Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 18, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Blazers	76%	118	127	128.3	99	89.9
	27	Pacers	24%	109	119	121.4	98	109.1

Prediction updated: Mar 18, 2026 11:31 PM

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+29

-13

115

IND

+12

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.10 55.2%

IND

1.19 59.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

16 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 36	32.0	15	54%	3	8	2	0	1	1	2	1	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	4-8	50%
Jerami Grant #9 · SF · 6'7" 213 · 32	31.9	8	33%	3	1	0	0	0	2	1	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-6	0%
Deni Avdija #8 · SG · 6'8" 228 · 25	31.6	32	55%	11	5	0	1	5	2	2	9	13-16	81%	8-15	53%	1-6	17%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	30.0	17	77%	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	4-4	100%	3-7	43%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	25.0	28	67%	13	2	1	2	2	2	6	7	5-6	83%	7-14	50%	3-5	60%

Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	26.3	9	56%	3	5	0	1	4	4	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	21.5	2	50%	10	2	0	2	1	2	6	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 26	18.0	8	50%	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	13.6	6	60%	2	0	1	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	10.1	2	33%	1	4	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jayson Kent #29 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Fibula; Stress Reaction
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Contusion
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 36	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chris Youngblood #3 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	55%	52	32	5	7	13	16	22	30	21-26	81%	29-55	53%	16-46	35%

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16 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 36	32.0	15	54%	3	8	2	0	1	1	2	1	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	4-8	50%
Jerami Grant #9 · SF · 6'7" 213 · 32	31.9	8	33%	3	1	0	0	0	2	1	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-6	0%
Deni Avdija #8 · SG · 6'8" 228 · 25	31.6	32	55%	11	5	0	1	5	2	2	9	13-16	81%	8-15	53%	1-6	17%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	30.0	17	77%	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	4-4	100%	3-7	43%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	25.0	28	67%	13	2	1	2	2	2	6	7	5-6	83%	7-14	50%	3-5	60%

Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 22	26.3	9	56%	3	5	0	1	4	4	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 28	21.5	2	50%	10	2	0	2	1	2	6	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 26	18.0	8	50%	4	4	0	0	0	0	3	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	13.6	6	60%	2	0	1	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	10.1	2	33%	1	4	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jayson Kent #29 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Fibula; Stress Reaction
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Contusion
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 36	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Caleb Love #2 · SG · 6'3" 212 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chris Youngblood #3 · SG · 6'4" 221 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	55%	52	32	5	7	13	16	22	30	21-26	81%	29-55	53%	16-46	35%

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27 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Slawson #18 · PF · 6'7" 215 · 26	37.2	17	77%	7	4	1	3	0	3	0	7	3-3	100%	4-6	67%	2-4	50%
Jarace Walker #5 · SF · 6'7" 235 · 23	32.6	10	45%	7	2	1	1	1	0	0	7	0-0	-	2-7	29%	2-4	50%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26	26.3	15	54%	3	1	1	0	1	4	2	1	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	1-5	20%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	23.4	18	47%	8	3	0	1	1	1	6	2	4-5	80%	7-18	39%	0-0	-
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 34	20.4	7	58%	5	10	1	0	2	2	0	5	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-

Jay Huff #32 · C · 7'1" 240 · 29	20.5	11	61%	2	1	0	1	0	3	0	2	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 28	20.4	13	81%	0	6	2	0	2	2	0	0	3-3	100%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Kobe Brown #24 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 26	20.3	8	133%	2	1	1	0	2	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 25	18.7	10	63%	1	1	1	1	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Taelon Peter #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 24	12.9	10	83%	3	1	1	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Kam Jones #7 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 24	7.3	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Contusion
Micah Potter #11 · C · 6'9" 248 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Triceps; Strain
Ethan Thompson #55 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Johnny Furphy #12 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Tear
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Tear
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Injury Management
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	60%	39	32	9	7	11	24	10	29	15-17	88%	34-64	53%	12-27	44%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	IND
Clock	Team	Event	POR	IND

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.10 55.2%

IND

1.19 59.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

58%

IND

55%

Midrange

POR

33%

IND

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

24.0

35%

52%

IND

18.0

44%

67%

Free Throws

POR

81%

IND

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Avdija	32	55%	16.0 / 29
D. Clingan	28	67%	14.0 / 21
T. Camara	17	77%	8.5 / 11
J. Holiday	15	54%	7.5 / 14
S. Henderson	9	56%	4.5 / 8
J. Grant	8	33%	4.0 / 12
K. Murray	8	50%	4.0 / 8
M. Thybulle	6	60%	3.0 / 5
R. Williams	2	50%	1.0 / 2
S. Cissoko	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
I. Zubac	18	47%	9.0 / 19
J. Slawson	17	77%	8.5 / 11
A. Nesmith	15	54%	7.5 / 14
Q. Jackson	13	81%	6.5 / 8
J. Huff	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Walker	10	45%	5.0 / 11
B. Sheppard	10	63%	5.0 / 8
T. Peter	10	83%	5.0 / 6
K. Brown	8	133%	4.0 / 3
T. McConnell	7	58%	3.5 / 6
K. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 113.1 28 110.1	POR 128.3 +6.9 IND 121.4
Pace	8 101.6 10 101.4	POR 89.9 IND 109.1 +19.2
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.2 25 13.9	POR 16.0 IND 13.2 −2.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 53.3% 23 53.3%	POR 52.5% IND 57.1% +4.6%
TO %	30 16.1% 14 13.6%	POR 10.4% −0.5% IND 10.9%
ORB %	2 31.3% 29 21.7%	POR 43.1% +18.1% IND 25.0%
FTrt	9 28.0 20 25.2	POR 25.7 +7.0 IND 18.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	18 61.6% 5 67.8%	POR 71.1% +1.5% IND 69.6%
STL %	20 8.1% 28 7.2%	POR 5.1% IND 9.2% +4.1%
BLK %	8 10.1% 26 8.1%	POR 10.9% IND 12.7% +1.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 55.6% 24 55.4%	POR 55.2% IND 59.5% +4.3%
Rim FG%	19 63.9% 25 62.9%	POR 58.1% +3.6% IND 54.5%
Mid FG%	29 37.4% 19 42.7%	POR 33.3% IND 51.6% +18.3%
3P %	28 34.2% 18 35.6%	POR 34.8% IND 44.4% +9.6%
FT %	24 76.5% 17 77.6%	POR 80.8% IND 88.2% +7.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 35.6% 23 30.3%	POR 42.6% +6.3% IND 36.3%
Mid Att. %	2 17.6% 18 27.5%	POR 11.9% −22.2% IND 34.1%
3P Att. %	3 46.8% 14 42.2%	POR 45.5% +15.9% IND 29.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.26 and 2.26.

Game Totals	POR	IND
Possessions	99	98
Possession Minutes	26.4	21.6
Points	127	119
Rebounds	52	39
Assists	32	32
Steals	5	9
Blocks	7	7
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	11 (1)
Fouls	16	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	22 (7)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (4)	29 (1)
Field Goals	45-101	46-91
At-the-Rim FG	25-43	18-33
Midrange FG	4-12	16-31
2-Point FG	29-55	34-64
3-Point FG	16-46	12-27
Free Throws	21-26	15-17
Fast Break Pts	8	17
2nd Chance Pts	34	13
Points in Paint	54	50
Pts off Turnovers	9	9
Bench Points	27	52
Biggest Lead	22	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg