Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 16, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Warriors	71%	116	125	122.5	102	96.5
	27	Wizards	29%	109	117	112.5	104	110.3

Prediction updated: Mar 16, 2026 11:01 PM

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+18

-15

105

WAS

+13

-21

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.19 59.5%

WAS

1.23 61.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

15 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Will Richard #3 · SF · 6'3" 206 · 23	32.2	0	0%	3	2	1	0	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-4	0%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	30.4	27	75%	5	4	2	0	3	0	1	4	3-3	100%	12-15	80%	0-2	0%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 36	28.5	5	31%	8	7	2	0	3	1	3	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-5	20%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	28.3	10	38%	4	3	1	0	1	2	1	3	3-4	75%	2-7	29%	1-4	25%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	27.9	18	90%	4	5	1	0	1	5	1	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	4-6	67%

Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	25.7	30	79%	5	4	2	3	3	2	1	4	13-14	93%	7-8	88%	1-5	20%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	23.6	15	68%	6	2	2	1	2	5	2	4	1-3	33%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	21.9	10	50%	3	4	1	0	1	0	1	2	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	2-4	50%
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	15.7	8	80%	2	0	1	0	1	2	2	0	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	3.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 28	2.3	2	100%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Injury Management
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	NWT - Not With Team
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury Management
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgery
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	60%	41	32	13	4	15	21	14	27	24-28	86%	37-59	63%	9-32	28%

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15 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Will Richard #3 · SF · 6'3" 206 · 23	32.2	0	0%	3	2	1	0	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-4	0%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	30.4	27	75%	5	4	2	0	3	0	1	4	3-3	100%	12-15	80%	0-2	0%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 36	28.5	5	31%	8	7	2	0	3	1	3	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-5	20%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 23	28.3	10	38%	4	3	1	0	1	2	1	3	3-4	75%	2-7	29%	1-4	25%
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 24	27.9	18	90%	4	5	1	0	1	5	1	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	4-6	67%

Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	25.7	30	79%	5	4	2	3	3	2	1	4	13-14	93%	7-8	88%	1-5	20%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	23.6	15	68%	6	2	2	1	2	5	2	4	1-3	33%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	21.9	10	50%	3	4	1	0	1	0	1	2	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	2-4	50%
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	15.7	8	80%	2	0	1	0	1	2	2	0	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	3.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 28	2.3	2	100%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Injury Management
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	NWT - Not With Team
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Injury Management
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgery
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	60%	41	32	13	4	15	21	14	27	24-28	86%	37-59	63%	9-32	28%

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27 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Will Riley #27 · PF · 6'9" 180 · 20	38.5	21	66%	4	5	0	0	3	2	1	3	5-6	83%	2-5	40%	4-8	50%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 22	32.7	21	81%	8	4	1	0	2	4	1	7	5-6	83%	5-8	63%	2-2	100%
Julian Reese #15 · C · 6'9" 230 · 23	23.7	12	86%	6	1	0	0	3	5	2	4	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	23.5	13	50%	1	2	0	0	2	1	0	1	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	2-7	29%
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	21.2	21	88%	2	5	1	1	3	4	1	1	4-5	80%	4-5	80%	3-5	60%

Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	31.8	4	40%	8	2	2	0	1	3	3	5	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	16.3	6	75%	3	2	3	0	2	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	15.4	11	50%	2	1	0	1	2	0	0	2	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	2-7	29%
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	12.7	4	50%	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	12.3	4	33%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Jaden Hardy #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	12.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Injury Management
Leaky Black #14 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
Anthony Davis #23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
D'Angelo Russell #28 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	62%	36	24	7	2	21	25	9	27	24-29	83%	27-44	61%	13-34	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	WAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.19 59.5%

WAS

1.23 61.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

72%

WAS

80%

Midrange

GSW

38%

WAS

37%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

13.5

28%

42%

WAS

19.5

38%

57%

Free Throws

GSW

86%

WAS

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Porziņģis	30	79%	15.0 / 19
D. Melton	27	75%	13.5 / 18
G. Santos	18	90%	9.0 / 10
G. Payton	15	68%	7.5 / 11
B. Podziemski	10	38%	5.0 / 13
P. Spencer	10	50%	5.0 / 10
M. Leons	8	80%	4.0 / 5
D. Green	5	31%	2.5 / 8
Ö. Yurtseven	2	100%	1.0 / 1
W. Richard	0	-	0.0 / 6
N. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
W. Riley	21	66%	10.5 / 16
B. Coulibaly	21	81%	10.5 / 13
T. Young	21	88%	10.5 / 12
T. Johnson	13	50%	6.5 / 13
J. Reese	12	86%	6.0 / 7
T. Vukcevic	11	50%	5.5 / 11
J. Watkins	6	75%	3.0 / 4
A. Gill	4	40%	2.0 / 5
S. Cooper	4	50%	2.0 / 4
B. Carrington	4	33%	2.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 114.0 29 109.7	GSW 122.5 +10.0 WAS 112.5
Pace	18 99.9 5 102.5	GSW 96.5 WAS 110.3 +13.9
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.7 23 14.0	GSW 14.9 WAS 13.1 −1.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 21 53.5%	GSW 55.5% WAS 59.6% +4.1%
TO %	28 14.9% 26 14.7%	GSW 14.1% −4.7% WAS 18.8%
ORB %	14 25.8% 21 24.0%	GSW 34.1% +9.1% WAS 25.0%
FTrt	24 23.8 26 23.5	GSW 30.8 WAS 37.2 +6.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 70.6% 24 59.9%	GSW 69.6% +9.6% WAS 60.0%
STL %	3 9.6% 22 7.8%	GSW 12.7% +6.0% WAS 6.7%
BLK %	27 8.0% 9 10.0%	GSW 9.1% +5.7% WAS 3.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.1% 26 55.4%	GSW 59.5% WAS 61.6% +2.1%
Rim FG%	5 66.7% 15 64.7%	GSW 72.1% WAS 80.0% +7.9%
Mid FG%	22 42.1% 26 41.3%	GSW 37.5% +0.7% WAS 36.8%
3P %	20 35.6% 16 35.9%	GSW 28.1% WAS 38.2% +10.1%
FT %	6 80.7% 23 76.6%	GSW 85.7% +2.9% WAS 82.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 29.5% 22 30.6%	GSW 47.3% +15.2% WAS 32.1%
Mid Att. %	3 20.8% 25 29.1%	GSW 17.6% −6.8% WAS 24.4%
3P Att. %	1 49.7% 20 40.3%	GSW 35.2% WAS 43.6% +8.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	WAS
Possessions	102	104
Possession Minutes	25.4	22.6
Points	125	117
Rebounds	41	36
Assists	32	24
Steals	13	7
Blocks	4	2
Turnovers (Team)	15 (2)	21 (0)
Fouls	21	25
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (4)	9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (1)	27 (2)
Field Goals	46-91	40-78
At-the-Rim FG	31-43	20-25
Midrange FG	6-16	7-19
2-Point FG	37-59	27-44
3-Point FG	9-32	13-34
Free Throws	24-28	24-29
Fast Break Pts	11	21
2nd Chance Pts	20	16
Points in Paint	68	46
Pts off Turnovers	25	26
Bench Points	65	29
Biggest Lead	17	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg