Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 18, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Jazz	23%	107	111	101.8	109	110.0
	20	Timberwolves	77%	117	147	134.9	109	108.0

Prediction updated: Mar 19, 2026 12:02 AM

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

+22

-23

108

MIN

+16

-17

108

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.04 51.9%

MIN

1.36 68.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

29 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 22	37.3	41	64%	4	3	1	0	5	2	1	3	3-4	75%	13-22	59%	4-9	44%
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	28.0	14	58%	3	6	3	1	5	2	0	3	6-7	86%	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21	24.9	7	58%	5	2	1	0	0	1	2	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Ace Bailey #19 · SG · 6'9" 200 · 20	24.9	17	65%	2	2	0	1	3	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	5-10	50%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	22.9	7	44%	3	4	1	1	3	2	1	2	2-4	50%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%

Andersson Garcia #0 · NA · 6'7" 220 · 26	24.1	4	33%	8	3	0	2	0	2	5	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Bez Mbeng #21 · NA · 6'4" 185 · 23	20.3	0	0%	2	1	1	0	1	5	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	20.0	8	40%	6	3	2	0	2	1	1	5	1-3	33%	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 38	14.8	5	36%	4	1	0	0	1	2	2	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
John Konchar #55 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	12.5	3	50%	5	1	1	0	3	2	2	3	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	10.3	5	50%	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Blake Hinson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury recovery
Jaren Jackson Jr. #20 · C · 6'10" 242 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury recovery
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Impingement
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nose; Injury recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	52%	46	26	10	5	23	23	17	29	18-26	69%	27-54	50%	13-39	33%

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29 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 22	37.3	41	64%	4	3	1	0	5	2	1	3	3-4	75%	13-22	59%	4-9	44%
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	28.0	14	58%	3	6	3	1	5	2	0	3	6-7	86%	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21	24.9	7	58%	5	2	1	0	0	1	2	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Ace Bailey #19 · SG · 6'9" 200 · 20	24.9	17	65%	2	2	0	1	3	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	5-10	50%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	22.9	7	44%	3	4	1	1	3	2	1	2	2-4	50%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%

Andersson Garcia #0 · NA · 6'7" 220 · 26	24.1	4	33%	8	3	0	2	0	2	5	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Bez Mbeng #21 · NA · 6'4" 185 · 23	20.3	0	0%	2	1	1	0	1	5	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Elijah Harkless #16 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 26	20.0	8	40%	6	3	2	0	2	1	1	5	1-3	33%	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 38	14.8	5	36%	4	1	0	0	1	2	2	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
John Konchar #55 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	12.5	3	50%	5	1	1	0	3	2	2	3	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	10.3	5	50%	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Blake Hinson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury recovery
Jaren Jackson Jr. #20 · C · 6'10" 242 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury recovery
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Impingement
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nose; Injury recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	52%	46	26	10	5	23	23	17	29	18-26	69%	27-54	50%	13-39	33%

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20 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 34	28.8	21	81%	12	0	1	2	3	1	6	6	3-4	75%	9-12	75%	0-0	-
Ayo Dosunmu #13 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 26	27.2	23	72%	9	6	3	0	1	3	0	9	6-7	86%	4-8	50%	3-5	60%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	27.0	21	88%	1	8	4	0	2	2	0	1	6-7	86%	6-8	75%	1-2	50%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 25	26.3	17	57%	2	3	1	1	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	4-8	50%	3-7	43%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · PG · 6'4" 203 · 29	25.8	9	64%	3	7	1	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-6	50%

Bones Hyland #8 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 26	24.9	18	75%	3	2	0	0	3	2	0	3	3-3	100%	3-5	60%	3-7	43%
Kyle Anderson #12 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 32	22.3	8	57%	3	6	1	0	2	3	0	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	19.9	8	67%	3	0	3	0	1	2	1	2	2-4	50%	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	9.9	9	64%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Joan Beringer #19 · PF · 6'11" 230 · 19	9.3	2	25%	7	0	0	1	0	2	3	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 38	6.8	0	0%	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 38	6.8	7	88%	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Zyon Pullin #15 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 25	4.9	4	100%	0	3	1	0	2	1	0	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Julian Phillips #4 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Rocco Zikarsky #44 · C · 7'3" 227 · 20	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Enrique Freeman #25 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	147	68%	46	39	15	5	17	23	12	34	25-30	83%	34-57	60%	18-39	46%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	MIN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.04 51.9%

MIN

1.36 68.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

55%

MIN

67%

Midrange

UTA

43%

MIN

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

19.5

33%

50%

MIN

27.0

46%

69%

Free Throws

UTA

69%

MIN

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Sensabaugh	41	64%	20.5 / 32
A. Bailey	17	65%	8.5 / 13
I. Collier	14	58%	7.0 / 12
E. Harkless	8	40%	4.0 / 10
C. Williams	7	58%	3.5 / 6
K. Filipowski	7	44%	3.5 / 8
K. Love	5	36%	2.5 / 7
O. Tshiebwe	5	50%	2.5 / 5
A. Garcia	4	33%	2.0 / 6
J. Konchar	3	50%	1.5 / 3
B. Mbeng	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Dosunmu	23	72%	11.5 / 16
R. Gobert	21	81%	10.5 / 13
J. Randle	21	88%	10.5 / 12
B. Hyland	18	75%	9.0 / 12
J. McDaniels	17	57%	8.5 / 15
D. DiVincenzo	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. Clark	9	64%	4.5 / 7
K. Anderson	8	57%	4.0 / 7
T. Shannon	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Ingles	7	88%	3.5 / 4
Z. Pullin	4	100%	2.0 / 2
J. Beringer	2	25%	1.0 / 4
M. Conley	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 112.9 13 115.7	UTA 101.8 MIN 134.9 +33.0
Pace	2 103.4 9 101.4	UTA 110.0 +2.1 MIN 108.0
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.8 15 14.4	UTA 13.1 −0.2 MIN 13.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.6% 6 55.9%	UTA 50.0% MIN 63.5% +13.5%
TO %	23 14.4% 18 13.9%	UTA 18.7% MIN 13.5% −5.2%
ORB %	12 26.2% 15 25.7%	UTA 33.3% +4.0% MIN 29.3%
FTrt	10 27.7 7 28.5	UTA 28.0 MIN 31.3 +3.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 69.6% 21 61.2%	UTA 65.0% MIN 75.0% +10.0%
STL %	14 8.5% 13 8.6%	UTA 9.2% MIN 13.8% +4.6%
BLK %	30 7.5% 6 10.4%	UTA 8.8% MIN 9.3% +0.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.4% 8 57.6%	UTA 51.9% MIN 68.1% +16.2%
Rim FG%	17 64.5% 10 65.7%	UTA 54.5% MIN 66.7% +12.2%
Mid FG%	8 44.4% 14 43.7%	UTA 42.9% +2.9% MIN 40.0%
3P %	25 34.5% 6 37.0%	UTA 33.3% MIN 46.2% +12.9%
FT %	13 78.6% 29 75.2%	UTA 69.2% MIN 83.3% +14.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 31.3% 9 33.0%	UTA 35.5% MIN 43.8% +8.3%
Mid Att. %	23 28.4% 10 25.0%	UTA 22.6% MIN 15.6% −7.0%
3P Att. %	21 40.3% 16 42.0%	UTA 41.9% +1.3% MIN 40.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	UTA	MIN
Possessions	109	109
Possession Minutes	23.8	24.2
Points	111	147
Rebounds	46	46
Assists	26	39
Steals	10	15
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	23 (1)	17 (0)
Fouls	23	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (5)	12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (2)	34 (3)
Field Goals	40-93	52-96
At-the-Rim FG	18-33	28-42
Midrange FG	9-21	6-15
2-Point FG	27-54	34-57
3-Point FG	13-39	18-39
Free Throws	18-26	25-30
Fast Break Pts	19	33
2nd Chance Pts	19	19
Points in Paint	48	60
Pts off Turnovers	26	33
Bench Points	25	56
Biggest Lead	5	38

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg