1st 11:35
6
Cavaliers ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
2
23
Mavericks ● ● ● ● ● ● ●
2
Prediction updated: Mar 13, 2026 11:01 PM
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo Cavaliers
200.0157.6
DAL logo Mavericks
200.01130.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

MavericksCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLEDAL
Q1 - 11:24MavericksMax Christie personal foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul)2
2
Q1 - 11:35MavericksNaji Marshall makes two point cutting layup (Ryan Nembhard assists)2
2
Q1 - 11:46CavaliersEvan Mobley makes two point turnaround hook shot (James Harden assists)2
0
Q1 - 12:00Evan Mobley vs. Marvin Bagley III (James Harden gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Marvin Bagley III, Naji Marshall)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Cavaliers lineup change (Dean Wade, Keon Ellis, Evan Mobley, James Harden, Donovan Mitchell)0
0
ClockTeamEventCLEDAL
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

CLE
2.00 100.0%
DAL
2.00 100.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
1
1
100%
DAL
1
1
100%
Midrange
CLE
0
0%
DAL
0
0%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
0
0%
DAL
0
0%
Free Throws
CLE
0
0%
DAL
0
0%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Mobley2100%1.0 / 1
J. Harden0-0.0 / 0
D. Mitchell0-0.0 / 0
D. Wade0-0.0 / 0
K. Ellis0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Marshall2100%1.0 / 1
M. Bagley0-0.0 / 0
M. Christie0-0.0 / 0
C. Flagg0-0.0 / 0
R. Nembhard0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
1
1
DAL
1
1
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
2.00 100.0%
DAL
2.00 100.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
6
117.5
27
109.7
CLE 200.0
DAL 200.0
Pace
13
100.6
6
102.2
CLE 57.6
DAL 130.9 +73.3
Avg. Poss. Time
24
14.0
23
14.0
CLE 25.0
DAL 11.0 −14.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
9
55.5%
26
52.8%
CLE 100.0%
DAL 100.0%
TO %
12
13.3%
16
13.9%
CLE 0.0%
DAL 0.0%
ORB %
9
27.1%
27
23.0%
CLE 0.0%
DAL 0.0%
FTrt
18
26.0
7
28.6
CLE 0.0
DAL 0.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
11
65.6%
25
59.6%
CLE 100.0%
DAL 100.0%
STL %
12
8.6%
29
7.1%
CLE 0.0%
DAL 0.0%
BLK %
8
10.1%
15
9.1%
CLE 0.0%
DAL 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
7
57.6%
28
55.1%
CLE 100.0%
DAL 100.0%
Rim FG%
9
65.4%
22
62.9%
CLE 100.0%
DAL 100.0%
Mid FG%
4
46.1%
8
44.3%
CLE 0.0%
DAL 0.0%
3P %
14
35.9%
28
34.0%
CLE 0.0%
DAL 0.0%
FT %
19
77.7%
29
74.4%
CLE 0.0%
DAL 0.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
18
30.8%
10
33.0%
CLE 100.0%
DAL 100.0%
Mid Att. %
8
24.5%
28
31.9%
CLE 0.0%
DAL 0.0%
3P Att. %
7
44.7%
27
35.0%
CLE 0.0%
DAL 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCLEDAL
Possessions11
Possession Minutes0.40.2
Points22
Rebounds00
Assists11
Steals00
Blocks00
Turnovers (Team)0 (0)0 (0)
Fouls00
Off. Rebounds (Team)0 (0)0 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)0 (0)0 (0)
Field Goals1-11-1
At-the-Rim FG1-11-1
Midrange FG0-00-0
2-Point FG1-11-1
3-Point FG0-00-0
Free Throws0-00-0
Fast Break Pts00
2nd Chance Pts00
Points in Paint22
Pts off Turnovers00
Bench Points00
Biggest Lead20

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 37
0.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 30
0.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29
0.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#4 · C · 6'11" 215 · 25
0.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#14 · SF · 6'4" 175 · 26
0.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23
#8 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 32
#3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29
#9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26
#35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25
#22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33
#21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25
#12 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25
#33 · C · 6'10" 240 · 27
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#2 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot; Surgery - Jones Fracture
#31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Tendonitis
#5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Hamstring; Tightness
#24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Quadricep; Strain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
2
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.