Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 18, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	13	Hawks	63%	118	135	128.6	105	106.3
	21	Mavericks	37%	114	120	114.3	105	103.7

Prediction updated: Mar 19, 2026 12:17 AM

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+16

-11

110

DAL

+17

-18

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.24 61.9%

DAL

1.18 58.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

13 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	37.0	17	43%	11	9	2	0	4	2	2	9	1-2	50%	5-12	42%	2-7	29%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	31.9	19	73%	6	4	2	0	2	2	4	2	1-1	100%	9-13	69%	0-0	-
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28	30.3	22	73%	1	2	2	1	0	2	1	0	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	4-5	80%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	29.4	12	55%	9	4	0	0	1	3	2	7	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	28.3	24	75%	0	7	2	1	1	2	0	0	6-7	86%	9-11	82%	0-3	0%

Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	18.6	5	83%	1	5	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Jonathan Kuminga #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	18.4	16	73%	5	3	1	0	1	2	2	3	0-0	-	5-8	63%	2-3	67%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	16.3	5	63%	6	1	1	1	1	3	0	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	12.8	10	63%	3	0	0	0	1	2	1	2	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Gabe Vincent #4 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	10.8	3	38%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Buddy Hield #8 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	2.0	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
RayJ Dennis #00 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keshon Gilbert #51 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	135	62%	42	36	10	3	11	21	12	30	11-14	79%	41-67	61%	14-35	40%

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13 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	37.0	17	43%	11	9	2	0	4	2	2	9	1-2	50%	5-12	42%	2-7	29%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	31.9	19	73%	6	4	2	0	2	2	4	2	1-1	100%	9-13	69%	0-0	-
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28	30.3	22	73%	1	2	2	1	0	2	1	0	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	4-5	80%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	29.4	12	55%	9	4	0	0	1	3	2	7	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	28.3	24	75%	0	7	2	1	1	2	0	0	6-7	86%	9-11	82%	0-3	0%

Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	18.6	5	83%	1	5	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Jonathan Kuminga #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	18.4	16	73%	5	3	1	0	1	2	2	3	0-0	-	5-8	63%	2-3	67%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	16.3	5	63%	6	1	1	1	1	3	0	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	12.8	10	63%	3	0	0	0	1	2	1	2	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Gabe Vincent #4 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	10.8	3	38%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Buddy Hield #8 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	2.0	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
RayJ Dennis #00 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keshon Gilbert #51 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	135	62%	42	36	10	3	11	21	12	30	11-14	79%	41-67	61%	14-35	40%

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21 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cooper Flagg #32 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 19	33.5	17	47%	6	5	2	2	6	0	2	4	5-6	83%	6-12	50%	0-3	0%
P.J. Washington #25 · C · 6'7" 230 · 28	29.9	23	64%	9	1	0	2	3	2	4	5	7-8	88%	5-8	63%	2-6	33%
Max Christie #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 23	29.7	13	93%	2	1	0	0	5	4	0	2	3-3	100%	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Naji Marshall #13 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 28	28.2	4	20%	3	4	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-9	22%	0-1	0%
Ryan Nembhard #9 · PG · 5'11" 180 · 23	26.8	8	57%	2	12	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-2	100%

Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 27	22.4	24	92%	8	0	0	1	1	1	4	4	6-7	86%	9-10	90%	0-0	-
Klay Thompson #31 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 36	21.9	17	65%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	4-10	40%
Khris Middleton #20 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 35	19.4	7	50%	6	0	2	0	2	2	1	5	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	1-1	100%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 27	16.0	2	50%	7	0	1	0	0	0	0	7	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
AJ Johnson #8 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 21	9.5	3	50%	0	2	1	1	0	1	0	0	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 35	2.6	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Plantar Fascia; Soreness
Moussa Cisse #30 · C · 6'11" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyler Smith #23 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
John Poulakidas #1 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Surgery
Brandon Williams #10 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Head; Concussion Protocol
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	59%	43	26	8	6	18	12	11	32	25-29	86%	31-58	53%	11-28	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	DAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.24 61.9%

DAL

1.18 58.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

60%

DAL

75%

Midrange

ATL

63%

DAL

27%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

21.0

40%

60%

DAL

16.5

39%

59%

Free Throws

ATL

79%

DAL

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. McCollum	24	75%	12.0 / 16
N. Alexander-Walker	22	73%	11.0 / 15
D. Daniels	19	73%	9.5 / 13
J. Johnson	17	43%	8.5 / 20
J. Kuminga	16	73%	8.0 / 11
O. Okongwu	12	55%	6.0 / 11
C. Kispert	10	63%	5.0 / 8
J. Landale	5	83%	2.5 / 3
Z. Risacher	5	63%	2.5 / 4
G. Vincent	3	38%	1.5 / 4
K. Wallace	2	100%	1.0 / 1
C. Houstan	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Gafford	24	92%	12.0 / 13
P. Washington	23	64%	11.5 / 18
C. Flagg	17	47%	8.5 / 18
K. Thompson	17	65%	8.5 / 13
M. Christie	13	93%	6.5 / 7
R. Nembhard	8	57%	4.0 / 7
K. Middleton	7	50%	3.5 / 7
N. Marshall	4	20%	2.0 / 10
A. Johnson	3	50%	1.5 / 3
M. Bagley	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Powell	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 115.1 27 110.4	ATL 128.6 +14.3 DAL 114.3
Pace	4 102.5 6 102.5	ATL 106.3 +2.6 DAL 103.7
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.5 24 14.0	ATL 13.5 −0.3 DAL 13.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.4% 28 52.7%	ATL 60.8% +5.6% DAL 55.2%
TO %	8 13.0% 13 13.5%	ATL 9.2% −6.9% DAL 16.1%
ORB %	20 24.3% 26 23.2%	ATL 27.3% +0.5% DAL 26.8%
FTrt	27 23.4 6 28.7	ATL 13.7 DAL 33.7 +20.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 69.1% 22 60.4%	ATL 65.5% +3.6% DAL 61.9%
STL %	6 9.1% 27 7.3%	ATL 9.5% +1.9% DAL 7.6%
BLK %	18 8.8% 16 9.0%	ATL 5.2% DAL 9.0% +3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 56.9% 28 55.2%	ATL 61.9% +3.1% DAL 58.8%
Rim FG%	21 63.3% 22 63.2%	ATL 60.0% DAL 75.0% +15.0%
Mid FG%	6 44.6% 18 43.1%	ATL 62.5% +35.6% DAL 26.9%
3P %	5 37.1% 26 34.4%	ATL 40.0% +0.7% DAL 39.3%
FT %	20 77.4% 28 75.5%	ATL 78.6% DAL 86.2% +7.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	13 32.1% 12 32.8%	ATL 34.3% DAL 37.2% +2.9%
Mid Att. %	9 25.0% 28 31.7%	ATL 31.4% DAL 30.2% −1.1%
3P Att. %	11 42.9% 26 35.5%	ATL 34.3% +1.8% DAL 32.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	DAL
Possessions	105	105
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.3
Points	135	120
Rebounds	42	43
Assists	36	26
Steals	10	8
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	18 (1)
Fouls	21	12
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (4)	11 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (1)	32 (2)
Field Goals	55-102	42-86
At-the-Rim FG	21-35	24-32
Midrange FG	20-32	7-26
2-Point FG	41-67	31-58
3-Point FG	14-35	11-28
Free Throws	11-14	25-29
Fast Break Pts	12	21
2nd Chance Pts	17	19
Points in Paint	72	56
Pts off Turnovers	23	19
Bench Points	41	55
Biggest Lead	21	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg