Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 16, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Grizzlies	37%	114	107	102.9	104	110.2
	22	Bulls	63%	118	132	129.4	102	96.6

Prediction updated: Mar 16, 2026 11:31 PM

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+14

-17

101

CHI

+17

-16

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.07 53.5%

CHI

1.28 64.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rayan Rupert #32 · PF · 6'7" 205 · 22	27.2	3	25%	4	1	2	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	26.3	12	55%	2	7	0	1	3	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-5	40%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · C · 6'7" 230 · 24	24.2	13	59%	3	0	0	1	0	1	0	3	0-1	0%	5-8	63%	1-3	33%
Cedric Coward #23 · SF · 6'5" 206 · 23	23.8	17	61%	0	5	0	1	2	5	0	0	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	2-7	29%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 23	22.7	16	73%	3	1	1	0	2	0	1	2	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	2-5	40%

Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	26.1	3	25%	6	2	0	1	2	2	2	4	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-2	50%
DeJon Jarreau #77 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 28	22.8	5	50%	5	6	1	0	2	4	1	4	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Tyler Burton #5 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 26	21.4	8	50%	8	1	2	0	2	2	2	6	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Taylor Hendricks #22 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	21.3	16	67%	3	0	2	0	1	0	2	1	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	2-5	40%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	16.1	12	67%	1	7	1	0	1	0	1	0	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 41	8.1	2	50%	2	0	1	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Soreness
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Surgery Recovery
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery Recovery
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Contusion
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Sesamoiditis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	54%	37	30	10	5	17	18	10	27	15-19	79%	25-47	53%	14-39	36%

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28 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rayan Rupert #32 · PF · 6'7" 205 · 22	27.2	3	25%	4	1	2	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Walter Clayton Jr. #4 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23	26.3	12	55%	2	7	0	1	3	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-5	40%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · C · 6'7" 230 · 24	24.2	13	59%	3	0	0	1	0	1	0	3	0-1	0%	5-8	63%	1-3	33%
Cedric Coward #23 · SF · 6'5" 206 · 23	23.8	17	61%	0	5	0	1	2	5	0	0	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	2-7	29%
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 23	22.7	16	73%	3	1	1	0	2	0	1	2	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	2-5	40%

Jahmai Mashack #21 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 23	26.1	3	25%	6	2	0	1	2	2	2	4	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-2	50%
DeJon Jarreau #77 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 28	22.8	5	50%	5	6	1	0	2	4	1	4	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Tyler Burton #5 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 26	21.4	8	50%	8	1	2	0	2	2	2	6	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Taylor Hendricks #22 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 22	21.3	16	67%	3	0	2	0	1	0	2	1	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	2-5	40%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 26	16.1	12	67%	1	7	1	0	1	0	1	0	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Taj Gibson #67 · C · 6'9" 232 · 41	8.1	2	50%	2	0	1	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Soreness
Javon Small #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #3 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 5th Finger; Surgery Recovery
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Injury Management
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; UCL Sprain
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery Recovery
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Contusion
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Great Toe; Sesamoiditis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	54%	37	30	10	5	17	18	10	27	15-19	79%	25-47	53%	14-39	36%

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22 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 23	33.9	16	62%	15	13	3	0	2	1	2	13	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	2-5	40%
Matas Buzelis #14 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 21	31.7	29	66%	7	1	0	3	1	0	2	5	0-0	-	7-9	78%	5-13	38%
Leonard Miller #11 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 22	28.3	10	83%	7	2	0	2	0	1	3	4	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Tre Jones #30 · SG · 6'1" 190 · 26	27.9	17	65%	5	5	2	1	3	0	1	4	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	1-5	20%
Jalen Smith #25 · C · 6'8" 244 · 26	26.8	13	59%	5	0	0	0	1	2	3	2	3-3	100%	5-6	83%	0-4	0%

Rob Dillingham #7 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	26.7	15	50%	1	4	3	0	3	4	0	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-9	33%
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 25	19.9	9	64%	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-6	50%
Guerschon Yabusele #28 · C · 6'7" 265 · 30	18.0	13	93%	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	0	5-6	83%	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Nick Richards #13 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	12.6	5	50%	6	1	0	0	0	3	2	4	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Yuki Kawamura #8 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 25	11.8	5	83%	1	2	0	0	3	2	0	1	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Lachlan Olbrich #47 · C · 6'8" 236 · 22	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Isaac Okoro #35 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Mac McClung #5 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaden Ivey #31 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Noa Essengue #24 · PF · 6'8" 194 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fibular Head; Contusion
Zach Collins #12 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 1st Toe; Surgery
Anfernee Simons #22 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ulnar Styloid; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	132	64%	47	30	9	6	16	16	13	34	18-21	86%	30-45	67%	18-48	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	CHI
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	CHI

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.07 53.5%

CHI

1.28 64.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

60%

CHI

69%

Midrange

MEM

45%

CHI

62%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

21.0

36%

54%

CHI

27.0

38%

56%

Free Throws

MEM

79%

CHI

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Coward	17	61%	8.5 / 14
J. Wells	16	73%	8.0 / 11
T. Hendricks	16	67%	8.0 / 12
O. Prosper	13	59%	6.5 / 11
W. Clayton	12	55%	6.0 / 11
C. Spencer	12	67%	6.0 / 9
T. Burton	8	50%	4.0 / 8
D. Jarreau	5	50%	2.5 / 5
R. Rupert	3	25%	1.5 / 6
J. Mashack	3	25%	1.5 / 6
T. Gibson	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Buzelis	29	66%	14.5 / 22
T. Jones	17	65%	8.5 / 13
J. Giddey	16	62%	8.0 / 13
R. Dillingham	15	50%	7.5 / 15
J. Smith	13	59%	6.5 / 11
G. Yabusele	13	93%	6.5 / 7
L. Miller	10	83%	5.0 / 6
P. Williams	9	64%	4.5 / 7
N. Richards	5	50%	2.5 / 5
Y. Kawamura	5	83%	2.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 112.4 25 112.2	MEM 102.9 CHI 129.4 +26.5
Pace	7 101.8 3 103.3	MEM 110.2 +13.6 CHI 96.6
Avg. Poss. Time	26 13.8 28 13.6	MEM 13.1 −1.8 CHI 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.3% 14 54.7%	MEM 53.5% CHI 61.3% +7.8%
TO %	22 14.3% 20 14.1%	MEM 16.0% CHI 14.3% −1.7%
ORB %	19 24.7% 27 23.1%	MEM 22.7% CHI 32.5% +9.8%
FTrt	21 25.1 22 24.6	MEM 22.1 CHI 22.6 +0.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 67.4% 7 67.2%	MEM 76.9% +14.4% CHI 62.5%
STL %	11 8.7% 26 7.4%	MEM 9.6% +0.8% CHI 8.8%
BLK %	14 9.1% 15 9.0%	MEM 11.1% CHI 12.8% +1.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.8% 17 56.5%	MEM 53.5% CHI 64.1% +10.6%
Rim FG%	26 62.8% 30 61.4%	MEM 60.0% CHI 68.8% +8.8%
Mid FG%	11 44.2% 15 43.7%	MEM 45.5% CHI 61.5% +16.0%
3P %	22 35.3% 19 35.6%	MEM 35.9% CHI 37.5% +1.6%
FT %	9 79.3% 18 77.6%	MEM 78.9% CHI 85.7% +6.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 28.6% 3 38.2%	MEM 29.1% CHI 34.4% +5.3%
Mid Att. %	19 27.8% 1 17.5%	MEM 25.6% CHI 14.0% −11.6%
3P Att. %	10 43.6% 8 44.3%	MEM 45.3% CHI 51.6% +6.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Game Totals	MEM	CHI
Possessions	104	102
Possession Minutes	22.7	25.3
Points	107	132
Rebounds	37	47
Assists	30	30
Steals	10	9
Blocks	5	6
Turnovers (Team)	17 (1)	16 (1)
Fouls	18	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (2)	34 (2)
Field Goals	39-86	48-93
At-the-Rim FG	15-25	22-32
Midrange FG	10-22	8-13
2-Point FG	25-47	30-45
3-Point FG	14-39	18-48
Free Throws	15-19	18-21
Fast Break Pts	18	12
2nd Chance Pts	13	22
Points in Paint	42	58
Pts off Turnovers	22	25
Bench Points	46	47
Biggest Lead	4	26

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg