Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Nuggets	49%	118	125	112.6	111	102.1
	8	Lakers	51%	119	127	116.5	109	97.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	43.0	18	64%	4	3	1	1	2	5	0	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	4-10	40%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	43.0	24	63%	16	14	5	1	4	2	2	14	2-2	100%	8-13	62%	2-6	33%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	36.0	5	16%	6	6	2	0	2	6	1	5	2-3	67%	0-7	0%	1-7	14%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	34.8	27	71%	5	2	0	2	3	1	2	3	4-7	57%	4-6	67%	5-10	50%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	33.2	12	60%	1	3	1	0	1	3	0	1	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	0-2	0%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	28.6	20	67%	1	3	2	0	1	1	0	1	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	4-10	40%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	23.4	5	63%	3	0	1	0	0	4	2	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 30	19.7	12	86%	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	3.3	2	100%	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
David Roddy #45 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	125	57%	41	33	13	5	15	22	7	34	18-22	82%	25-46	54%	19-49	39%

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4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	43.0	18	64%	4	3	1	1	2	5	0	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	4-10	40%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	43.0	24	63%	16	14	5	1	4	2	2	14	2-2	100%	8-13	62%	2-6	33%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	36.0	5	16%	6	6	2	0	2	6	1	5	2-3	67%	0-7	0%	1-7	14%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	34.8	27	71%	5	2	0	2	3	1	2	3	4-7	57%	4-6	67%	5-10	50%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	33.2	12	60%	1	3	1	0	1	3	0	1	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	0-2	0%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	28.6	20	67%	1	3	2	0	1	1	0	1	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	4-10	40%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	23.4	5	63%	3	0	1	0	0	4	2	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 30	19.7	12	86%	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	3.3	2	100%	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
David Roddy #45 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	125	57%	41	33	13	5	15	22	7	34	18-22	82%	25-46	54%	19-49	39%

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8 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 28	45.5	32	67%	7	6	1	1	3	3	1	6	5-6	83%	9-13	69%	3-8	38%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 27	43.0	30	52%	11	13	1	3	6	3	0	11	6-9	67%	6-12	50%	4-14	29%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 41	40.2	17	61%	6	5	2	0	5	2	0	6	2-3	67%	6-10	60%	1-3	33%
Marcus Smart #36 · PF · 6'3" 220 · 32	35.3	21	70%	3	2	5	1	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	5-12	42%
Deandre Ayton #5 · C · 7'0" 252 · 28	27.1	9	56%	9	2	0	1	2	3	4	5	1-4	25%	4-6	67%	0-0	-

Rui Hachimura #28 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 28	25.4	6	50%	4	0	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-3	0%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26	20.8	5	63%	4	0	1	0	0	4	0	4	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 30	16.0	3	75%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Jake LaRavia #12 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 24	11.7	4	100%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Drew Timme #17 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bronny James #9 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dalton Knecht #4 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kobe Bufkin #18 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Adou Thiero #1 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nick Smith Jr. #20 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 22	INACTIVE
Chris Mañon #30 · SG · 6'4" 209 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Maxi Kleber #14 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar Back; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	127	59%	46	31	10	6	16	20	7	39	17-26	65%	34-51	67%	14-42	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.15 57.3%

LAL

1.19 59.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

20

30

67%

LAL

18

23

78%

Midrange

DEN

5

16

31%

LAL

16

28

57%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

19

28.5

49

39%

58%

LAL

14

21.0

42

33%

50%

Free Throws

DEN

18

22

82%

LAL

17

26

65%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Gordon	27	71%	13.5 / 19
N. Jokić	24	63%	12.0 / 19
T. Hardaway	20	67%	10.0 / 15
C. Johnson	18	64%	9.0 / 14
C. Braun	12	60%	6.0 / 10
B. Brown	12	86%	6.0 / 7
J. Murray	5	16%	2.5 / 16
S. Jones	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Valančiūnas	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Reaves	32	67%	16.0 / 24
L. Dončić	30	52%	15.0 / 29
M. Smart	21	70%	10.5 / 15
L. James	17	61%	8.5 / 14
D. Ayton	9	56%	4.5 / 8
R. Hachimura	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Hayes	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. LaRavia	4	100%	2.0 / 2
L. Kennard	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 121.3 10 117.1	DEN 112.6 LAL 116.5 +3.9
Pace	19 99.4 21 99.2	DEN 102.1 +4.9 LAL 97.2
Avg. Poss. Time	9 14.7 6 14.8	DEN 14.1 −0.7 LAL 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.7% 2 57.3%	DEN 56.3% LAL 59.1% +2.8%
TO %	3 12.1% 19 13.9%	DEN 13.3% −0.7% LAL 14.0%
ORB %	24 23.6% 22 23.9%	DEN 15.2% LAL 17.1% +1.9%
FTrt	4 29.4 1 32.0	DEN 23.2 LAL 28.0 +4.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 66.5% 19 61.5%	DEN 75.0% +10.4% LAL 64.6%
STL %	30 6.8% 12 8.6%	DEN 11.7% +2.5% LAL 9.2%
BLK %	29 7.6% 23 8.3%	DEN 9.8% LAL 13.0% +3.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 60.1% 2 59.4%	DEN 57.3% LAL 59.3% +2.0%
Rim FG%	12 65.1% 1 72.0%	DEN 66.7% LAL 78.3% +11.6%
Mid FG%	2 47.0% 4 46.8%	DEN 31.3% LAL 57.1% +25.8%
3P %	1 39.6% 14 35.9%	DEN 38.8% +5.5% LAL 33.3%
FT %	5 80.8% 26 76.3%	DEN 81.8% +16.4% LAL 65.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 31.1% 21 30.7%	DEN 31.6% +6.8% LAL 24.7%
Mid Att. %	21 28.1% 26 30.0%	DEN 16.8% −13.3% LAL 30.1%
3P Att. %	17 40.8% 22 39.4%	DEN 51.6% +6.4% LAL 45.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.16 and 3.16.

Game Totals	DEN	LAL
Possessions	111	109
Possession Minutes	26.1	26.9
Points	125	127
Rebounds	41	46
Assists	33	31
Steals	13	10
Blocks	5	6
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	16 (1)
Fouls	22	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (7)	7 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (2)	39 (1)
Field Goals	44-95	48-93
At-the-Rim FG	20-30	18-23
Midrange FG	5-16	16-28
2-Point FG	25-46	34-51
3-Point FG	19-49	14-42
Free Throws	18-22	17-26
Fast Break Pts	25	15
2nd Chance Pts	7	13
Points in Paint	44	56
Pts off Turnovers	17	33
Bench Points	39	18
Biggest Lead	8	17

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg