Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, March 19, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	24	Bucks	65%	115	96	96.0	100	100.7
	29	Jazz	35%	110	128	128.0	100	99.3

Prediction updated: Mar 19, 2026 11:48 PM

Scoring Opportunities

MIL

+10

-20

UTA

+16

-13

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.07 53.3%

UTA

1.24 62.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

24 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ousmane Dieng #21 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 23	24.6	13	93%	1	1	2	1	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-4	75%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 24	23.1	15	68%	3	5	0	0	3	3	1	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-7	43%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 31	19.3	11	55%	5	1	1	0	3	1	2	3	5-6	83%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Myles Turner #3 · C · 6'11" 250 · 30	18.4	3	50%	3	1	1	0	4	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 26	11.8	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%

Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	23.6	11	42%	6	1	2	0	0	1	0	6	2-3	67%	3-8	38%	1-4	25%
Cam Thomas #24 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 24	22.7	14	54%	2	4	1	1	5	0	0	2	3-5	60%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 27	17.6	2	100%	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 27	17.1	4	33%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 32	16.9	6	60%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 26	13.0	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 24	8.9	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 34	7.7	4	67%	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Cormac Ryan #30 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	7.7	5	50%	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	2-3	67%	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Gary Harris #11 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 32	7.6	6	100%	0	1	1	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Alex Antetokounmpo #29 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kevin Porter Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Synovitis
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Hyperextension; Bone Bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	53%	35	21	9	2	20	18	8	27	17-23	74%	17-34	50%	15-44	34%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

24 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ousmane Dieng #21 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 23	24.6	13	93%	1	1	2	1	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-4	75%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 24	23.1	15	68%	3	5	0	0	3	3	1	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-7	43%
Kyle Kuzma #18 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 31	19.3	11	55%	5	1	1	0	3	1	2	3	5-6	83%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Myles Turner #3 · C · 6'11" 250 · 30	18.4	3	50%	3	1	1	0	4	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 26	11.8	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%

Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	23.6	11	42%	6	1	2	0	0	1	0	6	2-3	67%	3-8	38%	1-4	25%
Cam Thomas #24 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 24	22.7	14	54%	2	4	1	1	5	0	0	2	3-5	60%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Jericho Sims #00 · C · 6'10" 250 · 27	17.6	2	100%	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 27	17.1	4	33%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 32	16.9	6	60%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Pete Nance #35 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 26	13.0	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 24	8.9	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 34	7.7	4	67%	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Cormac Ryan #30 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 27	7.7	5	50%	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	2-3	67%	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Gary Harris #11 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 32	7.6	6	100%	0	1	1	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Alex Antetokounmpo #29 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kevin Porter Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 203 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Synovitis
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Hyperextension; Bone Bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	53%	35	21	9	2	20	18	8	27	17-23	74%	17-34	50%	15-44	34%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

29 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andersson Garcia #0 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 26	48.0	7	50%	11	6	3	0	1	4	4	7	1-3	33%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Elijah Harkless #16 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 26	34.5	23	68%	2	10	0	0	1	1	0	2	5-6	83%	3-4	75%	4-10	40%
Ace Bailey #19 · SG · 6'9" 200 · 20	34.1	33	61%	9	4	3	1	3	4	1	8	0-0	-	6-8	75%	7-19	37%
Cody Williams #5 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 21	27.1	23	68%	3	5	1	0	1	0	0	3	2-4	50%	9-14	64%	1-2	50%
Kyle Filipowski #22 · C · 6'11" 250 · 22	25.0	16	67%	8	1	0	0	4	0	2	6	3-4	75%	5-6	83%	1-4	25%

Bez Mbeng #21 · NA · 6'4" 185 · 23	35.4	5	50%	5	6	3	1	3	5	1	4	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Blake Hinson #2 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	20.4	14	78%	3	1	0	0	0	4	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-7	57%
Oscar Tshiebwe #34 · C · 6'8" 255 · 26	15.5	7	117%	6	1	0	0	0	0	3	3	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Svi Mykhailiuk #10 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Collier #8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Soreness
John Konchar #55 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Contusion
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Impingement
Brice Sensabaugh #28 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Jaren Jackson Jr. #20 · C · 6'10" 242 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury recovery
Jusuf Nurkić #30 · C · 6'11" 290 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nose; Injury recovery
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Injury recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	62%	47	34	10	2	13	18	12	35	14-20	70%	30-41	73%	18-48	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	UTA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.07 53.3%

UTA

1.24 62.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

59%

UTA

89%

Midrange

MIL

41%

UTA

59%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

22.5

34%

51%

UTA

27.0

38%

56%

Free Throws

MIL

74%

UTA

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Rollins	15	68%	7.5 / 11
C. Thomas	14	54%	7.0 / 13
O. Dieng	13	93%	6.5 / 7
K. Kuzma	11	55%	5.5 / 10
B. Portis	11	42%	5.5 / 13
T. Prince	6	60%	3.0 / 5
G. Harris	6	100%	3.0 / 3
C. Ryan	5	50%	2.5 / 5
G. Trent	4	33%	2.0 / 6
T. Antetokounmpo	4	67%	2.0 / 3
M. Turner	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Sims	2	100%	1.0 / 1
A. Jackson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Green	0	-	0.0 / 4
P. Nance	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Bailey	33	61%	16.5 / 27
E. Harkless	23	68%	11.5 / 17
C. Williams	23	68%	11.5 / 17
K. Filipowski	16	67%	8.0 / 12
B. Hinson	14	78%	7.0 / 9
A. Garcia	7	50%	3.5 / 7
O. Tshiebwe	7	117%	3.5 / 3
B. Mbeng	5	50%	2.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	24 112.3 22 112.9	MIL 96.0 UTA 128.0 +32.0
Pace	24 98.1 2 103.4	MIL 100.7 +1.4 UTA 99.3
Avg. Poss. Time	7 14.8 27 13.8	MIL 14.3 −0.2 UTA 14.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 56.5% 20 53.6%	MIL 50.6% UTA 64.0% +13.4%
TO %	24 14.7% 23 14.4%	MIL 18.5% UTA 14.8% −3.7%
ORB %	30 21.1% 12 26.2%	MIL 18.6% UTA 30.8% +12.2%
FTrt	29 22.3 10 27.7	MIL 29.5 +7.0 UTA 22.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 63.3% 2 69.6%	MIL 65.6% UTA 70.8% +5.2%
STL %	23 7.5% 14 8.5%	MIL 9.0% UTA 10.0% +1.0%
BLK %	25 8.2% 30 7.5%	MIL 4.9% UTA 5.9% +1.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 57.5% 18 56.4%	MIL 53.3% UTA 62.1% +8.8%
Rim FG%	4 67.1% 17 64.5%	MIL 58.8% UTA 89.5% +30.7%
Mid FG%	20 42.6% 8 44.4%	MIL 41.2% UTA 59.1% +17.9%
3P %	2 38.7% 25 34.5%	MIL 34.1% UTA 37.5% +3.4%
FT %	30 73.0% 13 78.6%	MIL 73.9% +3.9% UTA 70.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 28.2% 17 31.3%	MIL 21.8% +0.4% UTA 21.3%
Mid Att. %	16 26.1% 23 28.4%	MIL 21.8% −2.9% UTA 24.7%
3P Att. %	5 45.7% 21 40.3%	MIL 56.4% +2.5% UTA 53.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.

Game Totals	MIL	UTA
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	23.8	24.2
Points	96	128
Rebounds	35	47
Assists	21	34
Steals	9	10
Blocks	2	2
Turnovers (Team)	20 (0)	13 (4)
Fouls	18	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (2)	12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (1)	35 (4)
Field Goals	32-78	48-89
At-the-Rim FG	10-17	17-19
Midrange FG	7-17	13-22
2-Point FG	17-34	30-41
3-Point FG	15-44	18-48
Free Throws	17-23	14-20
Fast Break Pts	14	26
2nd Chance Pts	6	19
Points in Paint	30	48
Pts off Turnovers	20	28
Bench Points	54	26
Biggest Lead	4	37

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg