Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 20, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Warriors	39%	105	101	99.0	102	101.1
	10	Pistons	61%	109	115	112.7	102	102.9

Prediction updated: Mar 20, 2026 11:31 PM

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+14

-25

DET

+15

-13

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.11 55.5%

DET

1.12 55.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

17 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 23	30.4	15	58%	6	3	1	1	2	1	0	6	5-6	83%	2-6	33%	2-4	50%
Gui Santos #15 · SF · 6'7" 185 · 24	29.8	13	54%	5	5	0	0	3	3	0	5	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	22.7	14	47%	4	0	0	1	4	0	1	3	2-3	67%	3-8	38%	2-6	33%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	22.3	0	0%	5	6	1	1	4	2	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	11.0	5	42%	3	0	0	2	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-4	25%

Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	28.3	11	92%	1	0	1	0	2	3	0	1	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	24.8	14	78%	3	3	1	0	1	2	0	3	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	1-2	50%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	22.5	6	50%	4	2	0	1	2	0	1	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-3	0%
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 28	21.0	8	40%	6	2	1	0	3	3	6	0	2-6	33%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	16.0	10	83%	0	1	1	0	2	1	0	0	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	3-5	60%
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	11.2	5	83%	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Injury Management
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	INACTIVE
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgery
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	56%	38	23	6	6	25	17	10	28	19-26	73%	23-43	53%	12-33	36%

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17 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 23	30.4	15	58%	6	3	1	1	2	1	0	6	5-6	83%	2-6	33%	2-4	50%
Gui Santos #15 · SF · 6'7" 185 · 24	29.8	13	54%	5	5	0	0	3	3	0	5	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
De'Anthony Melton #8 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 28	22.7	14	47%	4	0	0	1	4	0	1	3	2-3	67%	3-8	38%	2-6	33%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 36	22.3	0	0%	5	6	1	1	4	2	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Kristaps Porziņģis #7 · C · 7'2" 240 · 31	11.0	5	42%	3	0	0	2	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-4	25%

Will Richard #3 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 23	28.3	11	92%	1	0	1	0	2	3	0	1	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Gary Payton II #0 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 33	24.8	14	78%	3	3	1	0	1	2	0	3	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	1-2	50%
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 30	22.5	6	50%	4	2	0	1	2	0	1	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-3	0%
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 28	21.0	8	40%	6	2	1	0	3	3	6	0	2-6	33%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
LJ Cryer #18 · PG · 6'0" 200 · 24	16.0	10	83%	0	1	1	0	2	1	0	0	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	3-5	60%
Malevy Leons #33 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 26	11.2	5	83%	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Quinten Post #21 · C · 7'0" 238 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Injury Management
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Sprain
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	INACTIVE
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 38	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Patellofemoral; Pain Syndrome
Al Horford #20 · C · 6'8" 240 · 40	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
Jimmy Butler III #10 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 37	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgery
Seth Curry #31 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	56%	38	23	6	6	25	17	10	28	19-26	73%	23-43	53%	12-33	36%

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10 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Daniss Jenkins #24 · PG · 6'4" 165 · 25	38.4	22	73%	7	8	1	0	3	1	2	5	7-7	100%	6-9	67%	1-3	33%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 32	29.1	11	55%	1	2	2	0	0	4	0	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	2-6	33%
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 34	25.1	13	65%	6	5	1	0	1	3	1	5	0-0	-	5-9	56%	1-1	100%
Ausar Thompson #9 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 23	24.5	8	36%	3	4	7	1	5	2	0	3	0-2	0%	4-9	44%	0-1	0%
Jalen Duren #0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 22	21.4	23	72%	6	1	1	0	2	5	2	4	7-9	78%	8-12	67%	0-0	-

Paul Reed #7 · C · 6'9" 210 · 27	23.0	15	50%	6	3	2	1	0	0	3	3	3-6	50%	6-9	67%	0-3	0%
Ronald Holland II #5 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 21	21.5	11	79%	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	1	1-2	50%	5-5	100%	0-1	0%
Caris LeVert #8 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 32	21.1	5	28%	2	5	1	1	1	2	1	1	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	0-3	0%
Javonte Green #31 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 33	20.2	5	83%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Chaz Lanier #20 · SG · 6'3" 206 · 24	12.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Tolu Smith #35 · PF · 6'11" 254 · 26	3.6	2	100%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Kevin Huerter #27 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 28	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Contusion
Bobi Klintman #34 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Isaac Jones #13 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Wendell Moore Jr. #14 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Marcus Sasser #25 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Soreness
Cade Cunningham #2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Lung; Pneumothorax
Isaiah Stewart #28 · C · 6'8" 250 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	56%	35	29	16	4	13	20	9	26	20-29	69%	40-65	62%	5-21	24%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	DET
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	DET

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.11 55.5%

DET

1.12 55.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

63%

DET

73%

Midrange

GSW

31%

DET

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

18.0

36%

55%

DET

7.5

24%

36%

Free Throws

GSW

73%

DET

69%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Podziemski	15	58%	7.5 / 13
D. Melton	14	47%	7.0 / 15
G. Payton	14	78%	7.0 / 9
G. Santos	13	54%	6.5 / 12
W. Richard	11	92%	5.5 / 6
L. Cryer	10	83%	5.0 / 6
Ö. Yurtseven	8	40%	4.0 / 10
P. Spencer	6	50%	3.0 / 6
K. Porziņģis	5	42%	2.5 / 6
M. Leons	5	83%	2.5 / 3
D. Green	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Duren	23	72%	11.5 / 16
D. Jenkins	22	73%	11.0 / 15
P. Reed	15	50%	7.5 / 15
T. Harris	13	65%	6.5 / 10
D. Robinson	11	55%	5.5 / 10
R. Holland	11	79%	5.5 / 7
A. Thompson	8	36%	4.0 / 11
C. LeVert	5	28%	2.5 / 9
J. Green	5	83%	2.5 / 3
T. Smith	2	100%	1.0 / 1
C. Lanier	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 114.0 9 117.4	GSW 99.0 DET 112.7 +13.7
Pace	18 99.9 20 99.3	GSW 101.1 DET 102.9 +1.8
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.7 13 14.5	GSW 14.2 DET 14.0 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.0% 15 54.7%	GSW 53.9% DET 55.2% +1.3%
TO %	28 14.9% 21 14.1%	GSW 22.9% DET 13.2% −9.7%
ORB %	14 25.8% 3 30.9%	GSW 27.8% +3.5% DET 24.3%
FTrt	24 23.8 5 29.2	GSW 34.2 +0.5 DET 33.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 70.6% 16 64.1%	GSW 65.7% +1.3% DET 64.4%
STL %	3 9.6% 1 10.4%	GSW 5.9% DET 15.7% +9.8%
BLK %	27 8.0% 1 13.2%	GSW 9.2% DET 9.3% +0.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.07 and 3.07.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.1% 12 57.0%	GSW 55.5% DET 55.8% +0.3%
Rim FG%	5 66.7% 16 64.7%	GSW 63.3% DET 73.3% +10.0%
Mid FG%	22 42.1% 27 40.5%	GSW 30.8% DET 35.0% +4.2%
3P %	20 35.6% 17 35.6%	GSW 36.4% +12.6% DET 23.8%
FT %	6 80.7% 27 76.3%	GSW 73.1% +4.1% DET 69.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 29.5% 2 40.1%	GSW 39.5% DET 52.3% +12.9%
Mid Att. %	3 20.8% 11 25.3%	GSW 17.1% −6.2% DET 23.3%
3P Att. %	1 49.7% 29 34.5%	GSW 43.4% +19.0% DET 24.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Game Totals	GSW	DET
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.8
Points	101	115
Rebounds	38	35
Assists	23	29
Steals	6	16
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	25 (1)	13 (2)
Fouls	17	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	9 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (2)	26 (4)
Field Goals	35-76	45-86
At-the-Rim FG	19-30	33-45
Midrange FG	4-13	7-20
2-Point FG	23-43	40-65
3-Point FG	12-33	5-21
Free Throws	19-26	20-29
Fast Break Pts	5	19
2nd Chance Pts	8	13
Points in Paint	44	74
Pts off Turnovers	20	32
Bench Points	54	38
Biggest Lead	9	24

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg