Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, March 19, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Pistons	86%	119	117	118.2	99	100.5
	28	Wizards	14%	105	95	96.9	98	96.5

Prediction updated: Mar 19, 2026 10:56 PM

Scoring Opportunities

DET

+23

-10

112

WAS

-19

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.04 52.2%

WAS

1.09 54.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

10 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Daniss Jenkins #24 · PG · 6'4" 165 · 25	33.5	9	28%	2	5	0	1	0	1	0	2	1-1	100%	1-9	11%	2-7	29%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 32	24.9	14	70%	5	2	0	1	2	1	0	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-9	44%
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 22	24.8	24	63%	11	0	2	0	1	0	6	5	6-8	75%	9-15	60%	0-0	-
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 34	22.0	7	44%	7	5	0	2	1	1	0	7	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 23	22.0	10	63%	9	3	1	2	2	0	4	5	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-

Kevin Huerter #27 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 28	23.3	14	64%	5	2	4	0	0	1	1	4	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	0-2	0%
Caris LeVert #8 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 32	22.3	14	70%	5	6	1	0	2	2	1	4	1-3	33%	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Ronald Holland II #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 21	22.0	2	25%	5	1	0	0	1	3	2	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Paul Reed #7 · C · 6'9" 210 · 27	20.7	17	65%	4	3	0	2	1	3	2	2	3-4	75%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	14.5	2	20%	1	5	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
Javonte Green #31 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 33	5.1	2	50%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Chaz Lanier #20 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 24	2.5	0	0%	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Tolu Smith #35 · PF · 6'11" 254 · 26	2.5	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Bobi Klintman #34 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaac Jones #3 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Wendell Moore Jr. #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lung; Pneumothorax
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	52%	56	32	11	8	10	14	17	39	20-26	77%	35-67	52%	9-30	30%

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10 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Daniss Jenkins #24 · PG · 6'4" 165 · 25	33.5	9	28%	2	5	0	1	0	1	0	2	1-1	100%	1-9	11%	2-7	29%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 32	24.9	14	70%	5	2	0	1	2	1	0	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	4-9	44%
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 22	24.8	24	63%	11	0	2	0	1	0	6	5	6-8	75%	9-15	60%	0-0	-
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 34	22.0	7	44%	7	5	0	2	1	1	0	7	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 23	22.0	10	63%	9	3	1	2	2	0	4	5	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-

Kevin Huerter #27 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 28	23.3	14	64%	5	2	4	0	0	1	1	4	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	0-2	0%
Caris LeVert #8 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 32	22.3	14	70%	5	6	1	0	2	2	1	4	1-3	33%	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Ronald Holland II #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 21	22.0	2	25%	5	1	0	0	1	3	2	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Paul Reed #7 · C · 6'9" 210 · 27	20.7	17	65%	4	3	0	2	1	3	2	2	3-4	75%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	14.5	2	20%	1	5	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
Javonte Green #31 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 33	5.1	2	50%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Chaz Lanier #20 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 24	2.5	0	0%	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Tolu Smith #35 · PF · 6'11" 254 · 26	2.5	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Bobi Klintman #34 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaac Jones #3 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Wendell Moore Jr. #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lung; Pneumothorax
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	52%	56	32	11	8	10	14	17	39	20-26	77%	35-67	52%	9-30	30%

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28 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Will Riley #27 · PF · 6'9" 180 · 20	39.7	15	54%	3	1	0	0	2	1	0	3	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	4-8	50%
Bub Carrington #7 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 21	34.7	10	45%	6	4	0	0	3	2	0	6	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	1-6	17%
Sharife Cooper #13 · SG · 6'0" 176 · 25	26.9	13	81%	7	2	0	0	2	2	1	6	0-0	-	5-6	83%	1-2	50%
Tre Johnson #12 · SF · 6'5" 190 · 20	24.2	12	55%	1	2	0	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Alex Sarr #20 · C · 7'0" 205 · 21	21.4	2	8%	3	2	0	2	2	5	1	2	0-0	-	1-9	11%	0-3	0%

Jamir Watkins #5 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25	26.6	9	56%	6	3	3	4	1	2	1	5	2-3	67%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Jaden Hardy #8 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 24	24.6	13	72%	0	2	0	0	3	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-7	43%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 33	24.4	0	0%	5	3	0	3	1	2	2	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 23	17.5	21	105%	4	1	0	1	4	4	0	4	4-6	67%	4-5	80%	3-3	100%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Retrocalcaneal; Bursitis
Trae Young #3 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Contusion
Julian Reese #15 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Leaky Black #14 · SF · 6'6" 209 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Kyshawn George #18 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Elbow; Sprain
Anthony Davis #23 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Finger; Sprain
Cam Whitmore #1 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Deep Vein Thrombosis
D'Angelo Russell #28 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 30	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	55%	35	20	3	10	19	21	6	29	8-12	67%	21-44	48%	15-38	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DET	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	DET	WAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.04 52.2%

WAS

1.09 54.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DET

60%

WAS

59%

Midrange

DET

29%

WAS

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DET

13.5

30%

45%

WAS

22.5

39%

59%

Free Throws

DET

77%

WAS

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Duren	24	63%	12.0 / 19
P. Reed	17	65%	8.5 / 13
D. Robinson	14	70%	7.0 / 10
K. Huerter	14	64%	7.0 / 11
C. LeVert	14	70%	7.0 / 10
A. Thompson	10	63%	5.0 / 8
D. Jenkins	9	28%	4.5 / 16
T. Harris	7	44%	3.5 / 8
R. Holland	2	25%	1.0 / 4
M. Sasser	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Green	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. Smith	2	50%	1.0 / 2
C. Lanier	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Vukcevic	21	105%	10.5 / 10
W. Riley	15	54%	7.5 / 14
S. Cooper	13	81%	6.5 / 8
J. Hardy	13	72%	6.5 / 9
T. Johnson	12	55%	6.0 / 11
B. Carrington	10	45%	5.0 / 11
J. Watkins	9	56%	4.5 / 8
A. Sarr	2	8%	1.0 / 12
A. Gill	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 117.4 29 109.7	DET 118.2 +21.2 WAS 96.9
Pace	20 99.3 5 102.5	DET 100.5 +4.0 WAS 96.5
Avg. Poss. Time	13 14.5 23 14.0	DET 14.3 −0.6 WAS 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.7% 21 53.5%	DET 50.0% WAS 53.0% +3.0%
TO %	21 14.1% 26 14.7%	DET 8.4% −9.5% WAS 17.9%
ORB %	3 30.9% 21 24.0%	DET 37.0% +23.7% WAS 13.3%
FTrt	5 29.2 26 23.5	DET 26.8 +12.2 WAS 14.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 64.1% 24 59.9%	DET 72.7% +17.1% WAS 55.6%
STL %	1 10.4% 22 7.8%	DET 11.1% +8.0% WAS 3.1%
BLK %	1 13.2% 9 10.0%	DET 18.2% +3.3% WAS 14.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.07 and 3.07.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	12 57.0% 26 55.4%	DET 52.2% WAS 54.6% +2.4%
Rim FG%	16 64.7% 15 64.7%	DET 60.0% +1.2% WAS 58.8%
Mid FG%	27 40.5% 26 41.3%	DET 29.4% WAS 40.7% +11.3%
3P %	17 35.6% 16 35.9%	DET 30.0% WAS 39.5% +9.5%
FT %	27 76.3% 23 76.6%	DET 76.9% +10.2% WAS 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 40.1% 22 30.6%	DET 51.5% +30.8% WAS 20.7%
Mid Att. %	11 25.3% 25 29.1%	DET 17.5% −15.4% WAS 32.9%
3P Att. %	29 34.5% 20 40.3%	DET 30.9% WAS 46.3% +15.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Game Totals	DET	WAS
Possessions	99	98
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.4
Points	117	95
Rebounds	56	35
Assists	32	20
Steals	11	3
Blocks	8	10
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	19 (0)
Fouls	14	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (6)	6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (1)	29 (3)
Field Goals	44-97	36-82
At-the-Rim FG	30-50	10-17
Midrange FG	5-17	11-27
2-Point FG	35-67	21-44
3-Point FG	9-30	15-38
Free Throws	20-26	8-12
Fast Break Pts	21	6
2nd Chance Pts	31	11
Points in Paint	66	26
Pts off Turnovers	23	13
Bench Points	53	43
Biggest Lead	25	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg