-Rim FG	27-34	17-23
Midrange FG	11-19	12-31
2-Point FG	38-53	29-54
3-Point FG	18-38	9-33
Free Throws	8-13	20-24
Fast Break Pts	19	16
2nd Chance Pts	17	15
Points in Paint	72	48
Pts off Turnovers	20	17
Bench Points	52	39
Biggest Lead	35	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg