Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Raptors	32%	112	115	122.3	94	92.3
	3	Nuggets	68%	118	121	127.4	95	96.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 25	38.1	15	42%	8	8	2	2	2	4	1	7	0-0	-	6-12	50%	1-6	17%
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 29	35.5	19	63%	5	2	0	0	3	4	1	4	4-6	67%	6-9	67%	1-3	33%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 30	35.1	23	72%	11	2	2	0	0	4	5	6	3-6	50%	10-14	71%	0-0	-
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 27	34.0	15	68%	4	8	3	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-7	43%
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 26	33.6	18	56%	5	2	0	1	3	3	1	4	5-5	100%	5-9	56%	1-5	20%

Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	23.2	14	100%	2	2	1	1	0	2	1	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	4-5	80%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 24	21.2	4	29%	2	5	0	0	1	3	1	1	0-1	0%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 27	13.8	4	100%	2	2	0	0	0	2	1	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	5.5	3	50%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alijah Martin #55 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chucky Hepburn #24 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Collin Murray-Boyles #12 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	60%	40	32	8	4	10	24	11	29	17-23	74%	34-55	62%	10-31	32%

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15 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 25	38.1	15	42%	8	8	2	2	2	4	1	7	0-0	-	6-12	50%	1-6	17%
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 29	35.5	19	63%	5	2	0	0	3	4	1	4	4-6	67%	6-9	67%	1-3	33%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 30	35.1	23	72%	11	2	2	0	0	4	5	6	3-6	50%	10-14	71%	0-0	-
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 27	34.0	15	68%	4	8	3	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-7	43%
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 26	33.6	18	56%	5	2	0	1	3	3	1	4	5-5	100%	5-9	56%	1-5	20%

Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	23.2	14	100%	2	2	1	1	0	2	1	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	4-5	80%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 24	21.2	4	29%	2	5	0	0	1	3	1	1	0-1	0%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 27	13.8	4	100%	2	2	0	0	0	2	1	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	5.5	3	50%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alijah Martin #55 · SG · 6'2" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Chucky Hepburn #24 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Collin Murray-Boyles #12 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Thumb; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	60%	40	32	8	4	10	24	11	29	17-23	74%	34-55	62%	10-31	32%

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3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	39.5	31	70%	5	6	1	0	1	2	0	5	9-10	90%	8-12	67%	2-6	33%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	37.5	22	69%	8	9	1	1	2	5	2	6	3-5	60%	8-12	67%	1-2	50%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	33.4	11	61%	4	2	0	0	1	4	2	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-3	33%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	30.9	6	38%	5	2	2	0	1	1	1	4	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 31	28.8	16	67%	5	3	0	1	1	2	1	4	3-5	60%	5-8	63%	1-2	50%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	27.5	23	72%	4	0	1	0	2	2	2	2	0-0	-	1-6	17%	7-10	70%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 30	21.0	12	86%	3	0	0	0	2	1	0	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Spencer Jones #21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25	18.0	0	0%	3	4	0	0	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	3.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
David Roddy #45 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 25	INACTIVE
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
KJ Simpson #25 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Curtis Jones #1 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	64%	38	26	5	2	10	20	9	29	19-25	76%	30-51	59%	14-30	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.20 59.9%

DEN

1.29 64.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

20

29

69%

DEN

18

29

62%

Midrange

TOR

14

26

54%

DEN

12

22

55%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

10

15.0

31

32%

48%

DEN

14

21.0

30

47%

70%

Free Throws

TOR

17

23

74%

DEN

19

25

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Poeltl	23	72%	11.5 / 16
B. Ingram	19	63%	9.5 / 15
R. Barrett	18	56%	9.0 / 16
S. Barnes	15	42%	7.5 / 18
I. Quickley	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Walter	14	100%	7.0 / 7
J. Shead	4	29%	2.0 / 7
S. Mamukelashvili	4	100%	2.0 / 2
J. Battle	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	31	70%	15.5 / 22
T. Hardaway	23	72%	11.5 / 16
N. Jokić	22	69%	11.0 / 16
A. Gordon	16	67%	8.0 / 12
B. Brown	12	86%	6.0 / 7
C. Braun	11	61%	5.5 / 9
C. Johnson	6	38%	3.0 / 8
S. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	15 115.1 1 121.3	TOR 122.3 DEN 127.4 +5.0
Pace	22 99.1 19 99.4	TOR 92.3 DEN 96.7 +4.3
Avg. Poss. Time	19 14.1 9 14.7	TOR 15.6 DEN 14.9 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	16 54.6% 1 57.7%	TOR 57.0% DEN 63.0% +6.0%
TO %	7 12.9% 3 12.1%	TOR 9.4% −0.4% DEN 9.8%
ORB %	16 25.5% 24 23.6%	TOR 27.5% +3.8% DEN 23.7%
FTrt	16 26.5 4 29.4	TOR 26.7 DEN 30.9 +4.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 69.2% 9 66.5%	TOR 72.7% +13.6% DEN 59.1%
STL %	8 8.8% 30 6.8%	TOR 8.5% +3.2% DEN 5.3%
BLK %	12 9.6% 29 7.6%	TOR 7.8% +4.2% DEN 3.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 56.6% 1 60.1%	TOR 59.9% DEN 64.4% +4.5%
Rim FG%	6 66.5% 12 65.1%	TOR 69.0% +6.9% DEN 62.1%
Mid FG%	16 43.7% 2 47.0%	TOR 53.8% DEN 54.5% +0.7%
3P %	21 35.4% 1 39.6%	TOR 32.3% DEN 46.7% +14.4%
FT %	22 76.9% 5 80.8%	TOR 73.9% DEN 76.0% +2.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 32.9% 19 31.1%	TOR 33.7% DEN 35.8% +2.1%
Mid Att. %	27 30.7% 21 28.1%	TOR 30.2% DEN 27.2% −3.1%
3P Att. %	25 36.3% 17 40.8%	TOR 36.0% DEN 37.0% +1.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.73 and 2.73.

Game Totals	TOR	DEN
Possessions	94	95
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	115	121
Rebounds	40	38
Assists	32	26
Steals	8	5
Blocks	4	2
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	10 (0)
Fouls	24	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (1)	9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (1)	29 (4)
Field Goals	44-86	44-81
At-the-Rim FG	20-29	18-29
Midrange FG	14-26	12-22
2-Point FG	34-55	30-51
3-Point FG	10-31	14-30
Free Throws	17-23	19-25
Fast Break Pts	18	12
2nd Chance Pts	8	16
Points in Paint	50	52
Pts off Turnovers	15	14
Bench Points	25	35
Biggest Lead	11	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg