Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 17, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Pistons	92%	122	130	126.2	103	108.0
	28	Wizards	8%	103	117	114.7	102	97.5

Prediction updated: Mar 17, 2026 10:56 PM

Scoring Opportunities

DET

+18

-12

109

WAS

+10

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.20 60.2%

WAS

1.19 59.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

5 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 22	30.9	36	82%	11	2	0	1	1	2	3	8	10-11	91%	13-17	76%	0-0	-
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 23	27.4	6	43%	7	2	0	0	1	5	2	5	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 34	27.3	12	46%	6	6	0	2	0	2	4	2	4-4	100%	4-9	44%	0-2	0%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 32	26.3	8	44%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 24	5.3	6	75%	2	0	1	0	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%

Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	25.2	9	64%	1	4	1	0	4	5	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-6	50%
Kevin Huerter #27 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 28	22.4	4	29%	4	3	0	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-5	0%
Daniss Jenkins #24 · PG · 6'4" 165 · 25	20.8	15	63%	2	7	2	1	1	0	2	0	5-6	83%	2-7	29%	2-2	100%
Caris LeVert #8 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 32	20.7	10	83%	3	3	1	0	2	1	0	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	3-4	75%
Ronald Holland II #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 21	15.2	11	92%	5	0	3	0	1	3	0	5	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Paul Reed #7 · C · 6'9" 210 · 27	13.5	10	71%	4	1	0	0	0	1	3	1	2-4	50%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Javonte Green #31 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 33	5.0	3	30%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Tolu Smith #35 · PF · 6'11" 254 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bobi Klintman #34 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Chaz Lanier #20 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Wendell Moore Jr. #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaac Jones #3 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	60%	50	31	8	4	12	23	16	34	27-32	84%	35-63	56%	11-27	41%

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5 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 22	30.9	36	82%	11	2	0	1	1	2	3	8	10-11	91%	13-17	76%	0-0	-
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 23	27.4	6	43%	7	2	0	0	1	5	2	5	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 34	27.3	12	46%	6	6	0	2	0	2	4	2	4-4	100%	4-9	44%	0-2	0%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 32	26.3	8	44%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 24	5.3	6	75%	2	0	1	0	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%

Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	25.2	9	64%	1	4	1	0	4	5	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-6	50%
Kevin Huerter #27 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 28	22.4	4	29%	4	3	0	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-5	0%
Daniss Jenkins #24 · PG · 6'4" 165 · 25	20.8	15	63%	2	7	2	1	1	0	2	0	5-6	83%	2-7	29%	2-2	100%
Caris LeVert #8 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 32	20.7	10	83%	3	3	1	0	2	1	0	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	3-4	75%
Ronald Holland II #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 21	15.2	11	92%	5	0	3	0	1	3	0	5	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Paul Reed #7 · C · 6'9" 210 · 27	13.5	10	71%	4	1	0	0	0	1	3	1	2-4	50%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Javonte Green #31 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 33	5.0	3	30%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Tolu Smith #35 · PF · 6'11" 254 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bobi Klintman #34 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Chaz Lanier #20 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Wendell Moore Jr. #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaac Jones #3 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	60%	50	31	8	4	12	23	16	34	27-32	84%	35-63	56%	11-27	41%

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28 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Will Riley #27 · SF · 6'9" 180 · 20	37.3	21	66%	3	1	2	0	0	1	1	2	6-9	67%	6-10	60%	1-3	33%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	37.2	30	94%	4	2	0	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	6-8	75%	6-8	75%
Justin Champagnie #9 · PF · 6'6" 206 · 25	29.0	18	69%	9	2	0	1	1	3	2	7	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	2-4	50%
Tre Johnson #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 20	24.2	11	39%	4	1	0	0	2	4	0	4	4-4	100%	2-8	25%	1-4	25%
Anthony Gill #16 · C · 6'7" 230 · 33	16.2	2	50%	1	1	1	1	2	6	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Jaden Hardy #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	31.8	16	53%	2	2	2	1	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	4-9	44%
Sharife Cooper #13 · PG · 6'0" 176 · 25	27.2	7	44%	6	6	0	0	2	1	2	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-5	20%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	18.7	9	50%	4	1	0	1	1	0	1	3	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	18.3	3	75%	2	4	2	1	3	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Retrocalcaneal; Bursitis
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Contusion
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Capsulitis
Julian Reese #15 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Leaky Black #14 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
Anthony Davis #23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
D'Angelo Russell #28 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	60%	35	20	7	5	13	23	7	28	15-19	79%	27-50	54%	16-37	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DET	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	DET	WAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.20 60.2%

WAS

1.19 59.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DET

71%

WAS

69%

Midrange

DET

17%

WAS

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DET

16.5

41%

61%

WAS

24.0

43%

65%

Free Throws

DET

84%

WAS

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Duren	36	82%	18.0 / 22
D. Jenkins	15	63%	7.5 / 12
T. Harris	12	46%	6.0 / 13
R. Holland	11	92%	5.5 / 6
C. LeVert	10	83%	5.0 / 6
P. Reed	10	71%	5.0 / 7
M. Sasser	9	64%	4.5 / 7
D. Robinson	8	44%	4.0 / 9
A. Thompson	6	43%	3.0 / 7
C. Cunningham	6	75%	3.0 / 4
K. Huerter	4	29%	2.0 / 7
J. Green	3	30%	1.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Carrington	30	94%	15.0 / 16
W. Riley	21	66%	10.5 / 16
J. Champagnie	18	69%	9.0 / 13
J. Hardy	16	53%	8.0 / 15
T. Johnson	11	39%	5.5 / 14
T. Vukcevic	9	50%	4.5 / 9
S. Cooper	7	44%	3.5 / 8
J. Watkins	3	75%	1.5 / 2
A. Gill	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 117.4 29 109.7	DET 126.2 +11.5 WAS 114.7
Pace	20 99.3 5 102.5	DET 108.0 +10.4 WAS 97.5
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.5 23 14.0	DET 13.3 −1.4 WAS 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.7% 21 53.5%	DET 57.2% WAS 58.6% +1.4%
TO %	21 14.1% 26 14.7%	DET 11.1% −1.7% WAS 12.8%
ORB %	3 30.9% 21 24.0%	DET 36.4% +19.3% WAS 17.1%
FTrt	5 29.2 26 23.5	DET 35.6 +13.8 WAS 21.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 64.1% 24 59.9%	DET 67.4% +20.9% WAS 46.5%
STL %	1 10.4% 22 7.8%	DET 7.8% +0.9% WAS 6.9%
BLK %	1 13.2% 9 10.0%	DET 8.0% +0.1% WAS 7.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.07 and 3.07.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	12 57.0% 26 55.4%	DET 60.2% +0.5% WAS 59.7%
Rim FG%	16 64.7% 15 64.7%	DET 71.1% +1.9% WAS 69.2%
Mid FG%	27 40.5% 26 41.3%	DET 16.7% WAS 37.5% +20.8%
3P %	17 35.6% 16 35.9%	DET 40.7% WAS 43.2% +2.5%
FT %	27 76.3% 23 76.6%	DET 84.4% +5.5% WAS 78.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 40.1% 22 30.6%	DET 50.0% +20.1% WAS 29.9%
Mid Att. %	11 25.3% 25 29.1%	DET 20.0% −7.6% WAS 27.6%
3P Att. %	29 34.5% 20 40.3%	DET 30.0% WAS 42.5% +12.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Game Totals	DET	WAS
Possessions	103	102
Possession Minutes	22.9	25.1
Points	130	117
Rebounds	50	35
Assists	31	20
Steals	8	7
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	13 (1)
Fouls	23	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (2)	7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (3)	28 (2)
Field Goals	46-90	43-87
At-the-Rim FG	32-45	18-26
Midrange FG	3-18	9-24
2-Point FG	35-63	27-50
3-Point FG	11-27	16-37
Free Throws	27-32	15-19
Fast Break Pts	16	9
2nd Chance Pts	19	12
Points in Paint	68	44
Pts off Turnovers	25	13
Bench Points	62	35
Biggest Lead	22	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg