Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 13, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Jazz	19%	112	114	107.5	106	117.9
	19	Blazers	81%	123	124	113.1	107	97.2

Prediction updated: Mar 14, 2026 02:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

+15

-18

103

POR

+16

-24

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.11 55.3%

POR

1.22 61.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21	36.4	19	48%	7	3	1	0	4	4	1	6	5-7	71%	7-17	41%	0-0	-
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	29.8	17	47%	3	9	2	0	2	3	1	2	5-6	83%	6-13	46%	0-2	0%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 22	29.3	31	82%	3	1	2	1	2	1	0	3	1-1	100%	6-11	55%	6-8	75%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	24.9	11	69%	6	5	3	0	1	1	0	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-5	60%
Ace Bailey #19 · SG · 6'9" 200 · 20	7.3	8	133%	1	1	1	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-2	100%

Bez Mbeng #21 · NA · 6'4" 185 · 23	33.8	4	25%	4	4	2	1	3	1	3	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-3	0%
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	30.1	10	45%	4	2	2	0	3	2	1	3	4-6	67%	0-1	0%	2-7	29%
Andersson Garcia #0 · NA · 6'7" 220 · 26	28.6	6	43%	3	2	2	0	3	4	2	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	20.0	8	50%	5	1	1	0	0	0	2	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Konchar #55 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Soreness
Blake Hinson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaren Jackson Jr. #20 · C · 6'10" 242 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury recovery
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nose; Injury recovery
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Impingement
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	55%	36	28	16	3	18	17	10	26	17-22	77%	29-62	47%	13-30	43%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

29 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21	36.4	19	48%	7	3	1	0	4	4	1	6	5-7	71%	7-17	41%	0-0	-
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	29.8	17	47%	3	9	2	0	2	3	1	2	5-6	83%	6-13	46%	0-2	0%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 22	29.3	31	82%	3	1	2	1	2	1	0	3	1-1	100%	6-11	55%	6-8	75%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	24.9	11	69%	6	5	3	0	1	1	0	6	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-5	60%
Ace Bailey #19 · SG · 6'9" 200 · 20	7.3	8	133%	1	1	1	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-2	100%

Bez Mbeng #21 · NA · 6'4" 185 · 23	33.8	4	25%	4	4	2	1	3	1	3	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-3	0%
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	30.1	10	45%	4	2	2	0	3	2	1	3	4-6	67%	0-1	0%	2-7	29%
Andersson Garcia #0 · NA · 6'7" 220 · 26	28.6	6	43%	3	2	2	0	3	4	2	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	20.0	8	50%	5	1	1	0	0	0	2	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
John Konchar #55 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Soreness
Blake Hinson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaren Jackson Jr. #20 · C · 6'10" 242 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury recovery
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nose; Injury recovery
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Impingement
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	55%	36	28	16	3	18	17	10	26	17-22	77%	29-62	47%	13-30	43%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

19 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	35.0	21	70%	15	2	3	6	1	1	5	10	6-6	100%	6-9	67%	1-3	33%
Deni Avdija #8 · PG · 6'8" 228 · 25	32.2	17	85%	6	8	2	1	5	3	2	4	3-3	100%	7-7	100%	0-2	0%
Jrue Holiday #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 36	32.0	25	74%	5	8	1	1	3	0	0	5	1-2	50%	6-7	86%	4-9	44%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	25.3	9	90%	3	0	0	0	4	2	1	2	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Toumani Camara #33 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 26	22.8	5	28%	4	3	3	0	1	5	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-7	14%

Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	29.9	25	78%	5	3	0	1	5	2	1	4	4-4	100%	3-7	43%	5-7	71%
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	17.4	14	70%	4	2	1	1	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 26	15.0	2	33%	3	5	1	0	2	1	3	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	15.0	6	38%	1	1	4	1	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-6	33%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 26	13.7	0	0%	3	2	1	1	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 36	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Fibula; Stress Reaction
Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	INACTIVE
Chris Youngblood #3 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jayson Kent #29 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	61%	49	33	16	12	24	19	14	35	15-16	94%	29-43	67%	16-45	36%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	POR
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	POR

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.11 55.3%

POR

1.22 61.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

52%

POR

74%

Midrange

UTA

42%

POR

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

19.5

43%

65%

POR

24.0

36%

53%

Free Throws

UTA

77%

POR

94%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Sensabaugh	31	82%	15.5 / 19
C. Williams	19	48%	9.5 / 20
I. Collier	17	47%	8.5 / 18
K. Filipowski	11	69%	5.5 / 8
E. Harkless	10	45%	5.0 / 11
A. Bailey	8	133%	4.0 / 3
O. Tshiebwe	8	50%	4.0 / 8
A. Garcia	6	43%	3.0 / 7
B. Mbeng	4	25%	2.0 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Holiday	25	74%	12.5 / 17
S. Henderson	25	78%	12.5 / 16
D. Clingan	21	70%	10.5 / 15
D. Avdija	17	85%	8.5 / 10
S. Cissoko	14	70%	7.0 / 10
J. Grant	9	90%	4.5 / 5
M. Thybulle	6	38%	3.0 / 8
T. Camara	5	28%	2.5 / 9
V. Krejčí	2	33%	1.0 / 3
K. Murray	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 112.9 21 113.1	UTA 107.5 POR 113.1 +5.5
Pace	2 103.4 8 101.6	UTA 117.9 +20.7 POR 97.2
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 16 14.2	UTA 12.2 −2.6 POR 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.6% 22 53.3%	UTA 52.7% POR 60.7% +8.0%
TO %	23 14.4% 30 16.1%	UTA 15.0% −5.0% POR 20.0%
ORB %	12 26.2% 2 31.3%	UTA 22.2% POR 35.0% +12.8%
FTrt	10 27.7 9 28.0	UTA 23.9 +5.9 POR 18.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 69.6% 18 61.6%	UTA 66.7% POR 71.7% +5.0%
STL %	14 8.5% 20 8.1%	UTA 15.1% +0.1% POR 15.0%
BLK %	30 7.5% 8 10.1%	UTA 7.0% POR 19.4% +12.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.4% 23 55.6%	UTA 55.3% POR 61.1% +5.8%
Rim FG%	17 64.5% 19 63.9%	UTA 51.6% POR 73.5% +21.9%
Mid FG%	8 44.4% 29 37.4%	UTA 41.9% POR 44.4% +2.5%
3P %	25 34.5% 28 34.2%	UTA 43.3% +7.7% POR 35.6%
FT %	13 78.6% 24 76.5%	UTA 77.3% POR 93.8% +16.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 31.3% 5 35.6%	UTA 33.7% POR 38.2% +4.5%
Mid Att. %	23 28.4% 2 17.6%	UTA 33.7% POR 10.1% −23.6%
3P Att. %	21 40.3% 3 46.8%	UTA 32.6% POR 50.6% +18.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.26 and 2.26.

Game Totals	UTA	POR
Possessions	106	107
Possession Minutes	21.6	26.4
Points	114	121
Rebounds	36	49
Assists	28	33
Steals	16	16
Blocks	3	12
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	24 (0)
Fouls	17	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (5)	14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (2)	35 (1)
Field Goals	42-92	46-89
At-the-Rim FG	16-31	25-34
Midrange FG	13-31	4-9
2-Point FG	29-62	29-43
3-Point FG	13-30	16-45
Free Throws	17-22	15-16
Fast Break Pts	30	22
2nd Chance Pts	10	23
Points in Paint	54	56
Pts off Turnovers	38	28
Bench Points	28	47
Biggest Lead	18	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg