Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 16, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Magic	45%	114	112	108.7	103	104.8
	13	Hawks	55%	116	124	119.2	104	102.3

Prediction updated: Mar 16, 2026 11:01 PM

Scoring Opportunities

ORL

+13

-11

105

ATL

+19

-13

110

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.07 53.3%

ATL

1.14 56.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 23	33.4	18	45%	10	3	0	2	2	2	0	10	11-16	69%	2-11	18%	1-2	50%
Desmond Bane #3 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	31.2	18	53%	2	4	1	0	1	4	0	2	1-1	100%	4-9	44%	3-7	43%
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 25	28.4	8	36%	6	5	1	1	3	1	0	6	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-5	0%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 27	28.2	17	77%	3	1	1	0	2	1	3	0	3-3	100%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	27.8	7	39%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-5	20%

Jevon Carter #2 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 31	19.0	13	108%	3	2	2	0	3	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-6	50%
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	18.7	10	50%	1	0	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-5	40%
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	14.3	7	39%	6	1	0	0	0	4	0	6	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 27	14.1	2	100%	3	1	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Noah Penda #93 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 21	14.0	2	50%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	5.5	4	67%	3	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jase Richardson #11 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 20	5.5	6	75%	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alex Morales #30 · PG · 6'6" 180 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lateral Abdominal; Strain
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left High Ankle; Sprain Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	53%	40	20	9	3	11	19	8	32	18-23	78%	26-52	50%	14-43	33%

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14 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 23	33.4	18	45%	10	3	0	2	2	2	0	10	11-16	69%	2-11	18%	1-2	50%
Desmond Bane #3 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 28	31.2	18	53%	2	4	1	0	1	4	0	2	1-1	100%	4-9	44%	3-7	43%
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 25	28.4	8	36%	6	5	1	1	3	1	0	6	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-5	0%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 27	28.2	17	77%	3	1	1	0	2	1	3	0	3-3	100%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Tristan da Silva #23 · SF · 6'8" 217 · 25	27.8	7	39%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-5	20%

Jevon Carter #2 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 31	19.0	13	108%	3	2	2	0	3	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-6	50%
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	18.7	10	50%	1	0	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-5	40%
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	14.3	7	39%	6	1	0	0	0	4	0	6	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 27	14.1	2	100%	3	1	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Noah Penda #93 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 21	14.0	2	50%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 27	5.5	4	67%	3	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jase Richardson #11 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 20	5.5	6	75%	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alex Morales #30 · PG · 6'6" 180 · 28	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lateral Abdominal; Strain
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left High Ankle; Sprain Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	53%	40	20	9	3	11	19	8	32	18-23	78%	26-52	50%	14-43	33%

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13 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	37.1	15	54%	7	4	0	1	1	3	2	5	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	2-6	33%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	36.9	24	60%	15	13	1	0	4	2	0	15	2-2	100%	8-13	62%	2-6	33%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28	36.8	41	82%	7	5	2	0	3	1	3	4	8-9	89%	3-7	43%	9-14	64%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	35.7	15	68%	12	3	1	1	2	3	6	6	3-5	60%	6-8	75%	0-1	0%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	31.6	9	30%	2	3	1	1	1	3	1	1	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	1-7	14%

Jonathan Kuminga #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	19.0	7	39%	8	1	0	0	2	3	2	6	3-5	60%	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	10.9	8	80%	1	2	0	0	0	4	1	0	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Gabe Vincent #4 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	10.2	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	9.8	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	7.7	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	4.2	3	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Buddy Hield #8 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	Inactive - Coaches Decision
RayJ Dennis #00 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keshon Gilbert #51 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	57%	54	33	5	3	13	20	15	39	22-29	76%	27-53	51%	16-40	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	ATL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.07 53.3%

ATL

1.14 56.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

51%

ATL

68%

Midrange

ORL

46%

ATL

27%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

21.0

33%

49%

ATL

24.0

40%

60%

Free Throws

ORL

78%

ATL

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Banchero	18	45%	9.0 / 20
D. Bane	18	53%	9.0 / 17
W. Carter	17	77%	8.5 / 11
J. Carter	13	108%	6.5 / 6
J. Howard	10	50%	5.0 / 10
J. Suggs	8	36%	4.0 / 11
T. da Silva	7	39%	3.5 / 9
M. Wagner	7	39%	3.5 / 9
J. Richardson	6	75%	3.0 / 4
G. Bitadze	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Cain	2	100%	1.0 / 1
N. Penda	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Alexander-Walker	41	82%	20.5 / 25
J. Johnson	24	60%	12.0 / 20
O. Okongwu	15	54%	7.5 / 14
D. Daniels	15	68%	7.5 / 11
C. McCollum	9	30%	4.5 / 15
J. Landale	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Kuminga	7	39%	3.5 / 9
C. Kispert	3	50%	1.5 / 3
Z. Risacher	2	50%	1.0 / 2
G. Vincent	0	-	0.0 / 1
M. Gueye	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.3 14 115.1	ORL 108.7 ATL 119.2 +10.5
Pace	14 100.5 4 102.5	ORL 104.8 +2.5 ATL 102.3
Avg. Poss. Time	17 14.2 29 13.5	ORL 13.7 −0.3 ATL 14.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	26 53.0% 10 55.4%	ORL 49.5% ATL 54.8% +5.3%
TO %	12 13.5% 8 13.0%	ORL 9.5% −2.2% ATL 11.7%
ORB %	18 25.0% 20 24.3%	ORL 17.0% ATL 31.9% +14.9%
FTrt	2 31.1 27 23.4	ORL 24.2 ATL 31.2 +7.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 64.7% 4 69.1%	ORL 50.0% ATL 76.7% +26.7%
STL %	16 8.4% 6 9.1%	ORL 8.7% +3.9% ATL 4.8%
BLK %	17 8.8% 18 8.8%	ORL 5.7% ATL 5.8% +0.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 56.3% 14 56.9%	ORL 53.3% ATL 56.9% +3.6%
Rim FG%	24 63.0% 21 63.3%	ORL 51.3% ATL 67.7% +16.4%
Mid FG%	24 41.5% 6 44.6%	ORL 46.2% +18.9% ATL 27.3%
3P %	27 34.3% 5 37.1%	ORL 32.6% ATL 40.0% +7.4%
FT %	8 80.1% 20 77.4%	ORL 78.3% +2.4% ATL 75.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 35.7% 13 32.1%	ORL 41.1% +7.7% ATL 33.3%
Mid Att. %	12 25.7% 9 25.0%	ORL 13.7% −10.0% ATL 23.7%
3P Att. %	24 38.6% 11 42.9%	ORL 45.3% +2.3% ATL 43.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ORL	ATL
Possessions	103	104
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.4
Points	112	124
Rebounds	40	54
Assists	20	33
Steals	9	5
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls	19	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (5)	15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (3)	39 (5)
Field Goals	40-95	43-93
At-the-Rim FG	20-39	21-31
Midrange FG	6-13	6-22
2-Point FG	26-52	27-53
3-Point FG	14-43	16-40
Free Throws	18-23	22-29
Fast Break Pts	17	11
2nd Chance Pts	13	19
Points in Paint	46	46
Pts off Turnovers	15	17
Bench Points	44	20
Biggest Lead	2	29

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg