Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 20, 2026

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	13	Hawks	39%	111	95	93.1	102	107.5
	9	Rockets	61%	115	117	117.0	100	95.0

Prediction updated: Mar 20, 2026 11:51 PM

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+13

-16

HOU

+16

-19

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

0.99 49.5%

HOU

1.21 60.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

13 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	31.9	14	58%	5	3	1	0	4	1	0	5	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-6	33%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28	27.3	21	75%	4	4	1	0	3	2	2	2	8-9	89%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	25.3	17	77%	2	2	1	3	3	1	1	1	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	2-5	40%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	25.2	3	25%	3	1	2	0	2	1	0	3	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	23.6	6	30%	8	3	1	2	0	2	1	7	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	1-4	25%

Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	20.1	6	33%	1	3	2	2	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	19.0	16	100%	6	2	2	1	1	6	3	3	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	3-3	100%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	18.3	2	17%	2	2	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-5	0%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	18.1	0	0%	2	0	1	1	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Gabe Vincent #4 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	16.8	6	38%	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Buddy Hield #8 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	8.2	2	50%	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	3.3	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Keshon Gilbert #51 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
RayJ Dennis #00 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jonathan Kuminga #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	50%	37	22	13	9	16	21	9	28	14-17	82%	27-50	54%	9-35	26%

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13 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 24	31.9	14	58%	5	3	1	0	4	1	0	5	0-0	-	4-6	67%	2-6	33%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #7 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 28	27.3	21	75%	4	4	1	0	3	2	2	2	8-9	89%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
CJ McCollum #3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	25.3	17	77%	2	2	1	3	3	1	1	1	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	2-5	40%
Dyson Daniels #5 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	25.2	3	25%	3	1	2	0	2	1	0	3	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	23.6	6	30%	8	3	1	2	0	2	1	7	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	1-4	25%

Jock Landale #31 · C · 6'11" 255 · 30	20.1	6	33%	1	3	2	2	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Zaccharie Risacher #10 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 21	19.0	16	100%	6	2	2	1	1	6	3	3	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	3-3	100%
Corey Kispert #24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 27	18.3	2	17%	2	2	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-5	0%
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 23	18.1	0	0%	2	0	1	1	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Gabe Vincent #4 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	16.8	6	38%	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Buddy Hield #8 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 33	8.2	2	50%	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Caleb Houstan #33 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 23	3.3	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Keaton Wallace #2 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Christian Koloko #35 · C · 6'11" 225 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Asa Newell #14 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Keshon Gilbert #51 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
RayJ Dennis #00 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jonathan Kuminga #0 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	50%	37	22	13	9	16	21	9	28	14-17	82%	27-50	54%	9-35	26%

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9 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · SF · 6'11" 220 · 23	35.1	23	64%	9	2	2	0	2	1	0	9	6-8	75%	4-6	67%	3-8	38%
Amen Thompson #1 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 23	34.0	14	58%	7	4	1	0	1	2	3	4	4-4	100%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 24	31.8	15	58%	9	10	2	0	6	2	3	6	1-4	25%	7-10	70%	0-1	0%
Kevin Durant #7 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 37	30.4	25	74%	3	6	2	2	0	0	0	3	4-5	80%	6-10	60%	3-5	60%
Reed Sheppard #15 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 22	24.9	14	70%	4	4	1	2	3	4	2	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	4-7	57%

Tari Eason #17 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	24.5	10	50%	10	2	1	1	2	2	2	8	3-3	100%	2-6	33%	1-3	33%
Josh Okogie #20 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 28	19.2	2	50%	3	0	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 29	16.2	9	75%	1	2	0	0	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-4	75%
Clint Capela #30 · C · 6'10" 256 · 32	13.8	3	38%	5	2	1	0	1	0	2	3	1-4	25%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Isaiah Crawford #27 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	5.9	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 40	4.3	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Dorian Finney-Smith #2 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
JD Davison #4 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23	INACTIVE
Tristen Newton #00 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; ACL Repair
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	60%	51	33	11	5	19	13	12	39	19-28	68%	28-53	53%	14-30	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	HOU
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	HOU

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

0.99 49.5%

HOU

1.21 60.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

70%

HOU

67%

Midrange

ATL

43%

HOU

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

13.5

26%

39%

HOU

21.0

47%

70%

Free Throws

ATL

82%

HOU

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Alexander-Walker	21	75%	10.5 / 14
C. McCollum	17	77%	8.5 / 11
Z. Risacher	16	100%	8.0 / 8
J. Johnson	14	58%	7.0 / 12
O. Okongwu	6	30%	3.0 / 10
J. Landale	6	33%	3.0 / 9
G. Vincent	6	38%	3.0 / 8
D. Daniels	3	25%	1.5 / 6
C. Kispert	2	17%	1.0 / 6
B. Hield	2	50%	1.0 / 2
C. Houstan	2	100%	1.0 / 1
M. Gueye	0	-	0.0 / 2
K. Wallace	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Durant	25	74%	12.5 / 17
J. Smith	23	64%	11.5 / 18
A. Sengun	15	58%	7.5 / 13
A. Thompson	14	58%	7.0 / 12
R. Sheppard	14	70%	7.0 / 10
T. Eason	10	50%	5.0 / 10
A. Holiday	9	75%	4.5 / 6
C. Capela	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Okogie	2	50%	1.0 / 2
I. Crawford	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Green	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 115.1 8 117.5	ATL 93.1 HOU 117.0 +23.9
Pace	4 102.5 29 96.9	ATL 107.5 +12.5 HOU 95.0
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.5 1 15.8	ATL 13.4 −1.8 HOU 15.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.4% 17 54.2%	ATL 47.6% HOU 59.0% +11.4%
TO %	8 13.0% 25 14.7%	ATL 16.3% −1.0% HOU 17.3%
ORB %	20 24.3% 1 34.8%	ATL 18.8% HOU 30.0% +11.2%
FTrt	27 23.4 18 26.0	ATL 20.0 HOU 33.7 +13.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 69.1% 27 59.1%	ATL 61.1% HOU 78.6% +17.5%
STL %	6 9.1% 9 8.7%	ATL 12.7% +1.7% HOU 11.0%
BLK %	18 8.8% 4 10.9%	ATL 17.0% +7.0% HOU 10.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.81 and 2.81.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 56.9% 20 56.1%	ATL 49.5% HOU 60.3% +10.8%
Rim FG%	21 63.3% 13 64.8%	ATL 70.0% +3.3% HOU 66.7%
Mid FG%	6 44.6% 9 44.3%	ATL 43.3% HOU 45.7% +2.4%
3P %	5 37.1% 10 36.4%	ATL 25.7% HOU 46.7% +21.0%
FT %	20 77.4% 25 76.3%	ATL 82.4% +14.5% HOU 67.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	13 32.1% 20 30.7%	ATL 23.5% +1.8% HOU 21.7%
Mid Att. %	9 25.0% 29 34.2%	ATL 35.3% −6.9% HOU 42.2%
3P Att. %	11 42.9% 28 35.0%	ATL 41.2% +5.0% HOU 36.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	HOU
Possessions	102	100
Possession Minutes	22.8	25.3
Points	95	117
Rebounds	37	51
Assists	22	33
Steals	13	11
Blocks	9	5
Turnovers (Team)	16 (2)	19 (1)
Fouls	21	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (2)	39 (1)
Field Goals	36-85	42-83
At-the-Rim FG	14-20	12-18
Midrange FG	13-30	16-35
2-Point FG	27-50	28-53
3-Point FG	9-35	14-30
Free Throws	14-17	19-28
Fast Break Pts	28	27
2nd Chance Pts	7	10
Points in Paint	46	48
Pts off Turnovers	15	21
Bench Points	34	26
Biggest Lead	5	34

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg