Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, March 19, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Cavaliers	78%	122	115	112.7	102	97.7
	25	Bulls	22%	112	110	106.8	103	107.8

Prediction updated: Mar 19, 2026 11:51 PM

Scoring Opportunities

CLE

+18

-14

106

CHI

+18

-16

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.08 54.2%

CHI

1.07 53.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

11 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 37	36.5	36	69%	7	9	2	1	5	5	1	6	9-11	82%	3-10	30%	7-13	54%
Evan Mobley #4 · C · 6'11" 215 · 25	36.4	26	59%	14	3	1	0	0	1	6	8	2-6	33%	12-18	67%	0-1	0%
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30	31.2	13	54%	1	3	1	2	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-8	38%
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	23.2	18	60%	11	3	1	1	2	0	5	6	0-2	0%	6-10	60%	2-4	50%
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	18.9	0	0%	7	1	0	0	0	0	2	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%

Keon Ellis #14 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	26.9	8	50%	2	3	3	1	4	4	1	1	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Max Strus #2 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	24.0	0	0%	6	1	2	0	1	1	0	6	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-5	0%
Dennis Schröder #8 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 33	16.0	9	64%	2	3	1	0	2	3	0	2	6-6	100%	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29	15.9	5	42%	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	11.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristan Enaruna #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Riley Minix #12 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Olivier Sarr #33 · C · 6'10" 240 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Contusion
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendonitis
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Strain
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadricep; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	54%	54	26	11	5	14	17	16	38	21-31	68%	26-50	52%	14-41	34%

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11 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 37	36.5	36	69%	7	9	2	1	5	5	1	6	9-11	82%	3-10	30%	7-13	54%
Evan Mobley #4 · C · 6'11" 215 · 25	36.4	26	59%	14	3	1	0	0	1	6	8	2-6	33%	12-18	67%	0-1	0%
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30	31.2	13	54%	1	3	1	2	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-8	38%
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	23.2	18	60%	11	3	1	1	2	0	5	6	0-2	0%	6-10	60%	2-4	50%
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 29	18.9	0	0%	7	1	0	0	0	0	2	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%

Keon Ellis #14 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	26.9	8	50%	2	3	3	1	4	4	1	1	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Max Strus #2 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	24.0	0	0%	6	1	2	0	1	1	0	6	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-5	0%
Dennis Schröder #8 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 33	16.0	9	64%	2	3	1	0	2	3	0	2	6-6	100%	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29	15.9	5	42%	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	11.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tristan Enaruna #21 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Riley Minix #12 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Olivier Sarr #33 · C · 6'10" 240 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Eye; Contusion
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Tendonitis
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Strain
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadricep; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	54%	54	26	11	5	14	17	16	38	21-31	68%	26-50	52%	14-41	34%

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25 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 23	36.7	9	41%	6	19	1	2	5	5	1	5	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-5	20%
Matas Buzelis #14 · PF · 6'8" 196 · 21	33.0	13	46%	5	0	3	3	2	0	1	4	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	2-9	22%
Tre Jones #30 · SG · 6'1" 190 · 26	31.9	20	67%	4	3	3	0	2	3	1	3	6-8	75%	4-8	50%	2-4	50%
Nick Richards #13 · C · 6'11" 245 · 28	30.0	16	73%	8	0	0	0	1	3	4	4	1-4	25%	6-9	67%	1-2	50%
Collin Sexton #2 · SF · 6'3" 190 · 27	18.7	9	38%	4	2	0	0	2	3	0	4	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-5	20%

Guerschon Yabusele #28 · C · 6'7" 265 · 30	29.3	10	63%	11	1	2	2	0	0	2	9	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Rob Dillingham #7 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 21	21.1	17	61%	4	1	1	0	0	5	0	4	0-0	-	4-7	57%	3-7	43%
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 25	20.2	6	60%	1	1	1	0	2	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Leonard Miller #11 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 22	19.2	10	56%	4	0	0	0	2	1	3	1	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Lachlan Olbrich #47 · C · 6'8" 236 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaac Okoro #35 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Jalen Smith #25 · C · 6'8" 244 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain; Injury Management
Yuki Kawamura #8 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mac McClung #5 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Anfernee Simons #22 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ulnar Styloid; Fracture
Zach Collins #12 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right 1st Toe; Surgery
Noa Essengue #24 · PF · 6'8" 194 · 19	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Surgery
Jaden Ivey #31 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	53%	47	27	11	7	16	24	12	35	11-17	65%	27-50	54%	15-44	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	CHI
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	CHI

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.08 54.2%

CHI

1.07 53.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CLE

50%

CHI

53%

Midrange

CLE

56%

CHI

60%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CLE

21.0

34%

51%

CHI

22.5

34%

51%

Free Throws

CLE

68%

CHI

65%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Harden	36	69%	18.0 / 26
E. Mobley	26	59%	13.0 / 22
J. Tyson	18	60%	9.0 / 15
S. Merrill	13	54%	6.5 / 12
D. Schröder	9	64%	4.5 / 7
K. Ellis	8	50%	4.0 / 8
T. Bryant	5	42%	2.5 / 6
D. Wade	0	-	0.0 / 3
M. Strus	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Jones	20	67%	10.0 / 15
R. Dillingham	17	61%	8.5 / 14
N. Richards	16	73%	8.0 / 11
M. Buzelis	13	46%	6.5 / 14
G. Yabusele	10	63%	5.0 / 8
L. Miller	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Giddey	9	41%	4.5 / 11
C. Sexton	9	38%	4.5 / 12
P. Williams	6	60%	3.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 118.3 25 112.2	CLE 112.7 +5.9 CHI 106.8
Pace	12 100.6 3 103.3	CLE 97.7 CHI 107.8 +10.1
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.1 28 13.6	CLE 14.7 CHI 13.4 −1.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 56.1% 14 54.7%	CLE 51.6% CHI 52.7% +1.1%
TO %	10 13.2% 20 14.1%	CLE 13.3% −0.3% CHI 13.6%
ORB %	9 26.9% 27 23.1%	CLE 31.4% +7.4% CHI 24.0%
FTrt	15 26.5 22 24.6	CLE 34.1 +16.0 CHI 18.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 65.3% 7 67.2%	CLE 65.0% +0.7% CHI 64.3%
STL %	15 8.4% 26 7.4%	CLE 10.8% +0.1% CHI 10.7%
BLK %	11 9.8% 15 9.0%	CLE 10.0% CHI 14.0% +4.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 58.2% 17 56.5%	CLE 54.2% +0.8% CHI 53.4%
Rim FG%	7 66.1% 30 61.4%	CLE 50.0% CHI 52.5% +2.5%
Mid FG%	3 46.8% 15 43.7%	CLE 56.3% CHI 60.0% +3.7%
3P %	13 36.0% 19 35.6%	CLE 34.1% CHI 34.1%
FT %	19 77.6% 18 77.6%	CLE 67.7% +3.0% CHI 64.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 31.7% 3 38.2%	CLE 37.4% CHI 42.6% +5.2%
Mid Att. %	8 24.1% 1 17.5%	CLE 17.6% CHI 10.6% −6.9%
3P Att. %	9 44.2% 8 44.3%	CLE 45.1% CHI 46.8% +1.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Game Totals	CLE	CHI
Possessions	102	103
Possession Minutes	25.1	22.9
Points	115	110
Rebounds	54	47
Assists	26	27
Steals	11	11
Blocks	5	7
Turnovers (Team)	14 (2)	16 (0)
Fouls	17	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (2)	12 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (2)	35 (1)
Field Goals	40-91	42-94
At-the-Rim FG	17-34	21-40
Midrange FG	9-16	6-10
2-Point FG	26-50	27-50
3-Point FG	14-41	15-44
Free Throws	21-31	11-17
Fast Break Pts	4	19
2nd Chance Pts	14	8
Points in Paint	46	50
Pts off Turnovers	19	23
Bench Points	22	43
Biggest Lead	29	9

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg