Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 14, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Kings	17%	106	118	116.8	101	101.3
	11	Clippers	83%	118	109	106.9	102	101.5

Prediction updated: Mar 15, 2026 01:32 AM

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+10

-19

LAC

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.28 64.1%

LAC

1.11 55.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	36.8	12	35%	12	10	4	0	4	2	2	10	2-4	50%	2-7	29%	2-8	25%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 37	36.8	27	84%	0	7	1	0	4	4	0	0	5-5	100%	11-13	85%	0-1	0%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	36.6	25	83%	13	1	0	4	2	4	3	10	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	3-4	75%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	35.3	11	46%	4	4	2	0	1	4	0	4	0-2	0%	1-6	17%	3-5	60%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	30.1	23	88%	5	2	0	0	4	3	1	4	1-3	33%	11-12	92%	0-0	-

Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 28	31.0	15	83%	5	2	2	0	0	4	1	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-4	75%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	13.8	3	38%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24
Killian Hayes #3 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 25	7.1	2	50%	3	2	0	0	3	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Soreness
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Soreness
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Tendon Repair
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Repair
De'Andre Hunter #15 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Retinal Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	64%	48	29	9	4	19	25	9	39	10-16	63%	36-55	65%	12-27	44%

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27 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Russell Westbrook #18 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	36.8	12	35%	12	10	4	0	4	2	2	10	2-4	50%	2-7	29%	2-8	25%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 37	36.8	27	84%	0	7	1	0	4	4	0	0	5-5	100%	11-13	85%	0-1	0%
Precious Achiuwa #9 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 26	36.6	25	83%	13	1	0	4	2	4	3	10	2-2	100%	7-10	70%	3-4	75%
Nique Clifford #5 · SG · 6'5" 175 · 24	35.3	11	46%	4	4	2	0	1	4	0	4	0-2	0%	1-6	17%	3-5	60%
Maxime Raynaud #42 · C · 7'1" 250 · 23	30.1	23	88%	5	2	0	0	4	3	1	4	1-3	33%	11-12	92%	0-0	-

Daeqwon Plowden #29 · SG · 6'4" 216 · 28	31.0	15	83%	5	2	2	0	0	4	1	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-4	75%
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 34	13.8	3	38%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Dylan Cardwell #32 · C · 6'10" 255 · 24
Killian Hayes #3 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 25	7.1	2	50%	3	2	0	0	3	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Drew Eubanks #19 · C · 6'10" 245 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Soreness
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Soreness
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Soreness
Isaiah Stevens #24 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #23 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Tendon Repair
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Repair
De'Andre Hunter #15 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Retinal Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	64%	48	29	9	4	19	25	9	39	10-16	63%	36-55	65%	12-27	44%

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11 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · PF · 6'6" 210 · 29	32.3	2	25%	3	1	1	1	2	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 26	30.2	25	60%	3	7	1	0	1	0	0	3	2-2	100%	4-10	40%	5-10	50%
Kris Dunn #8 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 32	28.3	5	36%	6	2	4	0	0	4	1	5	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 35	25.7	31	62%	6	0	2	0	3	2	2	4	3-6	50%	11-17	65%	2-6	33%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 38	21.8	0	0%	0	2	1	2	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

Bennedict Mathurin #9 · SF · 6'5" 210 · 24	35.3	24	67%	6	1	0	1	3	1	0	6	10-11	91%	7-11	64%	0-4	0%
Jordan Miller #22 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 26	23.0	6	60%	0	2	1	0	2	0	0	0	0-2	0%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Isaiah Jackson #23 · C · 6'8" 205 · 24	22.9	6	60%	8	4	1	3	1	2	1	7	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 28
TyTy Washington Jr. #15 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 24	0.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kobe Sanders #4 · SG · 6'8" 207 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bogdan Bogdanović #7 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Christie #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Norchad Omier #55 · PF · 6'7" 248 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sean Pedulla #00 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser #14 · C · 6'11" 242 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lisfranc Ligament; Tear
Bradley Beal #0 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Fracture
Nicolas Batum #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 37	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	56%	35	19	13	8	13	13	9	26	22-29	76%	30-57	53%	9-27	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	LAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.28 64.1%

LAC

1.11 55.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

68%

LAC

59%

Midrange

SAC

63%

LAC

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

18.0

44%

67%

LAC

13.5

33%

50%

Free Throws

SAC

63%

LAC

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	27	84%	13.5 / 16
P. Achiuwa	25	83%	12.5 / 15
M. Raynaud	23	88%	11.5 / 13
D. Plowden	15	83%	7.5 / 9
R. Westbrook	12	35%	6.0 / 17
N. Clifford	11	46%	5.5 / 12
D. McDermott	3	38%	1.5 / 4
K. Hayes	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Cardwell	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	31	62%	15.5 / 25
D. Garland	25	60%	12.5 / 21
B. Mathurin	24	67%	12.0 / 18
J. Collins	10	63%	5.0 / 8
J. Miller	6	60%	3.0 / 5
I. Jackson	6	60%	3.0 / 5
K. Dunn	5	36%	2.5 / 7
D. Jones	2	25%	1.0 / 4
B. Lopez	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 110.6 11 116.4	SAC 116.8 +10.0 LAC 106.9
Pace	17 100.0 28 97.3	SAC 101.3 LAC 101.5 +0.1
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.5 5 15.0	SAC 14.2 LAC 14.2 −0.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 52.5% 8 55.9%	SAC 65.9% +14.1% LAC 51.8%
TO %	15 13.7% 17 13.9%	SAC 19.1% LAC 11.8% −7.3%
ORB %	13 25.9% 23 23.7%	SAC 25.7% +6.9% LAC 18.8%
FTrt	19 25.6 3 29.5	SAC 19.5 LAC 34.5 +15.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 61.5% 29 58.6%	SAC 60.4% +11.7% LAC 48.7%
STL %	21 8.0% 5 9.2%	SAC 8.9% LAC 12.7% +3.8%
BLK %	19 8.6% 13 9.5%	SAC 7.0% LAC 14.5% +7.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 54.7% 3 58.7%	SAC 64.1% +8.5% LAC 55.6%
Rim FG%	8 65.9% 3 67.1%	SAC 68.0% +8.6% LAC 59.4%
Mid FG%	13 43.8% 10 44.2%	SAC 63.3% +19.3% LAC 44.0%
3P %	29 34.1% 7 36.8%	SAC 44.4% +11.1% LAC 33.3%
FT %	21 77.2% 1 82.3%	SAC 62.5% LAC 75.9% +13.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 28.0% 15 31.6%	SAC 30.5% LAC 38.1% +7.6%
Mid Att. %	30 38.1% 20 27.9%	SAC 36.6% LAC 29.8% −6.8%
3P Att. %	30 33.9% 19 40.4%	SAC 32.9% +0.8% LAC 32.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.66 and 2.66.

Game Totals	SAC	LAC
Possessions	101	102
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	118	109
Rebounds	48	35
Assists	29	19
Steals	9	13
Blocks	4	8
Turnovers (Team)	19 (2)	13 (0)
Fouls	25	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (1)	9 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (0)	26 (1)
Field Goals	48-82	39-84
At-the-Rim FG	17-25	19-32
Midrange FG	19-30	11-25
2-Point FG	36-55	30-57
3-Point FG	12-27	9-27
Free Throws	10-16	22-29
Fast Break Pts	11	16
2nd Chance Pts	12	7
Points in Paint	52	52
Pts off Turnovers	20	18
Bench Points	20	46
Biggest Lead	20	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg