Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 17, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	76ers	14%	107	96	92.3	104	102.2
	4	Nuggets	86%	121	124	119.2	104	105.9

Prediction updated: Mar 18, 2026 02:01 AM

Scoring Opportunities

PHI

+10

-13

101

DEN

+12

-13

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

0.95 47.5%

DEN

1.20 60.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

25 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dominick Barlow #25 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 23	26.7	8	57%	9	4	0	1	4	4	2	7	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-2	0%
Quentin Grimes #5 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 26	26.3	12	50%	2	1	0	0	2	0	1	1	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	1-5	20%
Justin Edwards #11 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	24.8	11	46%	5	3	1	1	1	1	1	4	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	2-7	29%
VJ Edgecombe #77 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	22.6	9	35%	3	4	0	1	0	5	0	3	3-3	100%	3-9	33%	0-3	0%
Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	14.8	6	75%	3	1	1	3	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%

Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 33	28.1	9	45%	10	3	0	0	0	5	2	8	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Trendon Watford #12 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	21.9	12	60%	3	6	1	3	2	4	1	2	6-6	100%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
MarJon Beauchamp #16 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 25	20.1	16	73%	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	4-8	50%
Cameron Payne #20 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 32	18.3	5	23%	2	2	3	0	2	1	1	1	0-1	0%	1-5	20%	1-6	17%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 40	18.3	0	0%	3	2	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Dalen Terry #14 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	18.2	8	57%	0	3	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Tyrese Martin #23 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	INACTIVE
Jabari Walker #33 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Johni Broome #22 · PF · 6'9" 244 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery Recovery
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Finger; Tendon Strain
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Oblique; Strain
Paul George #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 36	Inactive - League Suspension
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	48%	42	30	6	10	13	26	9	33	13-15	87%	28-53	53%	9-41	22%

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25 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dominick Barlow #25 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 23	26.7	8	57%	9	4	0	1	4	4	2	7	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-2	0%
Quentin Grimes #5 · SG · 6'5" 207 · 26	26.3	12	50%	2	1	0	0	2	0	1	1	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	1-5	20%
Justin Edwards #11 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 22	24.8	11	46%	5	3	1	1	1	1	1	4	1-1	100%	2-5	40%	2-7	29%
VJ Edgecombe #77 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	22.6	9	35%	3	4	0	1	0	5	0	3	3-3	100%	3-9	33%	0-3	0%
Adem Bona #30 · C · 6'10" 235 · 23	14.8	6	75%	3	1	1	3	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%

Andre Drummond #1 · C · 6'11" 279 · 33	28.1	9	45%	10	3	0	0	0	5	2	8	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Trendon Watford #12 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	21.9	12	60%	3	6	1	3	2	4	1	2	6-6	100%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
MarJon Beauchamp #16 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 25	20.1	16	73%	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	4-8	50%
Cameron Payne #20 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 32	18.3	5	23%	2	2	3	0	2	1	1	1	0-1	0%	1-5	20%	1-6	17%
Kyle Lowry #7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 40	18.3	0	0%	3	2	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Dalen Terry #14 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	18.2	8	57%	0	3	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Tyrese Martin #23 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	INACTIVE
Jabari Walker #33 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Johni Broome #22 · PF · 6'9" 244 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Surgery Recovery
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Finger; Tendon Strain
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Oblique; Strain
Paul George #8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 36	Inactive - League Suspension
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	48%	42	30	6	10	13	26	9	33	13-15	87%	28-53	53%	9-41	22%

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4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	27.3	22	92%	5	3	1	0	0	0	0	5	6-6	100%	5-6	83%	2-3	67%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	25.9	12	60%	6	4	0	0	2	2	2	4	5-7	71%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	24.8	8	57%	7	14	0	0	5	4	0	7	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	23.2	18	100%	2	1	0	0	0	2	1	1	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	3-3	100%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	18.9	12	67%	5	2	1	0	2	1	0	5	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	2-3	67%

Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	24.0	7	88%	5	0	1	1	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	19.2	8	31%	9	1	0	0	1	1	3	6	2-6	33%	3-9	33%	0-1	0%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 30	19.1	12	75%	3	2	0	1	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	18.7	9	38%	4	4	1	0	0	0	1	3	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	2-7	29%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	13.0	5	36%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	9.1	2	33%	2	0	1	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	7.2	4	100%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
David Roddy #45 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 25	INACTIVE
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Curtis Jones #1 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	60%	53	35	5	2	13	16	9	44	22-31	71%	27-53	51%	16-33	48%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

PHI

0.95 47.5%

DEN

1.20 60.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

PHI

68%

DEN

56%

Midrange

PHI

36%

DEN

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

PHI

13.5

22%

33%

DEN

24.0

48%

73%

Free Throws

PHI

87%

DEN

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Beauchamp	16	73%	8.0 / 11
Q. Grimes	12	50%	6.0 / 12
T. Watford	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. Edwards	11	46%	5.5 / 12
V. Edgecombe	9	35%	4.5 / 13
A. Drummond	9	45%	4.5 / 10
D. Barlow	8	57%	4.0 / 7
D. Terry	8	57%	4.0 / 7
A. Bona	6	75%	3.0 / 4
C. Payne	5	23%	2.5 / 11
K. Lowry	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Braun	22	92%	11.0 / 12
C. Johnson	18	100%	9.0 / 9
J. Murray	12	60%	6.0 / 10
A. Gordon	12	67%	6.0 / 9
B. Brown	12	75%	6.0 / 8
T. Hardaway	9	38%	4.5 / 12
N. Jokić	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Valančiūnas	8	31%	4.0 / 13
S. Jones	7	88%	3.5 / 4
J. Strawther	5	36%	2.5 / 7
T. Jones	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Pickett	4	100%	2.0 / 2
Z. Nnaji	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 114.4 1 121.3	PHI 92.3 DEN 119.2 +26.9
Pace	16 100.3 19 99.4	PHI 102.2 DEN 105.9 +3.7
Avg. Poss. Time	11 14.6 9 14.7	PHI 14.1 DEN 13.6 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 53.0% 1 57.7%	PHI 44.1% DEN 59.3% +15.2%
TO %	6 12.8% 3 12.1%	PHI 11.4% −0.9% DEN 12.3%
ORB %	11 26.2% 24 23.6%	PHI 17.0% DEN 21.4% +4.4%
FTrt	11 27.5 4 29.4	PHI 16.0 DEN 36.0 +20.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 58.9% 9 66.5%	PHI 81.1% DEN 81.4% +0.3%
STL %	7 9.0% 30 6.8%	PHI 5.8% +1.0% DEN 4.8%
BLK %	3 10.9% 29 7.6%	PHI 18.9% +15.1% DEN 3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	21 55.9% 1 60.1%	PHI 47.5% DEN 60.2% +12.7%
Rim FG%	27 62.1% 12 65.1%	PHI 67.9% +11.6% DEN 56.3%
Mid FG%	23 41.8% 2 47.0%	PHI 36.0% DEN 42.9% +6.9%
3P %	23 34.9% 1 39.6%	PHI 22.0% DEN 48.5% +26.5%
FT %	4 80.9% 5 80.8%	PHI 86.7% +15.7% DEN 71.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 35.0% 19 31.1%	PHI 29.8% DEN 37.2% +7.4%
Mid Att. %	13 25.9% 21 28.1%	PHI 26.6% DEN 24.4% −2.2%
3P Att. %	23 39.1% 17 40.8%	PHI 43.6% +5.2% DEN 38.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	PHI	DEN
Possessions	104	104
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	96	124
Rebounds	42	53
Assists	30	35
Steals	6	5
Blocks	10	2
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls	26	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (1)	9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (3)	44 (3)
Field Goals	37-94	43-86
At-the-Rim FG	19-28	18-32
Midrange FG	9-25	9-21
2-Point FG	28-53	27-53
3-Point FG	9-41	16-33
Free Throws	13-15	22-31
Fast Break Pts	23	24
2nd Chance Pts	11	12
Points in Paint	52	52
Pts off Turnovers	10	13
Bench Points	50	52
Biggest Lead	0	33

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg